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zennier
htm
Joined: Sun Oct 23, 2005 2:38 pm
Posts: 10316
Location: berkeley
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Archie Gates wrote: 240ish. Sounds like a good ceiling to me.
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| Mon Nov 28, 2005 10:18 pm |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm
Posts: 28301
Location: ... siiiigh...
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Even in a slow year, I still don't think this will surprise and go over 300. I'm not convinced it will go over 250, either.
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Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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| Mon Nov 28, 2005 10:19 pm |
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Anonymous
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After super succesful Sith thread, no way this one fails.
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| Mon Nov 28, 2005 10:47 pm |
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Anonymous
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Bastards, the lot of you.
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| Mon Nov 28, 2005 10:49 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22199
Location: Places
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all its gotta do is air a few more spots and ill put it at 3. not onl does it lok great but it looks fucking AWESOME
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| Mon Nov 28, 2005 10:51 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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Fuck ya'll, I'm in!
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| Mon Nov 28, 2005 10:53 pm |
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andaroo1
Lord of filth
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 9:47 pm
Posts: 9566
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I do like the commercials though.
>> insert man with deep voice <<
Anybody who sees those ads... this is definately an Oscar campaign.
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| Mon Nov 28, 2005 10:55 pm |
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Mr. Reynolds
Confessing on a Dance Floor
Joined: Tue Nov 23, 2004 12:46 am
Posts: 5578
Location: Celebratin' in Chitown
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299.99 million! 
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| Mon Nov 28, 2005 11:03 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15561
Location: Everywhere
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I think it's possible. However, it will need about 115m for the 5 day weekend. I think it might just do that.
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 12:04 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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I'll say around 260 Million or so is about right and Jack Black and Naomi Watts are not big draws for moviegoers along with an overlated, overstuffed FX movie with a simplistic storyline and an overly long running time like KONG, Plus it's going to have to gross an awful lot more than 300 Million to be considered a hit with the budget cost and marketing at almost 300 Million alone for this.. As far as Anticipation and hype?? Really, it's only the internet that seems to be hyping the hell out of this and non-existent in the real world and that is a fact..
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 12:29 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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Just watched Leno where Naomi Watts was a guest. They showed a very impressive clip with Kong fighting dinosaurs with Watts in his grip. The special effects are really good. Universal is simply advertising Kong to death, I've seen so many clips, TV spots, trailers, etc. I wonder what the marketing budget is for this one?
Last edited by Harry Warden on Tue Nov 29, 2005 1:40 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 1:22 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Im aiming for 280m currently but a 300m gross would be kewl to see  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 1:35 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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BKB_The_Man wrote: I'll say around 260 Million or so is about right and Jack Black and Naomi Watts are not big draws for moviegoers along with an overlated, overstuffed FX movie with a simplistic storyline and an overly long running time like KONG, Plus it's going to have to gross an awful lot more than 300 Million to be considered a hit with the budget cost and marketing at almost 300 Million alone for this.. As far as Anticipation and hype?? Really, it's only the internet that seems to be hyping the hell out of this and non-existent in the real world and that is a fact.. If only internet fanboys are hyping it then why would it make 260m? That would make it one of the biggest movies of the year. Sure it's budget is big, but it should cross 200m domestic and another 350m+ overseas, so it's fine.
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 2:40 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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 Killuminati510 wrote: BKB_The_Man wrote: I'll say around 260 Million or so is about right and Jack Black and Naomi Watts are not big draws for moviegoers along with an overlated, overstuffed FX movie with a simplistic storyline and an overly long running time like KONG, Plus it's going to have to gross an awful lot more than 300 Million to be considered a hit with the budget cost and marketing at almost 300 Million alone for this.. As far as Anticipation and hype?? Really, it's only the internet that seems to be hyping the hell out of this and non-existent in the real world and that is a fact.. If only internet fanboys are hyping it then why would it make 260m? That would make it one of the biggest movies of the year. Sure it's budget is big, but it should cross 200m domestic and another 350m+ overseas, so it's fine.
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 4:18 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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I wish I could've been the first member in this club 
I've already had one AMAZING prediction this year with my "Wedding Crashers" prediction... This will be my second  _________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 4:35 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Zingaling wrote: Around $250-260 million.
Like Kill said, it's certainly a possibility, but it'll need some fantastic WOM. And I completely agree with this.
It is possible, but I don't think so. I predict $260 million as of now. GoF should come out on the top of the winter releases. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 7:07 am |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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That's the spirit, loyal! 
To tell you the truth, i have my doubts that it'll actually get to $300m (shame on me  ) but i really want it to make it so i'd love to join this fine club, if allowed... _________________
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 8:06 am |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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BKB_The_Man wrote: Plus it's going to have to gross an awful lot more than 300 Million to be considered a hit with the budget cost and marketing at almost 300 Million alone for this.. It'll easily do it worldwide... _________________
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 8:09 am |
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bABA
Commander and Chef
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 12:56 am
Posts: 30505
Location: Tonight ... YOU!
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The fuck!?!?
At least 300??
come on .. you're basically saying it has no chance to make less than that.
Thats just coocoo.
Count me in.
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 9:15 am |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am
Posts: 15310
Location: Slumming at KJ
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I look very forward to this movie. The original was one of the first movies that I ever saw, and I have owned the 1933 and 1976 versions for over 15 years now.
With that said, there my be some fanboy looniness at work here.  Every movie that Peter Jackson makes isn't going to be worshipped by the general movie going public or the academy. It's just a popcorn flick, and I'd be blind if I didn't notice that Jackson's biggest fans are projecting more than that on the film.
It has a much better shot a 300 million than it does of getting any attention from the academy who has surely had their fill of New Zealand hillbillies for awhile. (outside of tech noms)
The 3 hour runtime (which is a bit self indulgent and unnecessary for this story) will probably put off many from seeing it more than once, and this isn't exactly something with a LOTR fanbase. It's the multiple viewings that drive movies to those levels, and I just don't see it happening here.
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 9:17 am |
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Optimus_Prime
Okay, I Believe You But My Tommy Gun Don't
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:34 pm
Posts: 817
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If King Kong breaks 250 mil, the media wil crown Peter Jackson the next Steve Spielberg.
I am going to say 275 just to be safe but I think 300 mil is a def., if the quality is there
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 10:13 am |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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I think Kong will top out at about 240 mill.
_________________
Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 11:38 am |
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Erendis
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Oct 28, 2004 9:40 am
Posts: 1527
Location: Emyn Arnen
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Did I put in some sort of prediction a long long time ago? Meh, I'll hover round the $250-$260 range. I'm not feeling vibes either way. It's a WOM issue, as usual.
I wouldn't count on the LotR crowd. Not the women, anyway. They won't go just for Jackson's name. The Men will go for what WETA has to offer.
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I'm not around much anymore because I don't have time (or permission, probably) to surf the 'net from my new job.
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 1:26 pm |
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Dworkin
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 10:14 am
Posts: 55
Location: Moskow, Russia
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Kong - 210-230 (max)
300 
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 3:25 pm |
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bABA
Commander and Chef
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 12:56 am
Posts: 30505
Location: Tonight ... YOU!
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Maverikk wrote: I look very forward to this movie. The original was one of the first movies that I ever saw, and I have owned the 1933 and 1976 versions for over 15 years now. With that said, there my be some fanboy looniness at work here. Every movie that Peter Jackson makes isn't going to be worshipped by the general movie going public or the academy. It's just a popcorn flick, and I'd be blind if I didn't notice that Jackson's biggest fans are projecting more than that on the film. It has a much better shot a 300 million than it does of getting any attention from the academy who has surely had their fill of New Zealand hillbillies for awhile. (outside of tech noms) The 3 hour runtime (which is a bit self indulgent and unnecessary for this story) will probably put off many from seeing it more than once, and this isn't exactly something with a LOTR fanbase. It's the multiple viewings that drive movies to those levels, and I just don't see it happening here. Naah. I think it'll top out at 230 mil as well. but its fun joining this club.
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| Tue Nov 29, 2005 3:32 pm |
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