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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Saw Predictions - $55,185,045 - Zingaling wins total gross! Well, I have seen this movie and the only thing I can say about it, is that it is amazing. However, I am not sure if it will get broader audiences, as the content of the movie is very gruesome and gritty. However, the Halloween weekend will definitely help its opening weekend and the marketing so far has been nothing short of amazing. Especially the first teaser trailers were very well-made and impressive.
I am negatively surprised that this one is only opening in ~1800 theatres, though. I hope the final number will be higher.
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Clips/Trailers:
Teaser 1:
http://download.ifilm.com/qt/portal/2642103_200.mov
Teaser 2:
http://lionsgate.arcostream.net/lionsga ... 00Kbps.wmv
Trailer:
http://www.apple.com/trailers/lions_gate/saw/large.html
Film Clips:
http://www.cinemovies.fr/fiche_extrait.php?IDfilm=6567
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My predictions are at the moment:
Opening weekend - $15.2 million
Total gross - $42.4 million
What are yours?
What are yours?_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
Last edited by Dr. Lecter on Sun Jan 02, 2005 9:01 pm, edited 23 times in total.
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 8:08 am |
 
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Very low theater count. Hopefully, it'll be over 2,000 by the time it comes out in theaters. Here's my prediction with 1,800 theaters.
Opening- $14.4 million
Total- $40.3 million
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 9:50 am |
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Coasterman2002
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 6:23 pm
Posts: 1010
Location: New Yawk
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12.8/39.6
_________________
Michael Savage's "The Savage Nation" On Radio Monday through Friday 8pm-11pm (Eastern Time)
Liberalism is a Mental Disorder - BUY THE BOOK NOW!!! On New York Times Best Seller List 9 Weeks in a Row
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 9:55 am |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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I have a feeling it will be released in over 2000 theatres. Until then, though:
Opening: $13.5 million
Total: $40 million
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 7:36 pm |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
Posts: 1684
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Opening somewhere between 10-16m and I'm not sure about the total.
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 7:40 pm |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am
Posts: 5264
Location: Wakanda
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Unforntunately I've seen next to nothing as far as advertisement goes, so I hope it doesn't pull a "Suspect Zero"
Right now I say:
8.1m opening
37m TBO
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 7:47 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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$12M/$40M
Im with BOYFRESH i havent seen nothing of this movie!
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 8:12 pm |
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Terminator1997
George A. Romero
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:30 pm
Posts: 9773
Location: Enjoying a cold pint
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$10.1/$51.7
small opening due to lack of advertising but i think it will have great WOM, and thus good legs.
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 9:12 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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The simple picture internet ads (like at Yahoo movies) for it don't look to good for it, but I need to see some commercials.
Opening: $8.9
Total: $36.5
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 9:19 pm |
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lovemerox
Forum General
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:16 pm
Posts: 6499
Location: Down along the dixie line
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13/47
I have only seen ONE advertisment for this on T.V.
I really want this to do well, but it may not  _________________
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 7:53 pm |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
Posts: 1684
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Does anyone think it will increase on Sunday due to Halloween?
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:54 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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sako16 wrote: Does anyone think it will increase on Sunday due to Halloween? No way. I see a harder fall than usual. Halloween has proven to be a slow day for all movie theaters. Especially last year, when it was on Friday. Though Sunday is not as bad, a lot of people go out. That puts a dent in the halloween-horror movies.
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:55 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Zingaling wrote: sako16 wrote: Does anyone think it will increase on Sunday due to Halloween? No way. I see a harder fall than usual. Halloween has proven to be a slow day for all movie theaters. Especially last year, when it was on Friday. Though Sunday is not as bad, a lot of people go out. That puts a dent in the halloween-horror movies. Actually, as far as I know, horror movies usually have a HUGE increase on Halloween, no matter what day it is. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 9:01 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Really? Hmm. :?
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 9:03 pm |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm
Posts: 28301
Location: ... siiiigh...
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I hate to say it, but I feel this will disappoint. It's a brilliant movie, but almost too brilliant.
_________________
Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 9:12 pm |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
Posts: 1684
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I think that if it opens low than yes, if high no.
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 9:12 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Mr. X wrote: I hate to say it, but I feel this will disappoint. It's a brilliant movie, but almost too brilliant. Wait, you've already seen it? _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 9:39 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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FINALY!! i Saw a commercial of the movie during monday nigth football!!
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 11:06 pm |
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Heinrich Himmler
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 5:17 pm
Posts: 2716
Location: Berlin, Germania
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i say 8/20, just to upset artur
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| Tue Oct 19, 2004 12:30 pm |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
Posts: 1684
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I am starting to think it will bomb.
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| Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:31 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Joseba B-Loki wrote: i say 8/20, just to upset artur Yet, you know, it's not gonna happen  _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:33 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Well, the new estimated theatre count is 2000+
My revised predictions:
Opening weekend - $16.1 million
Total gross - $43.5 million
Anyone has new predictions?
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Thu Oct 21, 2004 9:11 pm |
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rhyno
Speed Racer
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 10:10 pm
Posts: 193
Location: Tampa, Florida
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Opening weekend - $15.1 million
Total gross - $46 million
_________________
Is The Juice Worth The Squeeze?
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| Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:41 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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Well i'v seen SAW twice now....And it rocks.
here In the UK, SAW has been released for 3 weeks now! haha!
And it's second week drop was 12%, then it's 3rd was 15% so the legs over here are phenomenal!
SAW will gross over $12M in the UK alone....it's already on $8.5M.
For US:
$10M/$36M
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| Fri Oct 22, 2004 6:54 am |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm
Posts: 28301
Location: ... siiiigh...
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Mr. X wrote: I hate to say it, but I feel this will disappoint. It's a brilliant movie, but almost too brilliant. Wait, you've already seen it? I sure did. It's my favorite movie of the year.
_________________
Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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| Fri Oct 22, 2004 3:21 pm |
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