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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
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September 11-13 Predictions
Openers,
Wide: The Broken Hearts Gallery
Limited: Sibyl Fear Pharm Savage Find Your Voice I Am Woman Rent-A-Pal
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Thu Sep 10, 2020 12:26 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23787 Location: Classified
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Tenet ~ $9M Broken Hearts ~ $5M
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Thu Sep 10, 2020 12:40 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18879 Location: San Diego
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
The fact that we don't have any Tenet breakdown... lol
Broken Hearts is gonna do sub-4m. Hopefully drops are ok... More interested to see what studios do for the rest of the year.
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Thu Sep 10, 2020 12:56 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
I think Tenet was going to relatively disappoint anyway - I.e sub $50m OW without Covid. Offcourse Covid drooped it even further. Looks like in normal conditions it would have doubled New Mutants which looked to open at 20-25m
_________________
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Thu Sep 10, 2020 6:49 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
It will be interesting to see what Tenet numbers are given out and/or how much it makes till next Sunday
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Thu Sep 10, 2020 6:52 pm |
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Spidey
Teenage Dream
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:13 pm Posts: 10677
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Theater Counts:
Tenet - 2,810 (n/c) The New Mutants - 2,704 (-50) Unhinged - 2,365 (-37) The Broken Hearts Gallery - 2,204 (new) The Personal History of David Copperfield - 1,203 (-347) Bill & Ted Face the Music - 807 (-146) Rent-A-Pal - 56 (new)
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Thu Sep 10, 2020 7:17 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23787 Location: Classified
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Hmm, my $9M prediction was for the 3-day weekend, but they will probably just report the entire week again. Let’s bump that to $11.5M.
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Thu Sep 10, 2020 7:22 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
I'll go with $10 for this week. A higher drop due to fanbase and GA audience rush coupled with lower Cinemascore.
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Thu Sep 10, 2020 7:39 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23787 Location: Classified
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Could the “this movie is too confusing to follow” buzz lead to people feeling challenged and going when they otherwise wouldn’t???
#FalseHope
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Thu Sep 10, 2020 8:45 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
It will most likely backfire in this case IMO specially because the reviews aren't glowing.
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Thu Sep 10, 2020 8:51 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23787 Location: Classified
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Maybe not, and its difficult to even recommend the movie to someone not instantly sold by the name Nolan, but it’s still by far the best choice out there. Next week? Nothing. The week after? Greenland! Which looks fun but will not be going above 30% on rotten tomatoes.
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Thu Sep 10, 2020 9:15 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18879 Location: San Diego
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Um... over at BOT I think they said Tenet made like 9m for the 3-day last weekend lol. The 20.2m was for all previews and Monday. So this weekend's numbers may look pretty low. Orange County is opening theaters though so at least it'll get some LA business...
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Thu Sep 10, 2020 10:38 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23787 Location: Classified
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
I figured it would work out like $5M for the previews + Canada and then $15M for the 4 day weekend. WB could make this easier for us...
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Thu Sep 10, 2020 11:00 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
From what I remember that $20.2m figure included Monday numbers as well so the traditional weekend might have been lower than $9m if not boosted by the holiday. WB should have released those numbers, it does not make sense why they didn't release the numbers when they were so adamant about opening the movie in theaters.
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Thu Sep 10, 2020 11:33 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
If Tenet is able to somehow stay in the high single digits I'd honestly be really satisfied with that, but seeing how NM dropped last week and the mixed WOM that would probably be asking for a miracle right now.
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Thu Sep 10, 2020 11:58 pm |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm Posts: 5705
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Tenet $5m Broken Hearts $2m
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Fri Sep 11, 2020 3:13 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18879 Location: San Diego
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
If Tenet really is the only big thing playing for months and theaters are somehow able to stay open then maybe it'll get to 100m... lol if WB reports their #s yeesh
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Fri Sep 11, 2020 7:39 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Or people might just skip going to theaters. Its not like all movies "have" to make money or people "have" to go to theaters to see a movie.
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Fri Sep 11, 2020 9:50 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
1-2 Million for Broken Hearts Gallery. Even without a pandemic that's a low single digit opener.
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Sat Sep 12, 2020 5:01 am |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Tenet - $7-8m The Broken Hearts Gallery - $0.9-1.2m
Assuming Tenet made $12m+ last weekend (3-day), a drop of 38% will bring it to $7.4m.
The Broken Hearts Gallery looks like an indie romance. Words on Bathroom Walls might be a good comparison.
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Sat Sep 12, 2020 10:06 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: September 11-13 Predictions
BOT people are claiming $9m for 3-day weekend and I believe these estimates to be close to accurate.
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Sat Sep 12, 2020 10:57 am |
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