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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21930 Location: Places
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BARBIE 2 Predictions
They pretty much have to. This will easily open in the low to mid $200m range if comes out before 2025 ends. If they make this a CHRISTMAS movie? $250m opening weekend.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Fri Jul 21, 2023 9:22 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20426 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
I think a second film will open about the same and decrease total. The novelty will be lost
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Fri Jul 21, 2023 9:26 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
Just make sure it opens against Oppenheimer 2: The Dark Night.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Fri Jul 21, 2023 9:31 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21930 Location: Places
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
Corpse wrote: Just make sure it opens against Oppenheimer 2: The Dark Night. Nolan, as we speak, is trying to figure out who invented money...
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Fri Jul 21, 2023 9:46 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11613
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
Good article on the marketing campaign that Mattel / WB pulled off. They apparently will make $75M in addition to box office via the 100+ partnerships they made alone. I'd argue this marketing campaign was at an ID4, Matrix, Blair Witch or TDK type level over the last 30 years. Quote: Rival studio executives commend Warners and Mattel for what they say is a marketing campaign for the ages.
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movie ... 235534537/I think it would be near impossible for every ingredient that happened this time to work for a sequel. It may make more but the cultural impact will be very hard to replicate here.
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Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:53 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21930 Location: Places
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
WB would need to get it out within the next 30 months, I would argue. They took way too long to get Black Pather 2 made, and obviously the lead star was dead. It took 4 years for TDKR to follow TDK, and obviously no Heath.
Barbie 2 will be enormous opener if they make it soon and keep the trio.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sat Jul 22, 2023 12:08 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22736 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
A sequel would open close to this one but I don’t see it increasing. Possibly an Avatar 2 style hold in total gross.
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Sat Jul 22, 2023 2:07 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11613
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
They were putting cold water on sequel talk but I guess the awards reunion and fun the team had Greta started saying she's more open to it.
Barbie stars sort of stole the Oscars show despite only winning 1 award. It's going to be hard getting the novelty of the first one but still going to be a huge event.
Ryan/Margot are doing an Ocean's 11 prequel together likely first so that would be good to prime audiences again for a Barbie reunion. No script so maybe a 2027 release at the earliest. By then, Barbie could adjust to $716M so could lose 30% of its attendance and still clear $500M.
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Mon Mar 11, 2024 10:28 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38259
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
I think it will happen with Gerwig's apparent interest in commercial movies.
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Mon Mar 11, 2024 11:45 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23916 Location: Classified
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
Of course it is gonna happen. Just had to get through award seasons pretending it wasn't a franchise film. I suspect Nolan has already figured out his next project too, likely a blockbuster, but wanted to keep the attention on Oppenehiemer.
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Tue Mar 12, 2024 1:56 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67130
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Of course it is gonna happen. Just had to get through award seasons pretending it wasn't a franchise film. I suspect Nolan has already figured out his next project too, likely a blockbuster, but wanted to keep the attention on Oppenehiemer. Exactly. Flava has the grounded take.
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Tue Mar 12, 2024 7:37 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22736 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
IP this profitable never gets left idle.
The sequel will be big but it will make less overall than the first.
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Wed Mar 13, 2024 8:54 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6201
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
I hope they announce it later this year and target 2026 Summer. Will be among the biggest movies of the year for sure.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Thu Mar 14, 2024 12:03 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6162 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
They only really need Margot to come back. Ryan Gosling too but they could replace him with another Ken (one of the Marvel Chrises?). They will offer Margot $100 million if that's what it takes to get her to come back. So this will get made.
_________________ .
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Thu Mar 14, 2024 1:08 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11613
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
I would be shocked given how busy their schedules are and the scale of the production (caused a pink paint shortage worldwide) if they could get this out by 2026. Story, strike delays, negotiations, etc.
$145M budget for the first film. Margot/Ryan got $12.5M each (though sure they got lots backend). I'd be shocked if the sequel's budget was under $250M.
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Thu Mar 14, 2024 2:18 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38259
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
I think Gerwig will be too busy with Narnia for it to come out that fast
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Thu Mar 14, 2024 2:52 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21930 Location: Places
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
This needs to be a true blue Christmas film. They haver to find a way. Barbie in New York for Christmas. Just stupid mega money to be made.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Thu Mar 14, 2024 9:57 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22736 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
Barbie 2: Lost in New York
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What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
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Thu Mar 14, 2024 11:36 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21930 Location: Places
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Re: BARBIE 2 Predictions
MadGez wrote: Barbie 2: Lost in New York 3 cross over with BARBIE 2, HOME ALONE 3, and LEGALLY BLONDE 3?
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sat Mar 16, 2024 12:31 pm |
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