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 Weekend Estimates 
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
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5 2 Ocean's Twelve WB $8,640,000 -52.3% 3,290 - $2,626 $86,900,000 $110 / - 3


Sun Dec 26, 2004 2:35 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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disapointing wknd.

fockers did not meet my expectations

L.S. as BKB predicted fell like a brick

TPE decreased on christmas wknd

overall just an average wknd :(

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Sun Dec 26, 2004 2:52 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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BJ wrote:
disapointing wknd.

fockers did not meet my expectations

L.S. as BKB predicted fell like a brick

TPE decreased on christmas wknd

overall just an average wknd :(


:shock:


Sun Dec 26, 2004 2:53 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
BJ wrote:
disapointing wknd.

fockers did not meet my expectations

L.S. as BKB predicted fell like a brick

TPE decreased on christmas wknd

overall just an average wknd :(


:shock:


:cry:

That's what you get for predicting a stupido $75-90m. Was I thinking? Was I???


Lol, I'm actually somewhat happy for Fockers. Happy because 2004 needs a decent hit, not happy cause I wish more of the money would have gone to the animated filmos.


Oh wellos.

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Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation.


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Sun Dec 26, 2004 2:56 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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Zingaling wrote:
BJ wrote:
disapointing wknd.

fockers did not meet my expectations

L.S. as BKB predicted fell like a brick

TPE decreased on christmas wknd

overall just an average wknd :(


:shock:


thats right I predicted an 80m five day when acuals come in it will be well under :x

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Sun Dec 26, 2004 3:00 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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These Sunday projections are wild. Will be interesting to see the actuals tomorrow.

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Sun Dec 26, 2004 3:00 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
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xiayun wrote:
These Sunday projections are wild. Will be interesting to see the actuals tomorrow.


Almost every movie even in 99 increased this day. Maybe there a little high but I think it's pretty right.


Sun Dec 26, 2004 3:04 pm
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It looks like The Polar Express won't have post-Christmas legs like I was starting to think it would. Oh well, it should just about pass it's budget before the end of it's run, and that and it's amazing legs earlier this month make me happy. :D

Meh for Phantom. It won't hit it's budget. Same for The Life Aquatic, unfortunately (although the budget is estimated to be $25-50 million. If it's the lowest of the estimation, it has a chance).

Aviator had a good opening. It will have great legs and have no problem going past it's budget if it sweeps the Oscars.

Snicket is a semi-flop. $102 million total is my projection. If it's really lucky, it may pass $110 million, but nah.

Fockers is the only film this weekend besides Darkness that did surprisingly well, which angers me, because nearly every movie that went under expectations crashed my Derby, and also my contempt for the first movie. :x Total may very well go over $200 million, making it the only real hit of December.

In limited release, Hotel Rwanda opened fairly well, although nothing great. I still see a Best Picture nomination, though, with it's excellent 91% on RT and growing buzz.

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Sun Dec 26, 2004 3:05 pm
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I hope that MTF has an awesome 25% increase today it would help my already dead derby :oops:

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Sun Dec 26, 2004 3:06 pm
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BJ wrote:
disapointing wknd.

fockers did not meet my expectations

L.S. as BKB predicted fell like a brick

TPE decreased on christmas wknd

overall just an average wknd :(


You see, the Christmas-themed movies DO decrease after Christmas :)

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Sun Dec 26, 2004 3:07 pm
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Extraordinary

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sako16 wrote:
xiayun wrote:
These Sunday projections are wild. Will be interesting to see the actuals tomorrow.


Almost every movie even in 99 increased this day. Maybe there a little high but I think it's pretty right.


The problem is we don't know if it will increase 20% or 50%. It's anybody's guess, and with only 1999 to base on, we could see some bigger differences with actuals on Monday than usual.

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Sun Dec 26, 2004 3:09 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
BJ wrote:
disapointing wknd.

fockers did not meet my expectations

L.S. as BKB predicted fell like a brick

TPE decreased on christmas wknd

overall just an average wknd :(


You see, the Christmas-themed movies DO decrease after Christmas :)


yes I see and Im quite disapointed :(

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Sun Dec 26, 2004 3:10 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
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xiayun wrote:
sako16 wrote:
xiayun wrote:
These Sunday projections are wild. Will be interesting to see the actuals tomorrow.


Almost every movie even in 99 increased this day. Maybe there a little high but I think it's pretty right.


The problem is we don't know if it will increase 20% or 50%. It's anybody's guess, and with only 1999 to base on, we could see some bigger differences with actuals on Monday than usual.


Well I hope that nothing changes too much. Its hard to project today's numbers, but I'm sure the studios will be close.


Sun Dec 26, 2004 3:11 pm
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Extraordinary

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The Sea Inside has one of the worst box office runs for a foreign film I've ever seen. The chance of winning best foreign language oscar is gone now, and this could really jeopardize Bardem's nomination as well.

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American Hustle - B+
Inside Llewyn Davis - B
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12 Years a Slave - A-
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A-

My thoughts on box office


Sun Dec 26, 2004 3:17 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am
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xiayun wrote:
The Sea Inside has one of the worst box office runs for a foreign film I've ever seen. The chance of winning best foreign language oscar is gone now, and this could really jeopardize Bardem's nomination as well.


I think that many foreign movies' US box office run are more worse than The Sea Inside. (eg. INFERNAL AFFAIRS)


However, I think that The Sea Inside's US box office run is a big disappointment for me.


Sun Dec 26, 2004 3:22 pm
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Extraordinary

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mary wrote:
xiayun wrote:
The Sea Inside has one of the worst box office runs for a foreign film I've ever seen. The chance of winning best foreign language oscar is gone now, and this could really jeopardize Bardem's nomination as well.


I think that many foreign movies' US box office run are more worse than The Sea Inside. (eg. INFERNAL AFFAIRS)


However, I think that The Sea Inside's US box office run is a big disappointment for me.


Infernal Affairs was only released in 5 theaters, and it was delayed for more than a year, and it wasn't being pushed at all. Same for many others. They were just dumped to the American market. I'm not comparing with them. For a critically-acclaimed foreign film that is released just in time for awards, I've never seen anything worse.

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American Hustle - B+
Inside Llewyn Davis - B
Before Midnight - A
12 Years a Slave - A-
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A-

My thoughts on box office


Sun Dec 26, 2004 3:25 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am
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xiayun wrote:
mary wrote:
xiayun wrote:
The Sea Inside has one of the worst box office runs for a foreign film I've ever seen. The chance of winning best foreign language oscar is gone now, and this could really jeopardize Bardem's nomination as well.


I think that many foreign movies' US box office run are more worse than The Sea Inside. (eg. INFERNAL AFFAIRS)


However, I think that The Sea Inside's US box office run is a big disappointment for me.


Infernal Affairs was only released in 5 theaters, and it was delayed for more than a year, and it wasn't being pushed at all. Same for many others. They were just dumped to the American market. I'm not comparing with them. For a critically-acclaimed foreign film that is released just in time for awards, I've never seen anything worse.


I know what you mean.


Sun Dec 26, 2004 4:06 pm
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xiayun wrote:
The Sea Inside has one of the worst box office runs for a foreign film I've ever seen. The chance of winning best foreign language oscar is gone now, and this could really jeopardize Bardem's nomination as well.


Word.

And I have no idea why :?

Actually, at the moment, I do not really think Bardem will get a nomination anymore.

However, I also don't think that House of Flying Daggers will win Best Foreign Picture. Some movie will surprise.

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Sun Dec 26, 2004 4:06 pm
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Very low for all films, except Fat Albert, Darkness, and Meet the Fockers. Why'd the holdovers fall so hard? Well, I guess the arrival of 6 kinda new release films hurt them.

I shoulda caught Lemony Snicket being frontloaded. It has a little mini-fan base.

Meet the Fockers really killed Spanglish and Ocean's 12. Here's hoping for 200 million!


Sun Dec 26, 2004 4:09 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
xiayun wrote:
The Sea Inside has one of the worst box office runs for a foreign film I've ever seen. The chance of winning best foreign language oscar is gone now, and this could really jeopardize Bardem's nomination as well.


Word.

And I have no idea why :?

Actually, at the moment, I do not really think Bardem will get a nomination anymore.

However, I also don't think that House of Flying Daggers will win Best Foreign Picture. Some movie will surprise.


I think that this movie will win Best Foreign Picture.
http://www.apple.com/trailers/miramax/t ... istes.html


Sun Dec 26, 2004 4:11 pm
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Awesome surprise for DARKNESS, No prediction site rekoned it would get into the top 12! never mind the top 6!

Awesome for Fokers, shame for BLADE, wont pass $50M i rekon.


Sun Dec 26, 2004 4:15 pm
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mary wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
xiayun wrote:
The Sea Inside has one of the worst box office runs for a foreign film I've ever seen. The chance of winning best foreign language oscar is gone now, and this could really jeopardize Bardem's nomination as well.


Word.

And I have no idea why :?

Actually, at the moment, I do not really think Bardem will get a nomination anymore.

However, I also don't think that House of Flying Daggers will win Best Foreign Picture. Some movie will surprise.


I think that this movie will win Best Foreign Picture.
http://www.apple.com/trailers/miramax/t ... istes.html


Very possible, indeed. I predicted a nomination for it all the way.

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Sun Dec 26, 2004 4:16 pm
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I just realized something:

About half of the top 11 have a budget over 100 million!

:shock:

5 of them:
Lemony Snicket
The Aviator
Ocean's 12
The Polar Express
National Treasure

and almost Meet the Fockers and Spanglish, which are at 80 million!


Sun Dec 26, 2004 4:26 pm
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andaroo wrote:
We couldn't get in to The Aviator last night... sold out everywhere. But it wasn't playing at every theater.

And it is a 3 hour movie.


We couldn't get in either. We almost went to a 9:45 showing of it, but it sold out around 8:00.

Even for Christmas, I wouldn't have expected that.


Sun Dec 26, 2004 4:32 pm
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Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
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micasey300 wrote:
I just realized something:

About half of the top 11 have a budget over 100 million!

:shock:

5 of them:
Lemony Snicket
The Aviator
Ocean's 12
The Polar Express
National Treasure

and almost Meet the Fockers and Spanglish, which are at 80 million!



So much money lost....


Poor Sony


Sun Dec 26, 2004 4:40 pm
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