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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23868 Location: Classified
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Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
My current opening weekend predictions:
Avengers: Endgame - $275M Curse of La Llarona - $47M Shazam! - $44M Little - $35M Pet Semetary - $33M Hellboy - $20M Breakthrough - $20M Missing Link - $12M The Best of Enemies - $8M
Obviously not everything is a breakout, but we are looking at $30M openers all month long spread out across different genres.
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Tue Mar 26, 2019 1:58 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3130
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
Curse is too high. Shazam too low.
But yea, April is the new June.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Tue Mar 26, 2019 2:22 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38156
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
Did Avengers basically make April a summer month?
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Tue Mar 26, 2019 2:24 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3130
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
I think Fast and Furious (4th one, 2009) started the trend. Shack wrote: Did Avengers basically make April a summer month?
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Tue Mar 26, 2019 2:30 pm |
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Samweis Gamdschie
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:35 pm Posts: 2077 Location: At the edge of reality
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
1) it doesn’t matter what time of the year it is, a blockbuster can also open with 200m in August or September. The only season where you really experience an advantage is Christmas time. 2) 275m for Endgame won‘t happen, it‘s runtime is over 3 hours. I guess something around 220-230m is the range where it will end up.
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Tue Mar 26, 2019 2:39 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21649 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
Hellboy 2's opening adjusts to 43 million and this one has more general audience appeal, and 11 years of build up and it doesn't look , I wouldn't be surprised if it out opened Shazam.
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Tue Mar 26, 2019 5:07 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38156
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
I am not sure if Hellboy will surprise or disappoint. He is a character people know despite neither of the first few films being huge, but could get lost in the shuffle of Avengers and Shazam as well
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Tue Mar 26, 2019 6:28 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22705 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
Avengers: Endgame - $270M Shazam! - $60M Pet Semetary - $35M Hellboy - $30M Curse of La Llarona - $28M Breakthrough - $20M Missing Link - $18M Little - $17M The Best of Enemies - $10M
It really is a superb month. Great potential.
Though I cant help but think what a wasted opportunity of not having released Hellboy in January like it was originally supposed to + Shazam could have killed in February (all hindsight offcourse considering Glass and Lego 2 were expected to perform better) but there still were gaps that could have been filled.
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Tue Mar 26, 2019 7:00 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22705 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
BTW - It is good to see April as a legit strong month at the BO (holding the all time record).
After "Summer" edged into early May by the mid 90s, there were many attempts to try and kickstart the summer even earlier.
1997 was the first attempt with Volcano opening over the last weekend in April. But that film was always doomed thanks to Dante's Peak beating it to release. It was a little more successful in 2002 with The Scorpion King but then Spider-man came along in early May blasting off to a new monster record and wiped out any memory of that film.
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Tue Mar 26, 2019 8:18 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38156
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
I keep forgetting Haddish is not in Little.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Tue Mar 26, 2019 11:42 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22705 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
Yeah I had no idea what Little was until this thread. Not really sure what it can do.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Tue Mar 26, 2019 11:55 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18907 Location: San Diego
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
Thegun wrote: I wouldn't be surprised if it out opened Shazam. Um... yeah, I'd be shocked if Hellboy does over $35m weekend. Shazam will do $45m+ I hope Shazam is a decent hit, the reviews will certainly help and I think WoM will make this another DCEU leggy run. Pet Sematary and La Llarona are wild cards. Would be intetesting if one of them managed 100m
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Wed Mar 27, 2019 12:50 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67067
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
Hellboy won't make shit. There are already two movies out there for the niche that love that character. The masses don't give a shit about Hellboy, and there's no more or less appeal for this one that the GDT ones.
Flava'd's prediction seems good, if a little low. I think it could get $23-$25m.
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Wed Mar 27, 2019 1:02 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
So Lit is still going around even after Magnus left This month seems really nice in terms of breakout potential. The wild cards are definitely the two horror movies (Pet Semetary and La Llorna). I don't think Shazam! will be as leggy as the last two DCEU movies even with good WoM mostly because the competition before and after it is BIG.
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Wed Mar 27, 2019 1:13 am |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
The Curse of La Llorona is getting middling reviews. $40m+ is less likely now. Low $30m is still good though.
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Wed Mar 27, 2019 1:47 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38156
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Mar 27, 2019 2:31 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32120 Location: the last free city
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
Avengers: Endgame - 250m Curse of La Llarona - 40m Shazam! - 100m Little - 40m Pet Semetary - 55m Hellboy - 30m Breakthrough - 18m Missing Link - 12m The Best of Enemies - 7m
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Wed Mar 27, 2019 2:36 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23868 Location: Classified
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
i.hope wrote: The Curse of La Llorona is getting middling reviews. $40m+ is less likely now. Low $30m is still good though. That’s a bummer but it sure didn’t stop The Nun. I saw the new trailer for that and Little at Us and both slayed with the audience. That was the inspiration for this thread.
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Wed Mar 27, 2019 11:15 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23868 Location: Classified
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
Could Hellboy go under $10M opening? The marketing campaign has been so poor for a movie that nobody really wanted in the first place. And it is opening the week before Endgame? It’s going to ruin my thread.
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Thu Apr 04, 2019 2:30 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38156
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
The other characters, villain, etc. in Hellboy looks really low grade.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Fri Apr 05, 2019 12:11 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67067
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
I think people were up for another Hellboy, just not THIS Hellboy.
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Fri Apr 05, 2019 12:57 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18907 Location: San Diego
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
Yeah, I'm not quite sure what they were thinking releasing Hellboy at this date, just like it was dumb Hellboy 2 opened right before The Dark Knight. This could've done okay in January/February maybe.
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Fri Apr 05, 2019 1:25 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67067
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
Well they keep thinking Hellboy can be another Venom or Deadpool. But he NEVER will be.
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Fri Apr 05, 2019 1:34 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22705 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
publicenemy#1 wrote: Yeah, I'm not quite sure what they were thinking releasing Hellboy at this date, just like it was dumb Hellboy 2 opened right before The Dark Knight. This could've done okay in January/February maybe. It was originally scheduled for January. Moving it to April was stupid.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Fri Apr 05, 2019 8:50 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Is April 2019 Gonna Be Lit?
Yeah Hellboy is going to flop big time. I honestly wouldn't be surprised if it opened in the single digits, but it might end up barely scraping into the low to mid teens.
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Sat Apr 06, 2019 12:49 am |
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