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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20409 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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February 18-21 Predictions
Uncharted 44/53 Dog 13/16
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Fri Feb 11, 2022 10:43 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18929 Location: San Diego
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
Not really feeling Uncharted above 40m. Rn I feel like high 20s.
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Fri Feb 11, 2022 11:58 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23902 Location: Classified
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
I just hope Uncharted can pull an 80% Rottentomatoes / 70ish metacritic. If it is a solid movie then people will embrace this new franchise. If its bad then we will get the whole "here we go again with the shitty video game movies" vibe for the entire next week and it will probably flop as a result.
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Fri Feb 11, 2022 3:04 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
Yeah it can break out if reviews are good.
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Fri Feb 11, 2022 4:10 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6196
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
its currently at 41% RT with 4.9/10 avg rating. Does not look like reviews will be good, but holland has the afterglow of spiderman and that could help with walkups.
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Fri Feb 11, 2022 4:20 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38219
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
Disappointing reviews. Sonic being fresh was like when the Detroit Lions make the playoffs every once in a while, in terms of video game movie curse
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Fri Feb 11, 2022 4:50 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18929 Location: San Diego
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
Won't be good for Holland if this flops. He'll play Spider-Man for a lpppong time lol
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Fri Feb 11, 2022 4:52 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
Even with poor reviews I think 40 Million is a given. Could have gone much higher if they were good. Maybe American critics will like it more.
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Fri Feb 11, 2022 5:11 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
This is feeling like a disappointment to me, like mid 20s. Guess we'll see.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri Feb 11, 2022 5:19 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20409 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
This needed good reviews to break out. Not seeing more than 30m with poor reviews.
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Fri Feb 11, 2022 5:28 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11601
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
Still see a possible breakout. I remember Sweet Home Alabama came out after Legally Blonde and was massive breaking the OW record for the month. People wanted to see more Reese on film. That was 39% on Rotten Tomatoes.
Sherlock Holmes after Iron Man for RDJ. MIB after ID4 for Will Smith. The Man In The Iron Mask for Leo after Titanic. Alice after Avatar doing $1B plus on the 3D hype. Willy Wonka doing $200M+ after POTC for Depp.
Not sure what it's performance could look like but with such a massive tally pushing $800M I don't see how there isn't a slight spillover effect from Spidy's record run especially in a barren market.
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Sat Feb 12, 2022 9:28 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22727 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
I think 30m is the target for Uncharted. Any more than that is cream.
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Sat Feb 12, 2022 11:12 am |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
$26M 4-day
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Sat Feb 12, 2022 1:42 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
O wrote: Still see a possible breakout. I remember Sweet Home Alabama came out after Legally Blonde and was massive breaking the OW record for the month. People wanted to see more Reese on film. That was 39% on Rotten Tomatoes.
Sherlock Holmes after Iron Man for RDJ. MIB after ID4 for Will Smith. The Man In The Iron Mask for Leo after Titanic. Alice after Avatar doing $1B plus on the 3D hype. Willy Wonka doing $200M+ after POTC for Depp.
Not sure what it's performance could look like but with such a massive tally pushing $800M I don't see how there isn't a slight spillover effect from Spidy's record run especially in a barren market. Yeah I'm a firm believer this is happening for Uncharted. I'll be surprised if it doesn't.
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Sat Feb 12, 2022 1:48 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11601
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
Uncharted opened #1 in all 15 markets it opened in this weekend. $21.5M with UK ($6.4M) leading.
Hard to tell how that will impact domestic but looks like it's definitely something people want to watch.
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Sun Feb 13, 2022 1:40 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23902 Location: Classified
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
So as a big fan of the games I've been anticipating this one for awhile. Even with the poor reviews.
What I did not realize is that most "fans" of the game are against this movie already because Mark Wahlberg does not have a moustache. The internet can be very fickle.
My new prediction is $30M. A decent number in these trying times, but so very disappointing that we will not get a surprise break out from this (probably no sequel either.) And it will likely fall apart very quickly.
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Mon Feb 14, 2022 4:13 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
It's at 50% on RT. Keeps going up. Maybe it will end up fresh. I could see low 60's which would be solid.
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Mon Feb 14, 2022 6:06 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18929 Location: San Diego
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
Looks like Encanto is getting an expansion this weekend. Would be cool if it got to $100m but idk if it has enough steam for that given the demand is well killed by D+.
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Tue Feb 15, 2022 1:04 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
Yeah I can't see it doing that well. What it has in its favor is no kids movies besides Sing 2 out. But what family with kids doesn't have D+? They aren't going to go see it in a theater when they can watch it at home for free.
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Tue Feb 15, 2022 3:11 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11601
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
5 weeks at #1 on Billboard's song chart. Box office expansion will be interesting to watch as I don't recall an expansion ever like this before of a film becoming a pop culture musical phenom so long after its release.
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Tue Feb 15, 2022 4:18 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20409 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
Uncharted has more going for it than similar film Jungle Cruise, less than 40m for it is disappointing.
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Wed Feb 16, 2022 1:10 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote: It's at 50% on RT. Keeps going up. Maybe it will end up fresh. I could see low 60's which would be solid. Well now it keeps going down. No chance of it rebounding to fresh anymore.
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Wed Feb 16, 2022 2:08 am |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 10928
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
It will probably do low to mid 20s.
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Wed Feb 16, 2022 11:39 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20409 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
Reviews for Dog are really good. Hope it can break double digits. A Dog's Purpose did 18m in 2017. Even on a covid curve, 10m doesn't seem impossible to me for this.
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Thu Feb 17, 2022 4:58 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: February 18-21 Predictions
I don't see it missing double digits. The Valentine's sneak sold out here in a big auditorium.
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Thu Feb 17, 2022 5:45 pm |
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