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 January 7-9 Predictions 
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College Boy Z

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Post January 7-9 Predictions
Only one opener, but a few movies are expanding. White Noise should open to over $15 million, even with the 2,000 theater count. Hopefully, though, it'll have a much higher theater count so it may be able to break $20 million.

Meet the Fockers - $27 million
White Noise - $16 million


Last edited by zingy on Sun Jan 09, 2005 2:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Jan 02, 2005 2:32 am
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White Noise-$20 million

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Sun Jan 02, 2005 4:07 pm
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Jon Lyrik wrote:
White Noise-$20 million


You are one of the few (including me & Zingaling, based on his 16 mil. pred.) that think that this movie looks interesting and may do reasonably well :)

@Zingaling: Are you expecting a decent movie with this one?

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Last edited by jb007 on Sun Jan 02, 2005 4:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Jan 02, 2005 4:14 pm
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jb007 wrote:
Jon Lyrik wrote:
White Noise-$20 million


You are one of the few (including me) that think that this movie looks interesting and may do reasonably well :)


I'm 90% sure it will be horrible, but I'm paying to see it because: a) it has an intriguing concept, and b) I want to see Michael Keaton make a comeback.

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Sun Jan 02, 2005 4:16 pm
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Jon Lyrik wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Jon Lyrik wrote:
White Noise-$20 million


You are one of the few (including me) that think that this movie looks interesting and may do reasonably well :)


I'm 90% sure it will be horrible, but I'm paying to see it because: a) it has an intriguing concept, and b) I want to see Michael Keaton make a comeback.


I agree :) I will see it in the theater too.

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Sun Jan 02, 2005 4:19 pm
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1. Meet the Fockers - $30.2 (-29.4%)
2. White Noise - $15.0 (NEW)
3. The Aviator - $8.6 (-23%)
4. Lemony Snicket - $6.9 (-53%)
5. Ocean's Twelve - $5.3 (-42%)
6. Fat Albert - $5.2 (-51%)
7. Spanglish - $4.4 (-30%)
8. National Treasure - $4.2 (-40%)
9. Kinsey - $3.8 (Expansion)
10. The Phantom of the Opera - $3.7 (-22%)
11. The Polar Express - $3.2 (-44%)
12. The Life Aquatic - $3.2 (-25%)
** Darkness - $1.9 (-58%)

All teen or kid movies will fall harder this weekend, obviously. Meet the Fockers is a broad audience, and Mrs Doubtfire fell 29% on the exact same weekend, so Meet the Fockers shouldn't have too big of a drop. White Noise is a teen movie, so it will have a not-so-high gross. Darkness gets the double wammy of competition and teen desertion.


Last edited by MGKC on Sun Jan 02, 2005 8:33 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Sun Jan 02, 2005 8:23 pm
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micasey300 wrote:
1. Meet the Fockers - $30.2 (-29.4%)
2. White Noise - $15.0 (NEW)
3. The Aviator - $8.6 (-23%)
4. Lemony Snicket - $6.9 (-53%)
5. Ocean's Twelve - $5.3 (-42%)
6. Fat Albert - $5.2 (-51%)
7. Spanglish - $4.4 (-30%)
8. National Treasure - $4.2 (-40%)
9. Kinsey - $3.8 (Expansion)
10. The Polar Express - $3.2 (-44%)
11. The Life Aquatic - $3.2 (-25%)

All teen or kid movies will fall harder this weekend, obviously. Meet the Fockers is a broad audience, and Mrs Doubtfire fell 29% on the exact same weekend, so Meet the Fockers shouldn't have too big of a drop. White Noise is a teen movie, so it will have a not-so-high gross.


You think Phantom will drop to 12? Just curious...


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zach wrote:
You think Phantom will drop to 12? Just curious...

No, I just predicted the holdovers that came to mind. I'll edit it in.


Sun Jan 02, 2005 8:30 pm
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micasey300 wrote:
zach wrote:
You think Phantom will drop to 12? Just curious...

No, I just predicted the holdovers that came to mind. I'll edit it in.


Oh ok. I personally think it will drop to 10, but not like 13, lol. :D :wink:


Sun Jan 02, 2005 8:40 pm
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1. Meet the Fockers - $25.9 million
2. White Noise - $14.9 million
3. Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events - $9.5 million
4. The Aviator - $9.1 million
5. Fat Albert - $6.4 million

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BJs wknd outlook 8)

1.Meet the Fockers - 32.29m (-24.5% from last Wknd)
2.White Noices - 17.61m New
3.The Aviator - 9.58m (-14.5% from last Wknd)
4.Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events - 9.02m (-38% from last Wknd)
5.Ocean's Twelve - 6.10m (-34% from last Wknd)
6.Fat Albert - 5.27m (-51% from last Wknd)
7.Spanglish - 4.87m (-25%% from last Wknd)
8.National Treasure - 4.80m (-32% from last Wknd)
9.The Polar Express - 4.67m (-18% from last Wknd)
10.The Phantom of the Opera - 4.20m (-12% from last Wknd)
11.The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou - 3.74m (-13% from last Wknd)
12.Kinsley - 3.64m (+600% from last Wknd)

Top Ten Total: 102.25m
Top Twelve Total: 105.79m

8)

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Mon Jan 03, 2005 3:38 am
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Meet the Fockers - 25 million
White Noise - 21 million


Mon Jan 03, 2005 4:43 am
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Meet the Fockers - 25 million
White Noise - 21 million


Mon Jan 03, 2005 4:43 am
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1. Meet the Fockers - $30
2. Lemony Snicket - $9.8
3. The Aviator - $8.5
4. White Noise - $8
5. Fat Albert - $6.4
6. Ocean's Twelve - $5.9
7. National Treasure - $4.3
8. Spanglish - $4.2
9. The Phantom of the Opera - $3.5
10. The Polar Express - $2.9
11. The Life Aquatic - $2.9
** Kinsey - $0.9
** Million Dollar Baby - $0.8
** Hotel Rwanda - $0.6


Mon Jan 03, 2005 6:30 am
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Most movies will drop 35-55% :P

White noise - 12.5 mill


Mon Jan 03, 2005 12:36 pm
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White noise 17.9 Million


Mon Jan 03, 2005 6:07 pm
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Ring Clone number 3 - 14.8 million


Mon Jan 03, 2005 7:47 pm
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micasey300 wrote:
Meet the Fockers is a broad audience, and Mrs Doubtfire fell 29% on the exact same weekend,


Yeah, over ten years ago... :lol:

It will have a very good hold, though.

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Mon Jan 03, 2005 8:28 pm
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El_masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
Ring Clone number 3 - 14.8 million



HOw is white noise a ring clone? and what was the other one besides Grudge?

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lovemerox wrote:
El_masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
Ring Clone number 3 - 14.8 million



HOw is white noise a ring clone? and what was the other one besides Grudge?


I think he means They.

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Mon Jan 03, 2005 8:45 pm
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Jon Lyrik wrote:
micasey300 wrote:
Meet the Fockers is a broad audience, and Mrs Doubtfire fell 29% on the exact same weekend,


Yeah, over ten years ago... :lol:

It will have a very good hold, though.

10 years...1 year...what's the difference? :wink:


Mon Jan 03, 2005 11:02 pm
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micasey300 wrote:
Jon Lyrik wrote:
micasey300 wrote:
Meet the Fockers is a broad audience, and Mrs Doubtfire fell 29% on the exact same weekend,


Yeah, over ten years ago... :lol:

It will have a very good hold, though.

10 years...1 year...what's the difference? :wink:


Either way, I'm lovin' that new avatar.

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Mon Jan 03, 2005 11:31 pm
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1 MEET THE FOCKERS $24.2
2 WHITE NOISE $14
3 THE AVIATOR $8
4 LEMONY SNICKET'S $7.8
5 OCEAN'S TWELVE $5.8
6 FAT ALBERT $5.6
7 SPANGLISH $4.2
8 THE POLAR EXPRESS $3.6
9 THE PHANTOM OF $3.4
10 Life Aquatic $3


Tue Jan 04, 2005 7:35 am
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College Boy Z

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jb007 wrote:
Jon Lyrik wrote:
White Noise-$20 million


You are one of the few (including me & Zingaling, based on his 16 mil. pred.) that think that this movie looks interesting and may do reasonably well :)

@Zingaling: Are you expecting a decent movie with this one?


Yes, very much. To me, it's the most appealing movie this month. I love the concept of the movie, and it has the potential to be a great movie if they don't screw it up.


Tue Jan 04, 2005 7:40 am
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1 MEET THE FOCKERS $28,000,000
2 WHITE NOISE $17,500,000
3 LEMONY SNICKET'S $9,900,000
4 THE AVIATOR $8,500,000
5 OCEAN'S TWELVE $6,200,000

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