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 Friday Estimates 
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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Post Friday Estimates
DIARY OF A MAD BLACK WOMAN 7.10 (new)
HITCH 6.20 (-32.3%)
CURSED 3.80 (new)
CONSTANTINE 3.70 (-66%)
MAN OF THE HOUSE 3.10 (new)
MILLION DOLLAR BABY 2.00 (+24.4%)
BECAUSE OF WINN-DIXIE 1.90 (-32.7%)
ARE WE THERE YET? 1.10 (-27.3%)
THE AVIATOR 1.00 (+3.7%)
SIDEWAYS 1.00 (+8.1%)


Last edited by Libs on Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Feb 26, 2005 11:51 am
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Teenage Dream
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WOW!!!

Huge for Diary of a Mad Black Woman (expect bad legs though)
Cursed is gonna make around $12m
Man of the House around $10m


Sat Feb 26, 2005 11:54 am
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now we know
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Well i didnt see #1 place going to Diary of a Mad Black Woman.

HAHA for Cursed :lol:

Well done to Hitch for keeping in Second!!!!

And Constantine has dropped VERY VERY HARSHLY!!!! :razz:

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 11:54 am
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Sbil

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I'm floored.

I *told* people Cursed wasn't going to make $7M yesterday.


Sat Feb 26, 2005 11:55 am
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I'm Correct also, if i remember i said it would open low.

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 11:58 am
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Indiana Jones IV

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HOLY CRAP!!! This is quite a Box Office suprise! :shock: at Diary Of A Mad Black Woman.

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 11:59 am
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Teenage Dream
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Post Re: Friday Estimates
DIARY OF A MAD BLACK WOMAN 7.10 NEW
HITCH 6.20 -33%
CURSED 3.80 NEW
CONSTANTINE 3.70 -66%
MAN OF THE HOUSE 3.10 NEW
MILLION DOLLAR BABY 2.00 +24%
BECAUSE OF WINN-DIXIE 1.90 -33%
ARE WE THERE YET? 1.10 -28%
THE AVIATOR 1.00 +3%
SIDEWAYS 1.00 +10%

Son of the Mask fell at least 50% from last Friday!!!


Last edited by Spidey on Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Feb 26, 2005 11:59 am
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Libs wrote:
I'm floored.

I *told* people Cursed wasn't going to make $7M yesterday.


Picks up Libs.

<<shakes her>>

Change your bloody avatar.

Shocking numbers.


Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:00 pm
Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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Post Re: Friday Estimates
Spiderman2005 wrote:
DIARY OF A MAD BLACK WOMAN 7.10 NEW
HITCH 6.20 -33%
CURSED 3.80 NEW
CONSTANTINE 3.70 -66%
MAN OF THE HOUSE 3.10 NEW
MILLION DOLLAR BABY 2.00 +24%
BECAUSE OF WINN-DIXIE 1.90 -33%
ARE WE THERE YET? 1.10 -28%
THE AVIATOR 1.00 +3%
SIDEWAYS 1.00 +10%

Son of the Mask fell at least 50% from last Friday!!!


Love that we have a huge surprise at #1.

Love that Hitch is only down by 33% despite intense competition.

Love that Million Dollar Baby and Sideways had sizable bumps.


Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:01 pm
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Teenage Dream
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Expect Hitch to win the weekend though. It will have a stronger weekend multiplier than Diary of A Mad Black Woman.


Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:02 pm
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The Incredible Hulk

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WOW for DOABW! Even though I thought it looked crap and expected it to drop today from yesterday.

Bad luck for CONSTANTINE. Good for other movies, i hope or bet

From what i've heard, i'm glad SOTM dropped!


Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:03 pm
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College Boy Z

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:shock: Well, that's something you don't see everyday. This is the next Barbershop.

Hitch will still win the weekend, but that's simply incredible.


Last edited by zingy on Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:04 pm
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Award Winning Bastard

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Hitch continues to impress. Man of the House and Cursed are in trouble. Diary is the latest example of a desperate comedy audience searching for anything that will make them laugh. Constantine is dropping faster than some expected. Great to see Million Dollar Baby still going strong, which should continue significantly, after it wins best picture tomorrow night.


Last edited by Maverikk on Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:08 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:04 pm
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Has M$B now passed Sideways?


Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:07 pm
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wow didnt see that comin. Expect it to drop today.

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:10 pm
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loyalfromlondon wrote:
Has M$B now passed Sideways?


dont think so, but should do by sunday/monday

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:12 pm
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No Wire Tampons!

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terrible for Man and Cursed - but amazing for Diary, which will likely expand very quickly -

I doubt it can keep the momentum going next weekend though,

furhtermore


i should broadcast that


I AM GOING TO SEE SIDEWAYS THIS WEEKEND [probobly] :D WOHOOO! im travelling 30 miles to see it mind.

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:15 pm
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hans wrote:
loyalfromlondon wrote:
Has M$B now passed Sideways?


dont think so, but should do by sunday/monday


Sideways 60,627,867
Millon Dollar Baby $59,507,348


Just one more day Sideways. Hang in there until Sunday night's big reveal. [-o<


Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:16 pm
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Y'know...now I am kinda curious to see DOAMBW because it dids so well.

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:19 pm
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[quote="Maverikk"] Diary is the latest example of a desperate comedy audience searching for anything that will make them laugh. [quote]


Are you being serious...have you seen the film yet? Diary of a Mad Black Woman isn't all about some Big Mommas House 2 thing that people seem to have driven into their minds.

I think the fact that so many people think that "Diary" is some stupid urban comedy is a testament to how its been marketed on many different levels - and alot of people aren't going to get what they bargained for . "Diary" is supposed to be a dramatic comedy with elements of that urban snazz; but more than not a film focused on the characters struggle through a turbulent time and how she emerges on the other side.

Its not hugely surprising [well on the scale its doing i guess it is] that this film took off - its one that always had the potential to do so, but rather was overlooked due to the track record of Americans at movies.
Its got romantic comedy, drama, comedy and urban comedy tied in. That appeals to a very wide spectrum of people and seems to be a workng, eclectic mix of demographic appeal.

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:23 pm
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great numbers for all but one film :cool:

Constantines drop is highly disappointing :sad:

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:25 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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I'm actually really glad that Diary of A Mad Black Woman did so well. Now, the score difference between those who predicted around $10 million and those who predicted in the $5-6 million range will be much more minimal. For example:

Let's say Diary makes $21 million this weekend (although it could be more, not really sure what type of multiplier to expect, since it is an urban type film). That would make a 29% for someone who predicted $6 mil, and 48% for someone who predicted $10 mil. Relatively small difference. So, in the end, it will be the 100%'s on smaller films that will make the difference for most people, I think.

PEACE, Mike ;)


Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:29 pm
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College Boy Z

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BJ wrote:
great numbers for all but one film :cool:

Constantines drop is highly disappointing :sad:


It was expected, BJ. It may have great WOM, but it was frontloaded. It'll drop around 55-60% for the weekend, though, which isn't that bad compared to other movies.


Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:33 pm
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Award Winning Bastard

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Zingaling wrote:
BJ wrote:
great numbers for all but one film :cool:

Constantines drop is highly disappointing :sad:


It was expected, BJ. It may have great WOM, but it was frontloaded. It'll drop around 55-60% for the weekend, though, which isn't that bad compared to other movies.


It DOESN'T have great WOM, hence, the large dropoff. (just as I said would happen)


Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:37 pm
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Wow! That was surprising!

And amazing for Aviator and Sideways! Both lost over 150 theatres and still increased from last Friday! Really great!


Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:39 pm
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