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 The Pirates of the Caribbean:AWE|Prediction|Tracking Thread 
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Devil's Advocate
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If Shrek 3 can get 130 mil OW... Pirates. opening. is. going. to. be. insane.

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Sat May 19, 2007 12:46 pm
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Shack Your Booty, Love wrote:
If Shrek 3 can get 130 mil OW... Pirates. opening. is. going. to. be. insane.


indeed, 160m+ fo sho.

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Sat May 19, 2007 12:48 pm
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6 days from opening, and I no frickin' clue what this is opening to. It could either get crushed by the demand already met by SM3 and Shrek and get only $110 million. Or it could be the rising end to an amazing month and get $160 in just 3 days (Or $155 million, should BOM continue to retardedly not count 10PM screenings).

I'm befuddled.


Sat May 19, 2007 12:49 pm
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Positive* Jon wrote:
6 days from opening, and I no frickin' clue what this is opening to. It could either get crushed by the demand already met by SM3 and Shrek and get only $110 million. Or it could be the rising end to an amazing month and get $160 in just 3 days (Or $155 million, should BOM continue to retardedly not count 10PM screenings).

I'm befuddled.


193 3-day

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Sat May 19, 2007 12:50 pm
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BOM is not going to count Pirates' Thursday towards the weekend. That's for certain. So, any chance of the opening weekend record is gone now, really.


Sat May 19, 2007 12:52 pm
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Scorponok wrote:
BOM is not going to count Pirates' Thursday towards the weekend. That's for certain. So, any chance of the opening weekend record is gone now, really.


If only BOM was official.

It'll happen cause the studio will count it towards the weekend and the newspapers/shows will report it that way as well. Same thing happened with Matrix Reloaded.

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Last edited by Squee on Sat May 19, 2007 12:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat May 19, 2007 12:53 pm
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Scorponok wrote:
BOM is not going to count Pirates' Thursday towards the weekend. That's for certain. So, any chance of the opening weekend record is gone now, really.


BS, Pirates will crush spidey like a bug.

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Sat May 19, 2007 12:54 pm
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Well, yeah, I guess that's true. BOM isn't going to count it, but the studio definitely will, as will SBD and other media sources (and most news sources pick SBD over BOM, I think).


Sat May 19, 2007 12:55 pm
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Scorponok wrote:
BOM is not going to count Pirates' Thursday towards the weekend. That's for certain. So, any chance of the opening weekend record is gone now, really.
I love how dastardly BOM has been about this whole thing. First, they make a poll asking users whether the Thursday sneaks should be counted (cleverly pretending to listen to our opinions), then, after a landslide vote for "Yes", go ahead and exclude the grosses anyways.


Sat May 19, 2007 12:55 pm
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BJ wrote:
Nazgul9 wrote:
Box wrote:
I hope Pirates will destroy Shrek. And get the OW record.


OMG PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE

I hope Pirates will destroy Shrek. And not get the OW record.


OMG PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE

I hope Pirates will destroy Shrek. And get the OW record.


OMG PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE


I hope Pirates will destroy Shrek. And get the OD, OW, Sat., Sun., Mon. record.


OMG PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE

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Sat May 19, 2007 12:55 pm
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Squee wrote:
Scorponok wrote:
BOM is not going to count Pirates' Thursday towards the weekend. That's for certain. So, any chance of the opening weekend record is gone now, really.


If only BOM was official.

It'll happen cause the studio will count it towards the weekend and the newspapers/shows will report it that way as well. Same thing happened with Matrix Reloaded.


Yeah, screw Brandon... If it gets 160 mil by Sunday I'll still call it champ. I think it'll be counted as a 5-day total if anything though.

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Sat May 19, 2007 12:56 pm
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Biggestgeekever wrote:
Scorponok wrote:
BOM is not going to count Pirates' Thursday towards the weekend. That's for certain. So, any chance of the opening weekend record is gone now, really.
I love how dastardly BOM has been about this whole thing. First, they make a poll asking users whether the Thursday sneaks should be counted (cleverly pretending to listen to our opinions), then, after a landslide vote for "Yes", go ahead and exclude the grosses anyways.


Sean, Brandon and there associates are all a bunch of pricks.

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Sat May 19, 2007 12:59 pm
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no...their right. fanbase films like this make a KILLING at late night screenings. midnights do 10 million+, just imagine how much the 8 pms could do.

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Sat May 19, 2007 1:09 pm
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I wonder if BOM will count midnights and 8pms as separate. I mean, midnights for other films are counted towards Friday, but Pirates has both. So, could 8pms be for Thursday and midnights for Friday?

FUCK YOU BOM.


Sat May 19, 2007 1:10 pm
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the midnights wont be too much, but theyll be on friday.

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Sat May 19, 2007 1:11 pm
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WE GOT RANDY MOSS!! wrote:
no...their right. fanbase films like this make a KILLING at late night screenings. midnights do 10 million+, just imagine how much the 8 pms could do.


That's why I'm currently at a 70 mil+ OD with 8 pms. It's going to get like 20 mil from the 8 pms, if not more. People who will go to a film at midnight is a fairly small and nerdy section of the audience. But 8 pm... That's primetime. It'll be fun stuff.

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Sat May 19, 2007 1:13 pm
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WE GOT RANDY MOSS!! wrote:
the midnights wont be too much, but theyll be on friday.


Yeah, people won't go to the midnights much if it's playing earlier.

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Sat May 19, 2007 1:14 pm
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Shack Your Booty, Love wrote:
WE GOT RANDY MOSS!! wrote:
no...their right. fanbase films like this make a KILLING at late night screenings. midnights do 10 million+, just imagine how much the 8 pms could do.


That's why I'm currently at a 70 mil+ OD with 8 pms. It's going to get like 20 mil from the 8 pms, if not more. People who will go to a film at midnight is a fairly small and nerdy section of the audience. But 8 pm... That's primetime. It'll be fun stuff.
Really? Hmm, maybe I should rethink wearing Jack Sparrow drag to the show...


Sat May 19, 2007 1:14 pm
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BOM is right in not including 8pm shows in friday's gross because it isn't friday, it's thursday.

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Sat May 19, 2007 1:37 pm
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This is going to be very strange. So its 4-day gross will be Thursday through Sunday or Friday through Monday? Surely it will make more Friday through Monday than Thursday through Sunday, but which will they use for their charts?


Sat May 19, 2007 1:40 pm
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redfirebird2008 wrote:
This is going to be very strange. So its 4-day gross will be Thursday through Sunday or Friday through Monday? Surely it will make more Friday through Monday than Thursday through Sunday, but which will they use for their charts?
It will be the Friday though monday gross, and I will have an asterick saying it had sneaks the day before.


Sat May 19, 2007 1:42 pm
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Biggestgeekever wrote:
redfirebird2008 wrote:
This is going to be very strange. So its 4-day gross will be Thursday through Sunday or Friday through Monday? Surely it will make more Friday through Monday than Thursday through Sunday, but which will they use for their charts?
It will be the Friday though monday gross, and I will have an asterick saying it had sneaks the day before.


Yeah, but then for the 5-day chart, it will be Thursday through Monday if the Thursday showings are bigger than Tuesday's gross. I'm starting to think Disney made a mistake with this as far as 4-day, 5-day, 6-day records and so on. By having just 4 hours of time for that Thursday, BOM will still count that as a full day against Pirates.


Sat May 19, 2007 1:43 pm
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redfirebird2008 wrote:
Biggestgeekever wrote:
redfirebird2008 wrote:
This is going to be very strange. So its 4-day gross will be Thursday through Sunday or Friday through Monday? Surely it will make more Friday through Monday than Thursday through Sunday, but which will they use for their charts?
It will be the Friday though monday gross, and I will have an asterick saying it had sneaks the day before.


Yeah, but then for the 5-day chart, it will be Thursday through Monday if the Thursday showings are bigger than Tuesday's gross.
Eh, I'm pretty sure the same will apply, since Tuesday is going to a full day, while Thursday, even if it's larger, is still sneaks for a limited timeframe.


Sat May 19, 2007 1:44 pm
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meaning 4-day, 5-day, 6-day, 7-day, 8-day, 9-day, 10-day records are going to all go down easily...

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Sat May 19, 2007 1:45 pm
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Something tells me they'll count Thursday as a full day, just like they did with Matrix Reloaded and Shrek 3. Kind of messed up when you think about it. I mean honestly, the 4-day, 5-day, etc. totals of DMC, SM3, and Sith were made in 4 or 5 full days, not in 3 or 4 days plus 4 hours.


Sat May 19, 2007 1:46 pm
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