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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Yeah, I'm guessing WB chose that date on the assumption that DR-P2 is moving, which considering that they still haven't finished filming due to the strike seems more likely than not.
I don't know if Horizon will make THAT much money, but it does seem like a prime contender for a surprise breakout now, with Costner being the hottest he's been in a while and there being a possible thirst among the public for large scale historical films after Oppenheimer and (hopefully) Killers of the Flower Moon. Releasing a teaser this early seems promising.
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Fri Oct 06, 2023 9:03 am |
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flip1
Speed Racer
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm Posts: 137
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Jonathan wrote: Yeah, I'm guessing WB chose that date on the assumption that DR-P2 is moving, which considering that they still haven't finished filming due to the strike seems more likely than not.
I don't know if Horizon will make THAT much money, but it does seem like a prime contender for a surprise breakout now, with Costner being the hottest he's been in a while and there being a possible thirst among the public for large scale historical films after Oppenheimer and (hopefully) Killers of the Flower Moon. Releasing a teaser this early seems promising. A good benchmark for it is Sound of Freedom's gross
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Sun Oct 08, 2023 2:49 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22919 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Gladiator 2 could be a kind of Top Gun Maverick. It would need to be as good or better than the first one though.
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Tue Nov 14, 2023 8:59 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6244 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
MadGez wrote: Gladiator 2 could be a kind of Top Gun Maverick. It would need to be as good or better than the first one though. Problem is Russell Crowe can't be/isn't in it. It's like Top Gun 2 without Tom Cruise.
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Tue Nov 14, 2023 9:06 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 39098
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
When I made the polls Garfield was a filler spot but I actually think it’s one of the better candidates of that group now (obviously wouldn’t bet on it though like everything else on the list). Then again Top Gun -> Indy 5 showed it's never as easy as just copying last year’s breakout, in its case Super Mario Bros.
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Tue Nov 14, 2023 9:10 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22919 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Barrabás wrote: MadGez wrote: Gladiator 2 could be a kind of Top Gun Maverick. It would need to be as good or better than the first one though. Problem is Russell Crowe can't be/isn't in it. It's like Top Gun 2 without Tom Cruise. Yes that is key isnt it. I'm thinking more a $200-$300m gross at best with a glimmer of breakout potential.
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Tue Nov 14, 2023 11:54 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11851
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
I sort of feel with the way audiences are now they might be originally apprehensive about it but warm up to Gladiator 2 if the quality is there.
Sort of like Mad Max Fury Road was a reboot without the original star Gibson and way, way later. Fighting sports in modern times have only gotten more popular it feels like since Gladiator came out and think there's a timeless nature of that type of movie. Crowe's absence will be felt greatly but feeling it will have a slow but steady run rather than bursting out of the gate to a record.
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Wed Nov 15, 2023 1:56 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67688
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
MadGez wrote: I'm thinking more a $200-$300m gross at best with a glimmer of breakout potential. That would be more than the first! I'm going with a more $75-$100m gross for it. It's getting nowhere near $300m without Crowe. This sequel is just a bad idea for me right now. It can always materialise into something special, of course, but just how I feel right now it feels stupid to do a Crowe-less Gladiator sequel.
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Wed Nov 15, 2023 6:43 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11851
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Well Denzel is in it and he at least is consistent in that $80M-120M zone so at least we know it will reach that without Crowe.
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Wed Nov 15, 2023 2:01 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67688
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
I also feel that Ridley Scott is not the director he once was. He's always been hit or miss, in my opinion. I saw the first reviews for Napoleon suggest it is dull and bloated. The potential for Ridley to screw up Gladiator 2 is definitely there.
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Thu Nov 16, 2023 5:27 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11851
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Agreed on Scott but will see what he comes up with.
Clint's delivered some of my favorite work from him at a very old age so maybe Scott can pull it off.
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Thu Nov 16, 2023 1:18 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3179
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Mufasa (Lion King sequel). Beloved IP and a banging Zimmer soundtrack. There’s a chance.
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Thu Nov 16, 2023 7:42 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 39098
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
lilmac wrote: Mufasa (Lion King sequel). Beloved IP and a banging Zimmer soundtrack. There’s a chance. I originally didn’t have it in the mid expectations camp but after Disney’s struggles maybe it should be
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Thu Nov 16, 2023 8:04 pm |
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flip1
Speed Racer
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm Posts: 137
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Algren wrote: MadGez wrote: I'm thinking more a $200-$300m gross at best with a glimmer of breakout potential. That would be more than the first! I'm going with a more $75-$100m gross for it. It's getting nowhere near $300m without Crowe. This sequel is just a bad idea for me right now. It can always materialise into something special, of course, but just how I feel right now it feels stupid to do a Crowe-less Gladiator sequel. The first one came out over 20 years ago, so inflation is going to help it a lot. If it were to lose half its audience it would still outgross the original.
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Sat Nov 18, 2023 6:54 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67688
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
I think Napoleon is probably a blueprint for what a Gladiator sequel will do. It will flirt with $100 million as a best case. I just don't see the interest in a Crowe-less Gladiator sequel. It might feel a bit like a TV spin-off since they're focusing on the kid.
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Sat Nov 25, 2023 5:31 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 39098
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
I decided to go in on Dune 2 in the draft. I wanted something that could plausibly build a crescendo of social media buzz.
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Sat Nov 25, 2023 6:03 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67688
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
And you chose Dune 2?? The mind boggles
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Sat Nov 25, 2023 7:07 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 39098
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
It looks like we have our 2 600 million films and neither of them were as unexpected as Barbie and TGM a year ahead of time, though spiritually Inside Out 2 making 650 mil still seems like a wtf. They managed to increase in popularity basically as much as adding Wolverine to Deadpool franchise.
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Sat Aug 03, 2024 3:11 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 39098
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
It would be crazy if this ends up happening with Wicked.
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Fri Oct 18, 2024 4:04 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67688
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
None of them will but I feel Twisters deserves credit for getting 0% and doing so well at the box office.
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Fri Oct 18, 2024 4:34 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6244 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Shack wrote: It looks like we have our 2 600 million films and neither of them were as unexpected as Barbie and TGM a year ahead of time, though spiritually Inside Out 2 making 650 mil still seems like a wtf. They managed to increase in popularity basically as much as adding Wolverine to Deadpool franchise. Inside Out 1 was Pixar's most beloved film since....The Incredibles? Nemo? It wasn't that wtf IMO
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Fri Oct 18, 2024 5:18 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 39098
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Barrabás wrote: Shack wrote: It looks like we have our 2 600 million films and neither of them were as unexpected as Barbie and TGM a year ahead of time, though spiritually Inside Out 2 making 650 mil still seems like a wtf. They managed to increase in popularity basically as much as adding Wolverine to Deadpool franchise. Inside Out 1 was Pixar's most beloved film since....The Incredibles? Nemo? It wasn't that wtf IMO I had thought it was on the second tier below their most beloved movies and a 400s sequel would've made more sense as the ceiling. Plus the amazing part about Inside Out 2 is I still think some people watched it on D+.
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Sun Oct 20, 2024 2:30 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67688
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Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Shack wrote: I had thought it was on the second tier below their most beloved movies
Same
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Sun Oct 20, 2024 2:37 pm |
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