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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm Posts: 5816
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 1/28-1/30 Predictions
Post your predicts here.
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 3:00 pm |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm Posts: 5816
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1. Hide and Seek - $19.2 mil
2. Million Dollar Baby - $14 mil
3. Are We There Yet - $11 mil
4. Meet the Fockers - $7.2 mil
5. Alone in the Dark - $7.1 mil
6. In Good Company - $6.8 mil
7. Coach Carter - $6.5 mil
8. The Aviator - $4.8 mil
9. Sideways - $4.5 mil
10. Racing Stripes - $4.1 mil
11. Assault on Precinct 13 - $3.8 mil
12. The Phantom of the Opera - $3.3 mil
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 3:20 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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1. Hide and Seek - $19.6 million
2. Million Dollar Baby - $14.8 million
3. Are We There Yet? - $11.1 million
4. Meet the Fockers - $8.1 million
5. Alone in the Dark - $8.0 million
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 3:25 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm Posts: 6228
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1. Hide And Seek: $17,000,000
- Alone In The Dark: $6,000,000
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 3:27 pm |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm Posts: 28301 Location: ... siiiigh...
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I think Million Dollar Baby has a shot, if Hide and Seek doesn't do very well.
_________________ Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:18 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Sorry, didn't see this one  I think you should unsticky the old, that confused me
Anyway, here are mine:
Hide and Seek - $17.4 million
Million Dollar Baby - $12.1 million
Alone in the Dark - $7.9 million
Sideways - $5.5 million
I think people overestimate Million Dollar Baby a bit. It's a movie to have good legs, but not big weekend numbers.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:21 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Million Dollar Baby will be opening in 1850 theaters next weekend. I think it can get an $8,000 PTA.
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:24 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48677 Location: Arlington, VA
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1. Hide and Seek - $17 million
2. Million Dollar Baby - $14.5 million
3. Are We There Yet? - $11 million
4. Meet the Fockers - $7.5 million
5. Coach Carter - $7.5 million
6. In Good Company - $7 million
7. Sideways - $5.5 million
8. Alone in the Dark - $5 million
9. The Aviator - $4.5 million
10. Racing Stripes - $4 million
Last edited by Libs on Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:31 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
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I think people are overestimating Hide and Seek personally. I don't see how it looks that appealing, and it IS rated R. Maybe 13 million, but I can't see much more. As for Alone in the Dark, I'd go with about 8.5 million.
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:32 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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The Butterfly Effect was also rated R and that got $17 million. I know that Ashton Kutcher had an influence on the movie's gross, but I don't think Hide and Seek will go too low. It's estimated to be in 2,800+ theaters, so I can see atleast a $6,000 PTA for around $16-17 million. I might be going a little high, but horror movies are usually underpredicted lately.
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:38 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Zingaling wrote: Million Dollar Baby will be opening in 1850 theaters next weekend. I think it can get an $8,000 PTA.
Well, the thing is that it had a PTA of $14,867 last weekend in 122 theatres. This weekend the PTA will be probably down to around $11,000. After adding 1,700 theatres, I don't tink the PTA will drop by just $3,000. I expect a PTA not higher than $6,000.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:40 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Zingaling wrote: Million Dollar Baby will be opening in 1850 theaters next weekend. I think it can get an $8,000 PTA. Well, the thing is that it had a PTA of $14,867 last weekend in 122 theatres. This weekend the PTA will be probably down to around $11,000. After adding 1,700 theatres, I don't tink the PTA will drop by just $3,000. I expect a PTA not higher than $6,000.
I expect it to be higher than $6000, with major oscar nominations it's going to get.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 4:49 pm |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am Posts: 1255
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Zingaling wrote: The Butterfly Effect was also rated R and that got $17 million. I know that Ashton Kutcher had an influence on the movie's gross, but I don't think Hide and Seek will go too low. It's estimated to be in 2,800+ theaters, so I can see atleast a $6,000 PTA for around $16-17 million. I might be going a little high, but horror movies are usually underpredicted lately.
"The Butterfly Effect" are more similar to "Alone in the Dark". (Both of them are the kind of movies that appeal greatly to teens and young adults.)
"High and Seek" are similar to "Cold Creek Manor".
BTW, I think that "ARE WE THERE YET?" will become No.1 in second weekend.
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 5:43 pm |
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Anonymous
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Hide and Seek - $14.4 mil
Million Dollar Baby - $11.4 mil
Alone in the Dark - $10.2 mil
Are We There Yet - $7.4 mil
Meet the Fockers - $6 mil
Coach Carter - $6 mil
In Good Company - $5.4 mil
Racing Stripes - $4.4 mil
The Aviator - $4.4 mil
Sideways - $4.2 mil
Assault on Precinct 13 - $3.6 mil
The Phantom of the Opera - $3.1 mil
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 5:51 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Dont you guys think Hide and Seek will be thrown off as another Godsend?
1. Hide and Seek - 16.4
2. Million Dollar Baby - 14.1
3. Are We There Yet? - 10.8
4. Alone in the Dark - 9.6
5. Meet the Fockers - 7.2
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
Last edited by Joker's Thug #3 on Fri Jan 28, 2005 9:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 5:54 pm |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am Posts: 1255
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Killuminati510 wrote: Dont you guys think Hide and Seek will be thrown off as another Godsend?
1. Million Dollar Baby - 14.1 2. Hide and Seek - 11.4 3. Are We There Yet? - 10.8 4. Alone in the Dark - 9.6 5. Meet the Fockers - 7.2
Hide and Seek wouldn't be another Godsend, but it would be another "Cold Creek Manor" or "City by the Sea".
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 6:00 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Nope, Hide and Seek has had a much stronger campaign. Its trailer is literally attached to every movie I saw in theaters recently.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 6:01 pm |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am Posts: 1255
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xiayun wrote: Nope, Hide and Seek has had a much stronger campaign. Its trailer is literally attached to every movie I saw in theaters recently.
"Cold Creek Manor" also had a very strong campaign.
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 6:04 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48677 Location: Arlington, VA
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mary wrote: xiayun wrote: Nope, Hide and Seek has had a much stronger campaign. Its trailer is literally attached to every movie I saw in theaters recently. "Cold Creek Manor" also had a very strong campaign.
I don't think it did. I remember hardly ever seeing ads for Cold Creek Manor when it was released. This film is also being released in a less crowded time than that was (that actually opened the same weekend that three other movies did).
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 6:36 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Cold Creek Manor not only had a bad campaign, but it opened in the killer month of September. Hide and Seek not only has a great campaign, but with the way recent horror movies and January movies are going, I think it's almost assured to get atleast $15 million for the weekend.
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 6:43 pm |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am Posts: 1255
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January is very slow month.
I had seen many TV spots of Cold Creek Manor, they were very good(the trailer is good, too.).
"The Butterfly Effect" and "Alone in the Dark" are the kind of movies that appeal greatly to teens and young adults - they don't need to receive good reviews to attract their target audience.
"High and Seek" and "Cold Creek Manor" are the movies for mature audience -- they need to receive good reviews to attract their target audience.
Maybe, many predictions are based on the assumption that "High and Seek" will receive mostly good reviews. However, I think that both "High and Seek" and "Alone in the Dark" will receive mostly bad reviews .
If "High and Seek" receives mostly good reviews, it would get at least $15 million for the weekend.
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 8:55 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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xiayun wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Zingaling wrote: Million Dollar Baby will be opening in 1850 theaters next weekend. I think it can get an $8,000 PTA. Well, the thing is that it had a PTA of $14,867 last weekend in 122 theatres. This weekend the PTA will be probably down to around $11,000. After adding 1,700 theatres, I don't tink the PTA will drop by just $3,000. I expect a PTA not higher than $6,000. I expect it to be higher than $6000, with major oscar nominations it's going to get.
Well, the thing is that it'll have to compete against Sideways and The Aviator which will get even more oscar nominations in my opinion and be stronger candidates. Also, it just doesn't seem like the kind of a movie to have a big weekend.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 9:13 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
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Were Hide and Seek PG-13, I'd guess it could've opened to nearly 20 million. But this is R, so it will be more limited to an adult audience, and I think they'll be too sidetracked on more of the Oscar contenders. That and personally, I'm just not seeing how Dakota Fanning as a serial killer is scary. Should it get good reviews, I'll boost my prediction, but right now, I'm expecting about 20-40% on RT.
NOTE: Oh yeah, and so far all the reviews I've read have been firing this movie to kingdom come, and the director's only other film was the classic known as Swimf@n.
Last edited by MovieDude on Sat Jan 22, 2005 11:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 11:29 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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mary wrote: "The Butterfly Effect" and "Alone in the Dark" are the kind of movies that appeal greatly to teens and young adults - they don't need to receive good reviews to attract their target audience.
There's a difference here: The Butterfly Effect actually looked interesting and original.
Alone in the Dark looks the opposite.
Predictions:
1. Hide & Seek - $15.5 (NEW)
2. Million Dollar Baby - $11.5 (NEW)
3. Are We There Yet? - $10.2 (-40%)
4. Coach Carter - $7.9 (-39%)
5. Alone in the Dark - $6.4 (NEW)
6. Meet the Fockers - $6.4 (-43%)
7. In Good Company - $5.7 (-40%)
8. The Aviator - $4.4 (-5%)
9. Racing Stripes - $4.3 (-41%)
10. Assault on Precinct 13 - $3.5 (-50%)
11. The Phantom of the Opera - $3.5 (-20%)
** White Noise - $2.3 (-60%)
** Elektra - $1.7 (-60%)
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Sat Jan 22, 2005 11:39 pm |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am Posts: 1255
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[quote="micasey300"]
There's a difference here: The Butterfly Effect actually looked interesting and original.
Alone in the Dark looks the opposite. [quote]
"Alone in the Dark" trailer isn't my cup of tea, but I heard many young people say that they like the trailer. (The poster is very effective to attract teens and young adults, too.)
I personally hope "Hide and Seek" hit and "Alone in the Dark" hugely bomb . However, when I do box office prediction, I won't only care about the taste of myself, what I care most is the taste of general public.
Last edited by mary on Sun Jan 23, 2005 12:20 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Sun Jan 23, 2005 12:15 am |
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