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 1/28-1/30 Predictions 
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Post 1/28-1/30 Predictions
Post your predicts here.


Sat Jan 22, 2005 3:00 pm
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1. Hide and Seek - $19.2 mil
2. Million Dollar Baby - $14 mil
3. Are We There Yet - $11 mil
4. Meet the Fockers - $7.2 mil
5. Alone in the Dark - $7.1 mil
6. In Good Company - $6.8 mil
7. Coach Carter - $6.5 mil
8. The Aviator - $4.8 mil
9. Sideways - $4.5 mil
10. Racing Stripes - $4.1 mil
11. Assault on Precinct 13 - $3.8 mil
12. The Phantom of the Opera - $3.3 mil


Sat Jan 22, 2005 3:20 pm
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College Boy Z

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1. Hide and Seek - $19.6 million
2. Million Dollar Baby - $14.8 million
3. Are We There Yet? - $11.1 million
4. Meet the Fockers - $8.1 million
5. Alone in the Dark - $8.0 million


Sat Jan 22, 2005 3:25 pm
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1. Hide And Seek: $17,000,000

- Alone In The Dark: $6,000,000


Sat Jan 22, 2005 3:27 pm
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I think Million Dollar Baby has a shot, if Hide and Seek doesn't do very well.

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Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:18 pm
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Sorry, didn't see this one :oops: I think you should unsticky the old, that confused me :lol:

Anyway, here are mine:

Hide and Seek - $17.4 million
Million Dollar Baby - $12.1 million
Alone in the Dark - $7.9 million
Sideways - $5.5 million


I think people overestimate Million Dollar Baby a bit. It's a movie to have good legs, but not big weekend numbers.

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Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:21 pm
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Million Dollar Baby will be opening in 1850 theaters next weekend. I think it can get an $8,000 PTA.


Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:24 pm
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1. Hide and Seek - $17 million
2. Million Dollar Baby - $14.5 million
3. Are We There Yet? - $11 million
4. Meet the Fockers - $7.5 million
5. Coach Carter - $7.5 million
6. In Good Company - $7 million
7. Sideways - $5.5 million
8. Alone in the Dark - $5 million
9. The Aviator - $4.5 million
10. Racing Stripes - $4 million


Last edited by Libs on Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:31 pm
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I think people are overestimating Hide and Seek personally. I don't see how it looks that appealing, and it IS rated R. Maybe 13 million, but I can't see much more. As for Alone in the Dark, I'd go with about 8.5 million.


Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:32 pm
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The Butterfly Effect was also rated R and that got $17 million. I know that Ashton Kutcher had an influence on the movie's gross, but I don't think Hide and Seek will go too low. It's estimated to be in 2,800+ theaters, so I can see atleast a $6,000 PTA for around $16-17 million. I might be going a little high, but horror movies are usually underpredicted lately.


Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:38 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
Million Dollar Baby will be opening in 1850 theaters next weekend. I think it can get an $8,000 PTA.


Well, the thing is that it had a PTA of $14,867 last weekend in 122 theatres. This weekend the PTA will be probably down to around $11,000. After adding 1,700 theatres, I don't tink the PTA will drop by just $3,000. I expect a PTA not higher than $6,000.

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Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:40 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
Million Dollar Baby will be opening in 1850 theaters next weekend. I think it can get an $8,000 PTA.


Well, the thing is that it had a PTA of $14,867 last weekend in 122 theatres. This weekend the PTA will be probably down to around $11,000. After adding 1,700 theatres, I don't tink the PTA will drop by just $3,000. I expect a PTA not higher than $6,000.


I expect it to be higher than $6000, with major oscar nominations it's going to get.

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Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:49 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
The Butterfly Effect was also rated R and that got $17 million. I know that Ashton Kutcher had an influence on the movie's gross, but I don't think Hide and Seek will go too low. It's estimated to be in 2,800+ theaters, so I can see atleast a $6,000 PTA for around $16-17 million. I might be going a little high, but horror movies are usually underpredicted lately.


"The Butterfly Effect" are more similar to "Alone in the Dark". (Both of them are the kind of movies that appeal greatly to teens and young adults.)

"High and Seek" are similar to "Cold Creek Manor".



BTW, I think that "ARE WE THERE YET?" will become No.1 in second weekend.


Sat Jan 22, 2005 5:43 pm
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Hide and Seek - $14.4 mil
Million Dollar Baby - $11.4 mil
Alone in the Dark - $10.2 mil
Are We There Yet - $7.4 mil
Meet the Fockers - $6 mil
Coach Carter - $6 mil
In Good Company - $5.4 mil
Racing Stripes - $4.4 mil
The Aviator - $4.4 mil
Sideways - $4.2 mil
Assault on Precinct 13 - $3.6 mil
The Phantom of the Opera - $3.1 mil


Sat Jan 22, 2005 5:51 pm
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Dont you guys think Hide and Seek will be thrown off as another Godsend?

1. Hide and Seek - 16.4
2. Million Dollar Baby - 14.1
3. Are We There Yet? - 10.8
4. Alone in the Dark - 9.6
5. Meet the Fockers - 7.2

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Last edited by Joker's Thug #3 on Fri Jan 28, 2005 9:37 am, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Jan 22, 2005 5:54 pm
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Killuminati510 wrote:
Dont you guys think Hide and Seek will be thrown off as another Godsend?

1. Million Dollar Baby - 14.1
2. Hide and Seek - 11.4
3. Are We There Yet? - 10.8
4. Alone in the Dark - 9.6
5. Meet the Fockers - 7.2


Hide and Seek wouldn't be another Godsend, but it would be another "Cold Creek Manor" or "City by the Sea".


Sat Jan 22, 2005 6:00 pm
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Nope, Hide and Seek has had a much stronger campaign. Its trailer is literally attached to every movie I saw in theaters recently.

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Sat Jan 22, 2005 6:01 pm
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xiayun wrote:
Nope, Hide and Seek has had a much stronger campaign. Its trailer is literally attached to every movie I saw in theaters recently.


"Cold Creek Manor" also had a very strong campaign.


Sat Jan 22, 2005 6:04 pm
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mary wrote:
xiayun wrote:
Nope, Hide and Seek has had a much stronger campaign. Its trailer is literally attached to every movie I saw in theaters recently.


"Cold Creek Manor" also had a very strong campaign.


I don't think it did. I remember hardly ever seeing ads for Cold Creek Manor when it was released. This film is also being released in a less crowded time than that was (that actually opened the same weekend that three other movies did).


Sat Jan 22, 2005 6:36 pm
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Cold Creek Manor not only had a bad campaign, but it opened in the killer month of September. Hide and Seek not only has a great campaign, but with the way recent horror movies and January movies are going, I think it's almost assured to get atleast $15 million for the weekend.


Sat Jan 22, 2005 6:43 pm
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January is very slow month.
I had seen many TV spots of Cold Creek Manor, they were very good(the trailer is good, too.).

"The Butterfly Effect" and "Alone in the Dark" are the kind of movies that appeal greatly to teens and young adults - they don't need to receive good reviews to attract their target audience.

"High and Seek" and "Cold Creek Manor" are the movies for mature audience -- they need to receive good reviews to attract their target audience.

Maybe, many predictions are based on the assumption that "High and Seek" will receive mostly good reviews. However, I think that both "High and Seek" and "Alone in the Dark" will receive mostly bad reviews .


If "High and Seek" receives mostly good reviews, it would get at least $15 million for the weekend.


Sat Jan 22, 2005 8:55 pm
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xiayun wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
Million Dollar Baby will be opening in 1850 theaters next weekend. I think it can get an $8,000 PTA.


Well, the thing is that it had a PTA of $14,867 last weekend in 122 theatres. This weekend the PTA will be probably down to around $11,000. After adding 1,700 theatres, I don't tink the PTA will drop by just $3,000. I expect a PTA not higher than $6,000.


I expect it to be higher than $6000, with major oscar nominations it's going to get.


Well, the thing is that it'll have to compete against Sideways and The Aviator which will get even more oscar nominations in my opinion and be stronger candidates. Also, it just doesn't seem like the kind of a movie to have a big weekend.

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Sat Jan 22, 2005 9:13 pm
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Were Hide and Seek PG-13, I'd guess it could've opened to nearly 20 million. But this is R, so it will be more limited to an adult audience, and I think they'll be too sidetracked on more of the Oscar contenders. That and personally, I'm just not seeing how Dakota Fanning as a serial killer is scary. Should it get good reviews, I'll boost my prediction, but right now, I'm expecting about 20-40% on RT.

NOTE: Oh yeah, and so far all the reviews I've read have been firing this movie to kingdom come, and the director's only other film was the classic known as Swimf@n.


Last edited by MovieDude on Sat Jan 22, 2005 11:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Jan 22, 2005 11:29 pm
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mary wrote:
"The Butterfly Effect" and "Alone in the Dark" are the kind of movies that appeal greatly to teens and young adults - they don't need to receive good reviews to attract their target audience.

There's a difference here: The Butterfly Effect actually looked interesting and original.
Alone in the Dark looks the opposite.

Predictions:
1. Hide & Seek - $15.5 (NEW)
2. Million Dollar Baby - $11.5 (NEW)
3. Are We There Yet? - $10.2 (-40%)
4. Coach Carter - $7.9 (-39%)
5. Alone in the Dark - $6.4 (NEW)
6. Meet the Fockers - $6.4 (-43%)
7. In Good Company - $5.7 (-40%)
8. The Aviator - $4.4 (-5%)
9. Racing Stripes - $4.3 (-41%)
10. Assault on Precinct 13 - $3.5 (-50%)
11. The Phantom of the Opera - $3.5 (-20%)
** White Noise - $2.3 (-60%)
** Elektra - $1.7 (-60%)


Sat Jan 22, 2005 11:39 pm
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[quote="micasey300"]
There's a difference here: The Butterfly Effect actually looked interesting and original.
Alone in the Dark looks the opposite. [quote]

"Alone in the Dark" trailer isn't my cup of tea, but I heard many young people say that they like the trailer. (The poster is very effective to attract teens and young adults, too.)

I personally hope "Hide and Seek" hit and "Alone in the Dark" hugely bomb . However, when I do box office prediction, I won't only care about the taste of myself, what I care most is the taste of general public.


Last edited by mary on Sun Jan 23, 2005 12:20 am, edited 2 times in total.



Sun Jan 23, 2005 12:15 am
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