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 The Pirates of the Caribbean:AWE|Prediction|Tracking Thread 
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Cream of the Crop
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I would expect the trailer in theaters with either The Last Mimzy on the 23rd or Meet the Robinsons on the 30th (or both).

Joy


Fri Mar 02, 2007 3:18 pm
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Superfreak
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thats the same kind of launch kong had. means nothing

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Fri Mar 02, 2007 3:41 pm
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I just lost the game
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OW
3: 125
4: 150

Total: 390

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Fri Mar 02, 2007 4:20 pm
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Superfreak
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AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHA

Ok so the toptwo films will be combining for near 200 million on that weekend?

PUH-LEAZE

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Fri Mar 02, 2007 5:14 pm
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Extraordinary
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Excel: Special Edition wrote:
thats the same kind of launch kong had. means nothing

You're reaching now. Kong was not a sequel to a $420m hit. Don't make yourself sound stupid. Wait, too late...

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Fri Mar 02, 2007 8:48 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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Nazgul9 wrote:
Excel: Special Edition wrote:
thats the same kind of launch kong had. means nothing

You're reaching now. Kong was not a sequel to a $420m hit. Don't make yourself sound stupid. Wait, too late...


:notworthy:

Post of the day :shades:

:clap: :2thumbsup:

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Fri Mar 02, 2007 9:53 pm
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Iron Man
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Nazgul9 wrote:
Excel: Special Edition wrote:
thats the same kind of launch kong had. means nothing

You're reaching now. Kong was not a sequel to a $420m hit. Don't make yourself sound stupid. Wait, too late...


Earlier today I was trying to come up with a reply to Excel's idiotic post...I'm glad I ended up not posting anything and you came along. Bravo!


Fri Mar 02, 2007 10:25 pm
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notfabio wrote:
Update on the PIRT3 trailer. There will only be one as things currently are planned and it will be premiered roadblocked on TV (ala King Kong)

The rumor is ABC will the "Big 3" TV network debut and it will be with Dancing With The Stars (yes, really)


Fri Mar 02, 2007 10:29 pm
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^Old news... ;-)


Fri Mar 02, 2007 10:31 pm
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...


Last edited by gotdane on Fri Mar 02, 2007 10:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Fri Mar 02, 2007 10:33 pm
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Superfreak
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heh. told you it was like king kong.

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Fri Mar 02, 2007 10:38 pm
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Nazgul9 wrote:
Excel: Special Edition wrote:
thats the same kind of launch kong had. means nothing

You're reaching now. Kong was not a sequel to a $420m hit. Don't make yourself sound stupid. Wait, too late...


I'M reaching?????? episode 1 made 420 million. sometimes it takes time for the suckage factor to sink in.

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Fri Mar 02, 2007 10:40 pm
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But you just said that there wasn't a big enough gap between Pirates II and III to build "hype" or get people excited or whatever, so that must mean that there wasn't enough time for the suckage to sink in. 10 months is not enough time according to your example of Episode I and II, which had a three-year gap. Therefore, you're just proven yourself wrong.


Fri Mar 02, 2007 10:47 pm
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nope. that would make sense but they were totally different points.

1. it takes more then 5 months or whatever the time between release n dvd release was, for the suckage factor to sink in.
2. episode 1 is a film that made 420 million+ from legs but the second went down down downnnn!

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Fri Mar 02, 2007 11:13 pm
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Is this five-month figure statistically proven? I guess The Matrix Revolutions didn't go "down, down, downnnn!" because of the second's word-of-mouth, but competition from Elf, right? (Reloaded's DVD released in October, Revolutions weeks later)


Fri Mar 02, 2007 11:17 pm
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Excel: Special Edition wrote:
Nazgul9 wrote:
Excel: Special Edition wrote:
thats the same kind of launch kong had. means nothing

You're reaching now. Kong was not a sequel to a $420m hit. Don't make yourself sound stupid. Wait, too late...


I'M reaching?????? episode 1 made 420 million. sometimes it takes time for the suckage factor to sink in.

A movie won't make $400+ million if the general audience thinks it sucks. That's bullsh!t.

Also, it's funny that you bring up SW Ep I. I recently went back and watched the new trilogy. and Ep. I easily was my favorite. (I claimed Ep. III my favorite right after I saw it in theaters, but after watching it again, it really was a lame movie) The new trilogy really was lame.

Your bring up moot points, Excel.


Sat Mar 03, 2007 12:43 am
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Excel: Special Edition wrote:
Ok so the toptwo films will be combining for near 200 million on that weekend?


Yeah, basically. Shrek 3 will get between $65 and $75 million. That should put Shrek and Sparrow's total at around $200 million, give or take $10 million.

I've said it before, and I'm not the only one who has. 2007 is going to sit all new sorts of benchmarks and records, especially in terms of frontloading. It seems the somewhat weak years of 2005 and 2006 have simply been leading up to this year.

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Sat Mar 03, 2007 1:06 am
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"movie won't make $400+ million if the general audience thinks it sucks. That's bullsh!t. "

STAR WARS EPSIODE 1???ALL THE SHREK 2 HATERS????

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Sat Mar 03, 2007 2:23 am
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Excel: Special Edition wrote:
Nazgul9 wrote:
Excel: Special Edition wrote:
thats the same kind of launch kong had. means nothing

You're reaching now. Kong was not a sequel to a $420m hit. Don't make yourself sound stupid. Wait, too late...


I'M reaching?????? episode 1 made 420 million. sometimes it takes time for the suckage factor to sink in.

Suckage factor doesn't factor in if you're the only one doing the sucking. Fap fap!


Sat Mar 03, 2007 11:08 am
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Excel: Special Edition wrote:
"movie won't make $400+ million if the general audience thinks it sucks. That's bullsh!t. "

STAR WARS EPSIODE 1???ALL THE SHREK 2 HATERS????


All the Shrek 2 haters? What in God's name are you talking about? Yeah, a lot of people on this site hate it probably, but general audiences? No. It's absolutely ridiculous to think that Shrek 2 was hated.


Sat Mar 03, 2007 11:47 am
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Zingaling wrote:
Excel: Special Edition wrote:
"movie won't make $400+ million if the general audience thinks it sucks. That's bullsh!t. "

STAR WARS EPSIODE 1???ALL THE SHREK 2 HATERS????


All the Shrek 2 haters? What in God's name are you talking about? Yeah, a lot of people on this site hate it probably, but general audiences? No. It's absolutely ridiculous to think that Shrek 2 was hated.

Nothing is ridiculous to him when he sets his mind to it. If he thinks there are pink men on the Moon, then there are pink men on the Moon.


Sat Mar 03, 2007 12:47 pm
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why so serious?
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Shrek 2 wasn't as well received as its predecessor, but hated? You've got to be joking. And again, the majority of people who hated Phantom Menace were the fanboys who went in with expectations that were impossible for the movie to reach.

AWE probably won't be the biggest movie of 2007, but it will do over $300 million.

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Sat Mar 03, 2007 1:24 pm
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Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

Opening Day: 60.99m
2nd Day: 54.89m -10%
Opening Wknd: 165.97m - Fri: 60.99m / Sat: 54.89m -10% / Sun: 50.09m -8%
4-Day-Wknd: 206.03m - Mon: 40.06m -20%
5-Day: 218.84m - Tue: 12.81m -68%
6-Day: 229.73m - Wed: 10.89m -14%
Opening Wk: 240.68m - Thur: 10.95m +.5%
2nd Wknd: 80.00m -51.5% - Fri: 21.95m +100% / Sat: 36.25m +65% / Sun: 21.80m -40%
11-Day: 327.63m - Mon: 6.94m -68%
12-Day: 334.44m - Tue: 6.81m -2%
13-Day: 340.08m - Wed: 5.64m -16%
2nd Wk: 346.08m - Thur: 6.00m +5%
3rd Wknd: 40.00m -50% - Fri: 12.00m +100% / Sat: 16.95m +45% / Sun: 11.05m -34%
Wk-1: 240.68m - Wknd: 165.97m - 4-Day-Wknd: 206.03m | Total: 240.68m
Wk-2: 105.40m - Wknd: 80.00m | Total: 346.08m
Wk-3: 54.00m - Wknd: 40.00m | Total: 400.08m
Wk-4: 29.95m - Wknd: 21.45m | Total: 430.03m
Wk-5: 20.96m - Wknd: 14.29m | Total: 450.99m
Wk-6: 18.20m - Wknd: 10.64m | Total: 469.19m
Wk-7: 12.19m - Wknd: 8.01m | Total: 481.38m
Wk-8: 6.17m - Wknd: 4.00m | Total: 487.55m
Wk-9: 4.05m - Wknd: 2.60m | Total: 491.60m
Wk-10: 2.97m - Wknd: 2.00m | Total: 494.57m
Wk-11: 2.18m - Wknd: 1.40m | Total: 496.75m
Wk-12: 1.57m - Wknd: 1.00m | Total: 498.32m
Wk-13: 1.20m - Wknd: .80m | Total: 499.52m
Wk-14: .86m - Wknd: .65m | Total: 500.38m
Wk-15: 1.80m - Wknd: 1.20m - 4-Day-Wknd: 1.60m | Total: 502.18m
Wk-16: 1.00m - Wknd: .69m | Total: 503.18m
Wk-17: .85m - Wknd: .65m | Total: 504.03m
Wk-18: .59m - Wknd: .46m | Total: 504.62m
Wk-19: .38m - Wknd: .29m | Total: 505.00m
Wk-20: .26m - Wknd: .21m | Total: 505.26m
Wk-21: .20m - Wknd: .16m | Total: 505.46m
Money Made After Wk-20: ~.5m
Estimated Wks in theaters: 29
Days to 50m: 1-Days - 60.99m
Days to 100m: 2-Days - 115.88m
Days to 150m: 3-Days - 165.97m
Days to 200m: 4-Days - 206.03m
Days to 250m: 8-Days - 262.63m
Days to 300m: 10-Days - 320.68m
Days to 350m: 15-Days - 358.08m
Days to 400m: 21-Days - 400.08m
Days to 450m: 35-Days - 450.99m
Days to 500m: 94-Days - 500.17m
Domestic Total: 506m
International Total: 694m
World Wide Total: 1,200b

Multiplyer: 3.04

:smile:

"bump"

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Sat Mar 03, 2007 4:13 pm
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Magnus wrote:
POTC3 has more chance of getting below 250m than getting above 500m.


:hahaha:

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Sat Mar 03, 2007 4:18 pm
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Magnus wrote:
POTC3 has more chance of getting below 250m than getting above 500m.

That's not saying anything, sir.


Sat Mar 03, 2007 4:41 pm
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