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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32128 Location: the last free city
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TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! *VICTORY!!!!*
I feel the need, the need to lose another club Members: Rev stuffp
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
Last edited by Rev on Tue May 31, 2022 1:49 pm, edited 5 times in total.
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Thu Apr 28, 2022 5:39 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
Uh... yeah this isn't doing that much more than a Mission Impossible movie unless older audiences really show up. Even then I don't see how this opens to more than $60m.
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Thu Apr 28, 2022 5:57 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22733 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
Older audiences will show up. This is probably the most anticipated film this year for most people my age.
Though I’m thinking close to $80m-100m 4-day at this stage.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Thu Apr 28, 2022 6:59 pm |
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stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am Posts: 11240 Location: Bright Falls
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
In, because YAS!!
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Thu Apr 28, 2022 7:10 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11608
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
Reviews are raves so far and it's supposed to be a big crowdpleaser. At the same time, pre-pandemic even MI franchise has only done $61M at best. I can see this play throughout the summer and reach a big total compared to a massive OW out the gate. $80M 4 day would be a win but could cruise ( ) to $250M+
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Thu Apr 28, 2022 8:02 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20418 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
This is more likely than the other club. It's tracking at 95-130m.
I'd lean toward the lower end and say 95m OW
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Fri Apr 29, 2022 9:38 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32128 Location: the last free city
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
stuffp wrote: In, because YAS!! MY MAN!
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Fri Apr 29, 2022 12:05 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32128 Location: the last free city
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
MadGez wrote: Older audiences will show up. This is probably the most anticipated film this year for most people my age.
Though I’m thinking close to $80m-100m 4-day at this stage. IN DROVES!
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Fri Apr 29, 2022 12:06 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
I'm kinda shocked; BO's projected opening is $95-130m... I feel like I have gone insane lol but I just don't see how that's possible. Will be glad to be wrong but that sounds really farfetched to me.
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Fri Apr 29, 2022 2:34 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38240
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
I really have a hard time seeing a Tom Cruise movie open to more than like 60 mil 3 day, it seems like he has a ceiling. This will be interesting movie to predict in monthly contest.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Fri Apr 29, 2022 2:57 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32128 Location: the last free city
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
publicenemy#1 wrote: I'm kinda shocked; BO's projected opening is $95-130m... I feel like I have gone insane lol but I just don't see how that's possible. Will be glad to be wrong but that sounds really farfetched to me. Shack wrote: I really have a hard time seeing a Tom Cruise movie open to more than like 60 mil 3 day, it seems like he has a ceiling. This will be interesting movie to predict in monthly contest. 'That is why you fail' - Yoda
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Fri Apr 29, 2022 2:59 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23908 Location: Classified
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
The constant delays have actually benefited Top Gun: Maverick. Thanks to ole Vladdy's antics on the other side of the globe, there's now a huge market for a rah-rah military film to unite the western world. Clint Eastwood usually fills that spot, but since he doesn't have anything ready, Tom Cruise is gonna have to be the hero we need.
$150M opening is still way too high, but I'll be much less surprised by a huge breakout than a flop.
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Fri Apr 29, 2022 3:48 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6161 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
I do there is appetite for a war film, I keep seeing WW2 and Vietnam war movies near the top of Netflix most popular since the Ukraine thing started.
_________________ .
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Fri Apr 29, 2022 5:17 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6196
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
Based on internal MTC reports, this movie have big hype. But 150m over memorial day is not a joke. I hope you are right. But I will stay out for now :-)
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon May 02, 2022 6:59 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32128 Location: the last free city
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
Keyser Söze wrote: Based on internal MTC reports, this movie have big hype. But 150m over memorial day is not a joke. I hope you are right. But I will stay out for now :-) Sack up & join already before club is closed on 5/9
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Mon May 02, 2022 8:45 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32128 Location: the last free city
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! ***club closes on 5/9***
This club will close on 5/9
JOIN!!!!
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Mon May 02, 2022 8:54 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21654 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! ***club closes on 5/9***
Not in, the film is great and should be viewed by everything . But this film will unfortunately struggle to this for total
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Tue May 03, 2022 2:49 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32128 Location: the last free city
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! ***club closes on 5/9***
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Tue May 03, 2022 5:50 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6196
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! ***club closes on 5/9***
its easily setting new OW record for a cruise movie. Presales started today and its way stronger than Jurassic World 3 presales start. Its looking extremely strong. i think 4 day OW > 100m should happen. But 150m looks too high.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Tue May 03, 2022 5:47 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6196
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
Rev wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: Based on internal MTC reports, this movie have big hype. But 150m over memorial day is not a joke. I hope you are right. But I will stay out for now :-) Sack up & join already before club is closed on 5/9 it has better chance of success if I stay out. i want it to succeed.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Tue May 03, 2022 5:48 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32128 Location: the last free city
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
Keyser Söze wrote: Rev wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: Based on internal MTC reports, this movie have big hype. But 150m over memorial day is not a joke. I hope you are right. But I will stay out for now :-) Sack up & join already before club is closed on 5/9 it has better chance of success if I stay out. i want it to succeed.
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Wed May 04, 2022 12:28 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6196
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! ***club closes on 5/9***
PS is super strong and more important I am see reviews from early viewers who are calling this best of legacy sequels !!! So I am switching to INN. Now I am thinking 150m(4-day)/400m+ domestic. Sample review. Quote: Gopher said: Just saw it... if it really opens to 100 3-day, yeah, can't see how it misses American Sniper. It's the best of this generation of legacy sequels. Just the real deal. REPEAT viewings will be strong, that's how good it is. Jurassic World will obviously outgross it but no way audiences will like that one more.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Wed May 11, 2022 1:02 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6196
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! ***club closes on 5/9***
https://twitter.com/NextBestPicture/sta ... 2234100737Another reaction at twitter calling it to be way better than 1st movie.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Wed May 11, 2022 1:08 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20418 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! *CLOSED*
It's gonna have an 88 day theatrical window like NWH as well. Will really let it leg out if it gets well received as people are expecting.
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Wed May 11, 2022 1:21 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
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Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! *CLOSED*
What a trip. I'll believe these #s when I see them but yeah, don't see this opening as low as I thought.
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Wed May 11, 2022 1:23 pm |
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