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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68294
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
Yeah. You're out of it. Group 1 winner will be stuffp.
But the contest is still alive in Group 2 (Shack or me) and the Overall Leader (Shack, stuffp, or me).
O is going to make a ton of money in the winter months. Not saying he's a contender, he's too far behind so it's hard to even make a projection of where he could finish. But he's one to watch. He's got Moana 2, Gladiator 2, Mufasa, Here, and whatever Horizon 2 is replaced with. That's not a bad lineup to add to his current $250 million.
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Sat Oct 05, 2024 12:37 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68294
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
zwackerm, just let them replace Horizon 2 already!
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Sat Oct 05, 2024 12:42 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21526 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
It still says slated for a late 2024 release.
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Sat Oct 05, 2024 2:03 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25312 Location: Classified
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
I hope it does come out now. I'll see it. With Joker bombing I will be coming in last anyway, and I feel bad about missing part one in theaters when it was actually pretty good.
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Sat Oct 05, 2024 2:31 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68294
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
zwackerm wrote: It still says slated for a late 2024 release. Ok. fair enough. Hope it comes out
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Sat Oct 05, 2024 2:33 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68294
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
It is just insane to see a first round pick that won't even clear $80 million, let alone $100m. It is without a doubt the worst pick of the entire year.
Flava probably actually has a 1-2 for the biggest fails this year. Relative to where the films were picked and how they performed, I would say Horizon 1 is a worse pick than Furiosa. You could make sense of picking Furiosa in the second round, but Horizon 1 is an 8-10 round pick all day long. But anyway, this is about Joker 2, it's insane to think that this should've been a 6th round pick!
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Tue Oct 08, 2024 4:33 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68294
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
Phew, Never Let Go isn't the worst performing pick this year. There are THREE worse. Looks like it will finish with about $11 million. A poor replacement pick for sure. Ah well. I knew I should've got Piece by Piece.
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Thu Oct 10, 2024 6:39 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23323 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
Still a Piece by Piece believer, I see.
I'm not sure it will make $15-20m total. Though considering how poorly some these other films have done -that wouldn't be all that terrible, I guess.
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Thu Oct 10, 2024 8:11 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25312 Location: Classified
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
Piece by Piece should be a lego movie aboutKnocked Loose. fuvk Pharrel.
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Fri Oct 11, 2024 3:19 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68294
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
As a final pick, Piece by Piece doing $20 million would be fine. Basically anything more than Never Let Go will have made it the right pick.
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Fri Oct 11, 2024 4:29 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68294
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
Annoyingly none of my picks are likely to have a re-release push for the rest of the year to bump me over $1,300 million Seems I'll have to stick at $1.295 billion. I will still feel rather safe until another Group 2 player gets above the $1bn mark, and Shack is still $130 million away. The Wild Robot has made the bulk of its money, Transformers One is more or less done, and Terrifier 3 is about to open but it doesn't feel like it will do huge numbers. I don't reckon he gets to $1bn from these + Here, which bodes well for me. I really need a $300 million buffer by the time Wicked opens. It at least gives me a chance. A slim one.
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Fri Oct 11, 2024 6:02 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40453
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
They could have made a lego movie about literally any other subject and it would have done better.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sat Oct 12, 2024 3:13 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68294
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
OK, Never Let Go was the right pick 
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Sun Oct 13, 2024 4:03 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68294
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
I don't think Shack will crawl to $1bn with his current releases. So this helps me somewhat. He will need Wicked to push him over that mark while at the same time cutting into the $300m he will need to (after he gets to a billion) top me.
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Mon Oct 14, 2024 1:17 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68294
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
Whoa! Flava finally reached $500 million. It only took him nine months and two weeks. 
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Mon Oct 14, 2024 4:05 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68294
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
Algren wrote: I don't think Shack will crawl to $1bn with his current releases. So this helps me somewhat. He will need Wicked to push him over that mark while at the same time cutting into the $300m he will need to (after he gets to a billion) top me. Darn. I always forget he also has Here. Not that I expect it to do amazingly well or anything, but it will be the film to close the gap.
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Mon Oct 14, 2024 4:33 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68294
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
I love sharing my thoughts here. I am now conversing with myself, lol
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Mon Oct 14, 2024 4:34 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40453
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
Algren wrote: Algren wrote: I don't think Shack will crawl to $1bn with his current releases. So this helps me somewhat. He will need Wicked to push him over that mark while at the same time cutting into the $300m he will need to (after he gets to a billion) top me. Darn. I always forget he also has Here. Not that I expect it to do amazingly well or anything, but it will be the film to close the gap. Yes, I need it to make 50m instead of 10. Or if Wicked only makes 250 mil instead of 300, I could also be in trouble.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Mon Oct 14, 2024 4:52 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23323 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
Algren wrote: OK, Never Let Go was the right pick  I'm glad that on one of our replacement pics we went with Wolfs instead of Piece by Piece. I think that brilliant guess netted us Longlegs instead 
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What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
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Mon Oct 14, 2024 7:19 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40453
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
November really sucks the first few weeks. Good opportunity for Here 
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Tue Oct 15, 2024 4:38 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23323 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
Yeah - Here could do well there.
I guess Venom will sill be raking in coin as well.
I dont have high hopes for Red One.
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What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
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Wed Oct 16, 2024 1:11 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25312 Location: Classified
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
Shack wrote: November really sucks the first few weeks. Good opportunity for Here  Here could make $0 and you'll still win. Wicked is now tracking at $125M+ opening. I remember being very confident that Wicked was not going to make its release date. All time blunderous draft. 
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Wed Oct 16, 2024 2:32 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25312 Location: Classified
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
Speaking of risky release dates, is Avatar 3 the automatic number one pick next year?
Also, can I trade Moana for future draft stock? I want the same amount of picks that the Texans got for Deshaun Watson.
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Wed Oct 16, 2024 2:35 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68294
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Shack wrote: November really sucks the first few weeks. Good opportunity for Here  Here could make $0 and you'll still win. It's certainly looking like that.
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Wed Oct 16, 2024 10:42 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40453
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Speaking of risky release dates, is Avatar 3 the automatic number one pick next year?
Always a risk of it moving.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Oct 16, 2024 12:47 pm |
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