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 Friday Numbers 
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lovemerox wrote:
WHile this is good for white noise, I bet it will have a HUGE 2nd week drop


Next weekend is the Martin Luther King weekend, I think. That'll help.

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Sat Jan 08, 2005 4:38 pm
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holy crap! thats awsome for white noise!!


Sat Jan 08, 2005 4:39 pm
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i think white noise will drop 50% due to MLK weekend. the holiday will save it from a 60+% drop


Sat Jan 08, 2005 4:39 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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Meet the Fockers:

Friday: 8.85m +203%

Saturday: 14.16m +60%

Sunday: 8.50m -40%

Wknd: 31.51m

AWESOME! 8)

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Sat Jan 08, 2005 4:40 pm
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Extraordinary

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The limited releases look good for my Pair game. :) Even though my derby is pretty much screwed.

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Sat Jan 08, 2005 4:41 pm
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I went low on the limited releases because all others did too :x :x

Originally I had $1 million for Rwanda and $1.4 million for MDB, but wnet considerably down after having seen that others predicted much lower :(

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Sat Jan 08, 2005 4:59 pm
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Extraordinary
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So every "professional" predictor underestimated a new horror movie coming into the market? Stunning.


Sat Jan 08, 2005 5:00 pm
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i predicted about $20 million and i'm gonna end up being low. i knew it would do pretty good numbers with the excellent marketing it has had.


Sat Jan 08, 2005 5:01 pm
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The Dark Shape wrote:
So every "professional" predictor underestimated a new horror movie coming into the market? Stunning.


Lee predicted 7 mil. for the weekend and White Noise passed that total by over a 1.8 mil. margin on Friday itself.

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Last edited by jb007 on Sat Jan 08, 2005 5:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Jan 08, 2005 5:03 pm
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Extraordinary
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I was thinking about $20 million as well. Like everyone else, I low-balled, but it seems everyone who runs a prediction website downgrades any new horror film coming out. People predicted a $6 million opening? It just seems they don't understand how big of a market there is. Hell, Lee pretty much said on his website he doesn't even expect Ring Two to top $30 million opening weekend.


Sat Jan 08, 2005 5:04 pm
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The Thirteenth Floor
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BJ wrote:
Um 30m wknd for Fockers anyone 8)

YAY! YAY! YAY!

Score for the BJ YEAH!!!!!!!!!

AWESOME!!!!!!!!

yay im going to have a great derby also 8)


Wow, amazing numbers for this movie. :shock:

But I will not bow down to you! I predict 29.9m. :P


Sat Jan 08, 2005 5:15 pm
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xiayun wrote:
The limited releases look good for my Pair game. :) Even though my derby is pretty much screwed.


Me too. :) I went under 1m for Kinsey. I really don't get what was with those 2m+ predictions. Even the ones over 1m seemed to high for me.

I took a risk by going over 1m for both Hotel Rwanda and Million Dollar Baby. I even though of going as high as 1.6m for MDB, but chickened out.

Looks like the marketing over the past week has paid off for Hotel Rwanda.


Sat Jan 08, 2005 5:21 pm
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DP07 wrote:
BJ wrote:
Um 30m wknd for Fockers anyone 8)

YAY! YAY! YAY!

Score for the BJ YEAH!!!!!!!!!

AWESOME!!!!!!!!

yay im going to have a great derby also 8)


Wow, amazing numbers for this movie. :shock:

But I will not bow down to you! I predict 29.9m. :P


you dont have to :wink: Im just glad that it has a shot at 300m 8)

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Sat Jan 08, 2005 5:25 pm
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DP07 wrote:
xiayun wrote:
The limited releases look good for my Pair game. :) Even though my derby is pretty much screwed.


Me too. :) I went under 1m for Kinsey. I really don't get what was with those 2m+ predictions. Even the ones over 1m seemed to high for me.

I took a risk by going over 1m for both Hotel Rwanda and Million Dollar Baby. I even though of going as high as 1.6m for MDB, but chickened out.

Looks like the marketing over the past week has paid off for Hotel Rwanda.


I did bad on Kinsey, 1.7m :cry:


Sat Jan 08, 2005 5:26 pm
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Also White Noise probably indicates good things for other coming horror films such as The Ring Two. The genre has been doing so well over the past couple years, and the PG-13 horrors are especially doing well.

BTW, I'm also glad with those TPE numbers. I predicted 2.5, so I'll probably be one of the few with any percentage on their score.


Sat Jan 08, 2005 5:28 pm
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DP07 wrote:
Also White Noise probably indicates good things for other coming horror films such as The Ring Two. The genre has been doing so well over the past couple years, and the PG-13 horrors are especially doing well.

BTW, I'm also glad with those TPE numbers. I predicted 2.5, so I'll probably be one of the few with any percentage on their score.


I predicted only 2.2 million for Polar Express, so I'll definetely score points for that. I also predicted 16 million for White Noise, so that number doesn't surprize me that much.

Also, did you look at the Per Screen Average for Finding Neverland? Are the public interest's increasing again?

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Sat Jan 08, 2005 5:31 pm
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BJ wrote:
DP07 wrote:
BJ wrote:
Um 30m wknd for Fockers anyone 8)

YAY! YAY! YAY!

Score for the BJ YEAH!!!!!!!!!

AWESOME!!!!!!!!

yay im going to have a great derby also 8)


Wow, amazing numbers for this movie. :shock:

But I will not bow down to you! I predict 29.9m. :P


you dont have to :wink: Im just glad that it has a shot at 300m 8)


It might really have an outside shot. I'd still guess about 285m though. 8) 300m would be awesome. It's amazing to think that it will finish in the same proximity as the LOTR films. :shock: I don't think there should be any doubt: this is the best release date of the year.


Sat Jan 08, 2005 5:50 pm
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Scott Vasquez wrote:
DP07 wrote:
Also White Noise probably indicates good things for other coming horror films such as The Ring Two. The genre has been doing so well over the past couple years, and the PG-13 horrors are especially doing well.

BTW, I'm also glad with those TPE numbers. I predicted 2.5, so I'll probably be one of the few with any percentage on their score.


I predicted only 2.2 million for Polar Express, so I'll definetely score points for that. I also predicted 16 million for White Noise, so that number doesn't surprize me that much.

Also, did you look at the Per Screen Average for Finding Neverland? Are the public interest's increasing again?


Yeah, great numbers for FN. I'm not suprised though, I always expected great legs from it.


Sat Jan 08, 2005 5:54 pm
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You must have big rats
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DP07 wrote:
Scott Vasquez wrote:
DP07 wrote:
Also White Noise probably indicates good things for other coming horror films such as The Ring Two. The genre has been doing so well over the past couple years, and the PG-13 horrors are especially doing well.

BTW, I'm also glad with those TPE numbers. I predicted 2.5, so I'll probably be one of the few with any percentage on their score.


I predicted only 2.2 million for Polar Express, so I'll definetely score points for that. I also predicted 16 million for White Noise, so that number doesn't surprize me that much.

Also, did you look at the Per Screen Average for Finding Neverland? Are the public interest's increasing again?


Yeah, great numbers for FN. I'm not suprised though, I always expected great legs from it.


The average for Finding Neverland is actually $566. BOM has it at 107 theatres :lol:

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Sat Jan 08, 2005 5:57 pm
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DP07 wrote:

BTW, I'm also glad with those TPE numbers. I predicted 2.5, so I'll probably be one of the few with any percentage on their score.


I predicted 2.6 and got like 37% or something, so you should have a decent score,(well compared to everyone else.)


Sat Jan 08, 2005 5:58 pm
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[quote="The Dark Shape"]I was thinking about $20 million as well. Like everyone else, I low-balled, but it seems everyone who runs a prediction website downgrades any new horror film coming out. [quote]

Well thats a bit hypocritical is it not? And the whole "i low balled like everyone else" stuff suggests to me that too many people are copying other peoples predictions....

Which also would explain why we have maybe 5 major box office websites with very low, very similar predictions.


Sat Jan 08, 2005 6:20 pm
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Awsome for MDB, it'll probably have a pta of about 15k and maybe Hotel Rwanda can get 10k.

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Sat Jan 08, 2005 6:29 pm
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I really want to see Hotel Rwanda and Million Dollar Baby.

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Sat Jan 08, 2005 6:33 pm
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DP07 wrote:
BJ wrote:
DP07 wrote:
BJ wrote:
Um 30m wknd for Fockers anyone 8)

YAY! YAY! YAY!

Score for the BJ YEAH!!!!!!!!!

AWESOME!!!!!!!!

yay im going to have a great derby also 8)


Wow, amazing numbers for this movie. :shock:

But I will not bow down to you! I predict 29.9m. :P


you dont have to :wink: Im just glad that it has a shot at 300m 8)


It might really have an outside shot. I'd still guess about 285m though. 8) 300m would be awesome. It's amazing to think that it will finish in the same proximity as the LOTR films. :shock: I don't think there should be any doubt: this is the best release date of the year.


well I think this wknd shows that this film is going to have some outstanding legs 8) I think your right, this is definately the best release date of the year 8) there going to be a lot of battling between studios within the next few years to get a good december date 8)

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Sat Jan 08, 2005 7:04 pm
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DP07 wrote:
xiayun wrote:
The limited releases look good for my Pair game. :) Even though my derby is pretty much screwed.


Me too. :) I went under 1m for Kinsey. I really don't get what was with those 2m+ predictions. Even the ones over 1m seemed to high for me.

I took a risk by going over 1m for both Hotel Rwanda and Million Dollar Baby. I even though of going as high as 1.6m for MDB, but chickened out.

Looks like the marketing over the past week has paid off for Hotel Rwanda.


I went with 1.6M with M$B and 1.0M with Hotel Rwanda. :) I didn't think it's that risky from my analysis.

I had 2.8 for TPE.

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Sat Jan 08, 2005 7:12 pm
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