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Maximus
Hot Fuss
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am Posts: 8427 Location: floridaaa
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lovemerox wrote: 26/105
Oh yeah
holla 
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Mon Oct 25, 2004 5:45 pm |
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BigMoviePimp
Speed Racer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:54 pm Posts: 198 Location: The Real World
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It has done decently over here, but I think its future in the USA looks rather bad. The reviews are mostly mediocre, the only attraction this movie has to offer is Law and he isn't really a draw...
I say - $6.2m/$15.8m
_________________ How did you find me?
I'm the man.
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Wed Oct 27, 2004 11:30 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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It doesn't look good going against The Incredibles and given the track record of Jude Law as a box office draw.
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Thu Oct 28, 2004 12:21 am |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm Posts: 5815
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from Jeffrey Wells, http://www.hollywood-elsewhere.com :
Quote: It's no secret that I really like Charles Shyer's Alfie. I don't think it plays well; I know it does. It may not have the jolt or punch that the original Michael Caine version had in `66, but it's a believably acted, exquisitely edited, richly scored character piece. It's not quite Rules of the Game, but it's a long way from a burn.
I especially liked that Alfie has the character and intelligence not to go all mushy at the end and deliver a conventionally happy turnaround ending. This despite the fact that one of Paramount's Alfie trailers seems to suggest that Jude Law's lead character, a hard-core hound who casually hurts women's feelings through the film, hooks up with costar Marisa Tomei at the end and makes like a father to her young son, etc.
The problem is this: I was told earlier this week that Alfie is "not tracking." This means it isn't showing up in moviegoer surveys as something that a good-sized percentage of the audience wants to see. Apparently Law's name isn't enough of a draw on this score. He's seen as more of an "industry star" than a public one.
The standard way to raise awareness and create want-to-see with an upcoming film is to show nationwide "sneaks" the weekend before it opens so people will see it, like it and spread the word. The only reason you don't do this is if distribution execs are concerned that the word of mouth may not be so hot, which could result in the opening weekend tally coming in lower.
Paramount is apparently not planning any Afie sneaks this weekend, so draw your own conclusions. I understand why, and at the same time I don't. This movie sells itself and doesn't screw anyone over. Law gives his most movie-star-ish performance ever. He really leaves that character-actor attitude in the dust.
I think distribution should be like parenting. Your love should always be absolute and bountiful. Especially when it's time for your child to meet the world and fend for himself. You shouldn't raise, bathe, feed, nurture and teach your little boy only to push him out the front door on his very first day of school and say, "Okay, buddy...the bus is down the street....see ya later!" You have to stand by your child, hold his hand, show support and keep showing it.
It's not just that deceptive trailer. The Alfie one-sheet is also a bit lame. By emphasizing only the fact that Jude Law is good looking and not indicating there are all kinds of layers to this film (which there are), they make it look like lightweight fluff.
Alfie isn't that. It's a far better film than what Paramount marketers are trying to suggest, and I just can't imagine average filmgoers seeing this en masse and going "eh."
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Thu Oct 28, 2004 1:17 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Well, at seems like many reviewers at RT as well as people on IMDB beg to differ with him.
However he got it right with the fact that the movie doesn't have much going for it in order to attract masses.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Thu Oct 28, 2004 12:00 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm Posts: 28110 Location: Awaiting my fate
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This looks like a bomb to me. I predict a mediocre $11.0 million opening but only $25 million overall.
_________________ See above.
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Thu Oct 28, 2004 1:04 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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As the weekend comes closer here is a BUMP for the predictions thread for this movie.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Nov 01, 2004 6:48 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm Posts: 6228
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Well it was a hit here in the Uk, and i liked the movie.
I rekon $10m/$30M
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Mon Nov 01, 2004 7:12 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68295
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Alfie:
Opening weekend: $14 Million
Total: $44 Million

_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Mon Nov 01, 2004 7:59 pm |
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Vovanik
Star Trek XI
Joined: Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:44 am Posts: 337 Location: Ukraine,Kyiv
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12/37
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Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:49 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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BJs Prediction of Wisdom
Opening Wknd: 18m
Domestic total: 75m
BJ is hoping for great legs with a multiplyer a little over a 4.0 8)
_________________The Force Awakens
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Tue Nov 02, 2004 1:25 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15540 Location: Everywhere
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BJ wrote: BJs Prediction of Wisdom
Opening Wknd: 18m
Domestic total: 75m
BJ is hoping for great legs with a multiplyer a little over a 4.0 8)
Just because it worked with Ray, doesn't mean it will with Alfie.  :wink:
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Tue Nov 02, 2004 4:51 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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I, too, smell a bomb here.
Opening: $5.0
Total: $13.7
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Tue Nov 02, 2004 6:32 pm |
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Animosity Reigns
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:41 pm Posts: 1777 Location: The Dirty South
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going low end here...Have had the poster up at my theatre, stuck it next to Shall we dance (same type of viewers) on purpose and listen as people walk in, everyone basically says "what is this ?"...no one has heard of it nor does anyone give a crap...
hello Surviving Xmas...
4.3 million
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Tue Nov 02, 2004 10:03 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15540 Location: Everywhere
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The marketing is better then I expected, so I'll increase my prediction to 7.2m/18m
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Thu Nov 04, 2004 9:58 pm |
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