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 Meet the Focker's prediction thread. 
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Wednesday $11.2 mil.

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Wed Dec 29, 2004 9:24 pm
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Wednesday: 12.12m -4%

Thursday: 14.06m +16%

Friday: 10.54m -25%

Saturday: 31.62m +200%

Sunday: 20.55m -35%

Wknd: 62.71m

this is my curent prediction if it continues to track like it is and has the same tipe if increases and decreases of the film of 99. I think an increase from wknd to wknd is garanteed but this is a pretting big increase over last wknd. Man would it be cool to see this 8) if it did this it would be at 186m by sunday :shock: even worst cas cenario puts this film over last wknd :shock:

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Wed Dec 29, 2004 11:58 pm
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BJ wrote:
Wednesday: 12.12m -4%

Thursday: 14.06m +16%

Friday: 10.54m -25%

Saturday: 31.62m +200%

Sunday: 20.55m -35%

Wknd: 62.71m

this is my curent prediction if it continues to track like it is and has the same tipe if increases and decreases of the film of 99. I think an increase from wknd to wknd is garanteed but this is a pretting big increase over last wknd. Man would it be cool to see this 8) if it did this it would be at 186m by sunday :shock: even worst cas cenario puts this film over last wknd :shock:


I would love to see this too 8)

This movie has defied most expectations at this point. Most people are predicting this movie to be in the 30's. I think it might stay in the 40's.

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:02 am
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BJ wrote:
Wednesday: 12.12m -4%

Thursday: 14.06m +16%

Friday: 10.54m -25%

Saturday: 31.62m +200%

Sunday: 20.55m -35%

Wknd: 62.71m

this is my curent prediction if it continues to track like it is and has the same tipe if increases and decreases of the film of 99. I think an increase from wknd to wknd is garanteed but this is a pretting big increase over last wknd. Man would it be cool to see this 8) if it did this it would be at 186m by sunday :shock: even worst cas cenario puts this film over last wknd :shock:


C'mon, can you honestly say that you really think that'll happen?

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:05 am
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jb007 wrote:
BJ wrote:
Wednesday: 12.12m -4%

Thursday: 14.06m +16%

Friday: 10.54m -25%

Saturday: 31.62m +200%

Sunday: 20.55m -35%

Wknd: 62.71m

this is my curent prediction if it continues to track like it is and has the same tipe if increases and decreases of the film of 99. I think an increase from wknd to wknd is garanteed but this is a pretting big increase over last wknd. Man would it be cool to see this 8) if it did this it would be at 186m by sunday :shock: even worst cas cenario puts this film over last wknd :shock:


I would love to see this too 8)

This movie has defied most expectations at this point. Most people are predicting this movie to be in the 30's. I think it might stay in the 40's.


to not have over 50m it would have to drop very hard for the next three days than have a moderate 150% increase on saturday :shock: this film is going to be huge the first film to open over 45m to have a 30m saturday on its second wknd :shock: I think this film can do it but its still going to shcok me when it does :shock:

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:07 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
BJ wrote:
Wednesday: 12.12m -4%

Thursday: 14.06m +16%

Friday: 10.54m -25%

Saturday: 31.62m +200%

Sunday: 20.55m -35%

Wknd: 62.71m

this is my curent prediction if it continues to track like it is and has the same tipe if increases and decreases of the film of 99. I think an increase from wknd to wknd is garanteed but this is a pretting big increase over last wknd. Man would it be cool to see this 8) if it did this it would be at 186m by sunday :shock: even worst cas cenario puts this film over last wknd :shock:


C'mon, can you honestly say that you really think that'll happen?


look at the 99 numbers this film would have to change pattern by a larg margin to not do this :shock:

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:09 am
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It will do well this weekend, I agree, just not that well. My prediction is an excellent 25% drop to $33 million.

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:11 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
BJ wrote:
Wednesday: 12.12m -4%

Thursday: 14.06m +16%

Friday: 10.54m -25%

Saturday: 31.62m +200%

Sunday: 20.55m -35%

Wknd: 62.71m

this is my curent prediction if it continues to track like it is and has the same tipe if increases and decreases of the film of 99. I think an increase from wknd to wknd is garanteed but this is a pretting big increase over last wknd. Man would it be cool to see this 8) if it did this it would be at 186m by sunday :shock: even worst cas cenario puts this film over last wknd :shock:


C'mon, can you honestly say that you really think that'll happen?


No different than putting Kingdom of Heaven and Narnia: the witch, her brother, her in-laws, her neighbors and whatever as a lock for 200 mil.

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:11 am
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True.

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:12 am
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Wknd Prediction:

62.71m +44%

this is my offical 2nd wknd prediction for Meet the Fockers 8)

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:22 am
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About twice my prediction.

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:31 am
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BJ wrote:
Wknd Prediction:

62.71m +44%

this is my offical 2nd wknd prediction for Meet the Fockers 8)


If you don't mind me asking, why exactly would it jump that much?Especially for a movie that opened to over $40 million?

2nd Weekend: $33.52 million (-25%)


Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:35 am
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RogueCommander wrote:
About twice my prediction.


the dailys speek for thenselves this film will increase this wknd 8) maybe not the outstanding 40% Im giving but it will increase 8)

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:35 am
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I predict $36.76 million

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:36 am
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Zingaling wrote:
BJ wrote:
Wknd Prediction:

62.71m +44%

this is my offical 2nd wknd prediction for Meet the Fockers 8)


If you don't mind me asking, why exactly would it jump that much?Especially for a movie that opened to over $40 million?



2nd Weekend: $33.52 million (-25%)


the numbers from 99 :wink: check out all the films from 99 then tell me that this wont increase this wknd 8)

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:37 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
I predict $36.76 million


come on Lecter this film is not going to fall. Its week day have been to good and comedy films dont colapse over the wknd.

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:39 am
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BJ wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
BJ wrote:
Wknd Prediction:

62.71m +44%

this is my offical 2nd wknd prediction for Meet the Fockers 8)


If you don't mind me asking, why exactly would it jump that much?Especially for a movie that opened to over $40 million?



2nd Weekend: $33.52 million (-25%)


the numbers from 99 :wink: check out all the films from 99 then tell me that this wont increase this wknd 8)


I go by 1999's numbers. I tell you how I come to my number.

Wednesday - -9.5%
Thursday - -3%
Friday - -34%
Saturday - +141%
Sunday - -35%

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:40 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
BJ wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
BJ wrote:
Wknd Prediction:

62.71m +44%

this is my offical 2nd wknd prediction for Meet the Fockers 8)


If you don't mind me asking, why exactly would it jump that much?Especially for a movie that opened to over $40 million?



2nd Weekend: $33.52 million (-25%)


the numbers from 99 :wink: check out all the films from 99 then tell me that this wont increase this wknd 8)


I go by 1999's numbers. I tell you how I come to my number.

Wednesday - -9.5%
Thursday - -3%
Friday - -34%
Saturday - +141%
Sunday - -35%


what movie are you using :?:

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:42 am
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The family films (with the exception of TPE) will all likely increase this weekend. The adult films will suffer smaller declines.

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:44 am
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RogueCommander wrote:
The family films (with the exception of TPE) will all likely increase this weekend. The adult films will suffer smaller declines.


explain to me why Meet the Fockers wont increase :?: I expect all but two films in the top ten to increase this wknd 8)

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:47 am
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BJ wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
BJ wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
BJ wrote:
Wknd Prediction:

62.71m +44%

this is my offical 2nd wknd prediction for Meet the Fockers 8)


If you don't mind me asking, why exactly would it jump that much?Especially for a movie that opened to over $40 million?



2nd Weekend: $33.52 million (-25%)


the numbers from 99 :wink: check out all the films from 99 then tell me that this wont increase this wknd 8)


I go by 1999's numbers. I tell you how I come to my number.

Wednesday - -9.5%
Thursday - -3%
Friday - -34%
Saturday - +141%
Sunday - -35%


what movie are you using :?:

I am not using any certain movie because all movies are unique in their runs, I just take the averages and mix them with my own thoughts :)

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:47 am
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BJ wrote:
RogueCommander wrote:
The family films (with the exception of TPE) will all likely increase this weekend. The adult films will suffer smaller declines.


explain to me why Meet the Fockers wont increase :?: I expect all but two films in the top ten to increase this wknd 8)


1) It had a $46 million opening weekend.
2) No films with an opening that large have ever increased in their second weekend
3) I said so

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:52 am
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The biggest increases for that weekend in 1999 were for Stuart Little and Galaxy Quest, two childrens movies. The biggest increase for a non-childrens movie was for The Green Mile, which shouldn't even be compared to Fockers. There is not one movie from 1999 that can be considered exactly like Fockers. Duece Bigalo was rated R, was not a sequel, and wasn't a huge hit anyways. Any Given Sunday is a teen/adult football movie. Meet the Fockers can't be compared to anything from 1999, and considering that this is 5 years later, you can't exactly expect the same exact thing to happen.

If I use 1999's numbers, this is what I'll predict...

Wednesday: $11.61 million (-8%)
Thursday: $11.95 million (+3%)
Friday: $8.36 million (-30%)
Saturday: $20.90 million (+150%)
Sunday: $14.00 million (-33%)

Weekend: $43.26 million

And that's assuming that this movie follows the exact pattern of slighty similar movies from 1999, even though there is no one movie that is exactly the same. It'll drop, whether it's 1% or 30%. It'll drop.


Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:52 am
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Zingaling wrote:
The biggest increases for that weekend in 1999 were for Stuart Little and Galaxy Quest, two childrens movies. The biggest increase for a non-childrens movie was for The Green Mile, which shouldn't even be compared to Fockers. There is not one movie from 1999 that can be considered exactly like Fockers. Duece Bigalo was rated R, was not a sequel, and wasn't a huge hit anyways. Any Given Sunday is a teen/adult football movie. Meet the Fockers can't be compared to anything from 1999, and considering that this is 5 years later, you can't exactly expect the same exact thing to happen.

If I use 1999's numbers, this is what I'll predict...

Wednesday: $11.61 million (-8%)
Thursday: $11.95 million (+3%)
Friday: $8.36 million (-30%)
Saturday: $20.90 million (+150%)
Sunday: $14.00 million (-33%)

Weekend: $43.26 million

And that's assuming that this movie follows the exact pattern of slighty similar movies from 1999, even though there is no one movie that is exactly the same. It'll drop, whether it's 1% or 30%. It'll drop.


That would really be quite amazing if it managed that.

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Thu Dec 30, 2004 12:54 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
BJ wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
BJ wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
BJ wrote:
Wknd Prediction:

62.71m +44%

this is my offical 2nd wknd prediction for Meet the Fockers 8)


If you don't mind me asking, why exactly would it jump that much?Especially for a movie that opened to over $40 million?



2nd Weekend: $33.52 million (-25%)


the numbers from 99 :wink: check out all the films from 99 then tell me that this wont increase this wknd 8)


I go by 1999's numbers. I tell you how I come to my number.

Wednesday - -9.5%
Thursday - -3%
Friday - -34%
Saturday - +141%
Sunday - -35%


what movie are you using :?:

I am not using any certain movie because all movies are unique in their runs, I just take the averages and mix them with my own thoughts :)


what(s( film from 99 that were adult comedy like fell on thursday on thursday? which one(s) fell over 5% on wednesday. Which one(s) fell over 30% on friday. and I dont think there was one adult film to not increase over 150% on saturday no matter how bad/good it was. All your dailys look made up. Im going to check out some 99 numbers brb 8)

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