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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Nebs wrote: No joke, have a feeling it will dissapoint hugely after this weekend. And it will open close to $3m less than Elektra.  Elektra sits at $23 million right now. It opened to $12.5 million. Even if The Wedding Date only reaches $10 million this weekend, you think it can't make a 2.3x multiplier and pass Elektra?
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 2:13 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Nebs, your projections are low. Using the weekend multiplier for Darkness Falls, which opened on a Super Bowl weekend too, Boogeyman will gross 21.4M for the weekend.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 2:16 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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xiayun wrote: Nebs, your projections are low. Using the weekend multiplier for Darkness Falls, which opened on a Super Bowl weekend too, Boogeyman will gross 21.4M for the weekend. If it does that, that's a 100% for me for that movie. :razz: \:D/
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 2:18 pm |
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Michael.
No Wire Tampons!
Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2005 12:27 am
Posts: 23283
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Damn, i was right to have put "The Wedding Date" in my ones to watch list, but wrong to have went low when the bad reviews and low count came rolling out.
_________________
I'm out.
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 2:19 pm |
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Anonymous
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Eh, if not for that dreadful RT score, it might...but now don't think so. Anyway, it's just a feeling...
...as it's that Boogeyman will drop today, where Darkness Falls didn't.
But, indeed, projections might be low, feel free anyone to make improved ones.
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 2:22 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Nebs wrote: My projections...
Boogeyman $19.5m
The Wedding Date $10.6m
Hide and Seek $8.5m
Million Dollar Baby $8.4m
Are We There Yet? $7.8m
The Aviator $5.1m
Sideways $4.4m
Meet the Fockers $4.2m
Coach Carter $4.1m
In Good Company $3.4m there all low  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 2:23 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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My Projections
1. Boogeyman - $21.3 million
2. The Wedding Date - $10.9 million
3. Are We There Yet? - $9.0 million
4. Million Dollar Baby - $8.9 million
5. Hide and Seek - $8.7 million
6. The Aviator - $5.0 million
7. Sideways - $4.8 million
8. Meet the Fockers - $4.7 million
9. Coach Carter - $4.3 million
10. In Good Company - $3.8 million
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 2:26 pm |
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Anonymous
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BJ wrote: Nebs wrote: My projections...
Boogeyman $19.5m
The Wedding Date $10.6m
Hide and Seek $8.5m
Million Dollar Baby $8.4m
Are We There Yet? $7.8m
The Aviator $5.1m
Sideways $4.4m
Meet the Fockers $4.2m
Coach Carter $4.1m
In Good Company $3.4m there all low No they're not, you hater!
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 2:27 pm |
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Michael.
No Wire Tampons!
Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2005 12:27 am
Posts: 23283
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RB652 wrote: ahmed salem wrote: who would have thought that The Wedding Date is going to outgross Elektra? Dont tell that to michael-NF7 :razz: Considering Michael/Nf7 had been touting this one as a hit up till the last hour - i dont see why not. [-X
_________________
I'm out.
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 2:27 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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My projections:
Boogeyman - 21.3 (so Zing doesn't get 100% :wink: )
Wedding Date - 11.5 (Using The Wedding Planner's multiplier)
Hide and Seek - 9.3
Are We There Yet? - 9.9
Million Dollar Baby - 8.5
The Aviator - 5.1
Meet the Fockers - 4.8
Sideways - 4.8
Coach Carter - 4.3
In Good Company - 3.5
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 2:30 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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xiayun wrote: My projections:
Boogeyman - 21.3 (so Zing doesn't get 100% :wink: )
Wedding Date - 11.5 (Using The Wedding Planner's multiplier)
Hide and Seek - 9.3
Are We There Yet? - 9.9
Million Dollar Baby - 8.5
The Aviator - 5.1
Meet the Fockers - 4.8
Sideways - 4.8
Coach Carter - 4.3
In Good Company - 3.5 ](*,)
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 2:31 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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hmmm!  ..... #-o
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 2:34 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Oh, since Racing Stripes should have the highest multiplier (close to 4 even with huge Sunday drop), I still see it end up in top 10 with $3.8M.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 2:35 pm |
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Spidey
Teenage Dream
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:13 pm
Posts: 10678
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Great for Boogeyman. It might not fall hard next week since many people might be putting the movie off until next weekend. Expect good holds next weekend.
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 2:37 pm |
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Raffiki
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 12:14 am
Posts: 9966
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Wow. Very impressive Friday numbers. The superbowl will defintely balance it out though, especially for movies like Boogeyman.
The Wedding Date really surprised as many posters mentioned with its low theatre count. I wonder if they will think about expanding to at least 500-700 more theatres next weekend for Valentine's Day. Maybe that was their plan.... to see how it plays out, if it will bomb or not, to have a better idea of what to do on Valentine's weekend.
All the movies had amazing week-to-week drops (except for the expected Hide and Seek) and after Sunday, the drops should be moderate. I think The Wedding Date will even benefit from the Superbowl, perfect counter-programming for women over the weekend!
I think the Wedding Date could climb up to $13 million
Boogeyman should do around $20-22 million; anything over that range would be quite impressive
Great drops for Million Dollar Baby, Aviator, In Good Company and a stellar almost no drop for Sideways!
_________________
Top Movies of 2009
1. Hurt Locker / 2. (500) Days of Summer / 3. Sunshine Cleaning / 4. Up / 5. I Love You, Man
Top Anticipated 2009
1. Nine
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 2:43 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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well i guess its not so bad!
i got an accuracy of 89.59% with Xiayuns projections! :2up: .............. [-o<
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 2:44 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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FANTASTIC for BOOGEYMAN.
I rekon just over $20M this weekend.
Awesome awesome awesome!
3 horror $20M+ openers and it's only the first week in febuary
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 3:00 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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FANTASTIC for BOOGEYMAN.
I rekon just over $20M this weekend.
Awesome awesome awesome!
3 horror $20M+ openers and it's only the first week in febuary
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 3:00 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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What did I tell everyone about Hide and Seek?? I told you guys it would not reach 9 million this weekend!!!
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 3:23 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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MG Casey wrote: What did I tell everyone about Hide and Seek?? I told you guys it would not reach 9 million this weekend!!! It still has a chance. A 3x multiplier for a holdover is not that hard, even on Superbowl weekend.
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 3:24 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Zingaling wrote: MG Casey wrote: What did I tell everyone about Hide and Seek?? I told you guys it would not reach 9 million this weekend!!! It still has a chance. A 3x multiplier for a holdover is not that hard, even on Superbowl weekend. Agreed. Without Superbowl, most films have 3.2-3.5 multiplier and 4.0-4.5 for kid movies this time of the year. With Superbowl, it will only cut 0.2 away from the multiplier. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 3:28 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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xiayun wrote: Zingaling wrote: MG Casey wrote: What did I tell everyone about Hide and Seek?? I told you guys it would not reach 9 million this weekend!!! It still has a chance. A 3x multiplier for a holdover is not that hard, even on Superbowl weekend. Agreed. Without Superbowl, most films have 3.2-3.5 multiplier and 4.0-4.5 for kid movies this time of the year. With Superbowl, it will only cut 0.2 away from the multiplier. Disagreed.
Friday: $3.10 (+190%)
Saturday: $4.16 (+34%)
Sunday: $1.46 (-65%)
3-Day: $8.7
Well, it will be close, but that's about how much White Noise increased on its 2nd Sat and how much The Butterfly Effect dropped on Superbowl Sunday.
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 3:36 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Boogeyman:
Friday: 8.5m
Saturday: 9.73m +15%
Sunday: 3.41m -65%
Wknd: 21.6m
____________________
The Wedding Date:
Friday: 4.2m
Saturday: 6.3m +50%
Sunday: 2.84m -55%
Wknd: 13.34m
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 3:41 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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MG Casey wrote: xiayun wrote: Zingaling wrote: MG Casey wrote: What did I tell everyone about Hide and Seek?? I told you guys it would not reach 9 million this weekend!!! It still has a chance. A 3x multiplier for a holdover is not that hard, even on Superbowl weekend. Agreed. Without Superbowl, most films have 3.2-3.5 multiplier and 4.0-4.5 for kid movies this time of the year. With Superbowl, it will only cut 0.2 away from the multiplier. Disagreed. Friday: $3.10 (+190%) Saturday: $4.16 (+34%) Sunday: $1.46 (-65%) 3-Day: $8.7 Well, it will be close, but that's about how much White Noise increased on its 2nd Sat and how much The Butterfly Effect dropped on Superbowl Sunday. The problem is that because the movies will drop so hard on Sunday, more people will go to the movies on Saturday, making the increases bigger.
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 3:49 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Hide and Seek:
Friday: 3.10m +190%
Saturday: 4.96m +60%
Sunday: 1.74m -65%
Wknd: 9.8m (-55.5% from last wknd)
_______________________________
Million Dollar Baby:
Friday: 2.65m +162%
Saturday: 5.04m +90%
Sunday: 2.02m -60%
Wknd: 9.71m (-20.5% from last wknd)
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Feb 05, 2005 3:52 pm |
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