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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18944 Location: San Diego
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March 15-17 predictions
Wonder Park - 3,500 Five Feet Apart - 2,600 Captive State - 2,200
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Fri Mar 08, 2019 8:47 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18944 Location: San Diego
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
Wonder Park looks so blah. I can't imagine it doing more than low teens.
Not sure if Cole Sprouse can generate movie tickets but I guess we'll see.
Wonder Park - 12 Five Feet Apart - 12 Captive State - a little
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Fri Mar 08, 2019 8:49 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18944 Location: San Diego
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
Gonna go with a slightly bigger drop than IW for Captain Marvel, 56% drop, $67.3m.
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Sun Mar 10, 2019 3:47 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
WONDER PARK - 11.35 Million FIVE FEET APART - 5.8 Million CAPTIVE STATE - 2.77 Million
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Mon Mar 11, 2019 5:28 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32132 Location: the last free city
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
Wonder Park 10m Five Feet Apart - 6m Captive State - 4m
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Mon Mar 11, 2019 5:54 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67151
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
Just saw a Captive State TV spot and it's different than what I remember from the trailer. They're definitely targeting the black demo now. Everything's all "let's get 'em dawg" instead of what I remember being a cool looking sci-fi movie.
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Mon Mar 11, 2019 6:36 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
1. CAPTAIN MARVEL - 67.5 MILLION (-56%) 2. WONDER PARK - 10.597 MILLION (New) 3. HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON: THE HIDDEN WORLD - 8.22 MILLION (-44%) 4. FIVE FEET APART - 7.82 MILLION (New) 5. A MADEA FAMILY FUNERAL - 6.1 MILLION (-51%) 6. NO MANCHES FRIDA 2 - 2.886 MILLION (New) 7. CAPTIVE STATE - 2.77 MILLION (New) 8. LEGO MOVIE 2: THE SECOND PART - 2.088 MILLION (-46%) 9. ALITA: BATTLE ANGEL - 1.5 MILLION (-53%) 10. GREEN BOOK - 1.255 MILLION (-50%) 11. ISN'T IT ROMANTIC - 1.1 MILLION (-51%) 12. FIGHTING WITH MY FAMILY - $960,964 (-56%) 13. GRETA - $897,256 (-59%)
Increased my prediction for Five Feet Apart.
Last edited by Magic Mike on Fri Mar 15, 2019 1:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Wed Mar 13, 2019 2:55 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20434 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
I think Captain Marvel drops 60%. I think WOM is just okay, and there seems to have been significant rush for it. The only thing helping it avoid that IMO is lack of a big opener.
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Wed Mar 13, 2019 11:34 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3138
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
No way WOM (I’m talking true WOM) is good enough to withstand a steep drop. I am predicting mid $60s.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Fri Mar 15, 2019 3:04 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67151
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
Everyone I know that's seen it has criticised it.
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Fri Mar 15, 2019 8:11 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
CM actually increased 8% yesterday. Surprising.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri Mar 15, 2019 12:04 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
Wonder Park is poorly reviewed. Too bad, it looked cute for what it is.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri Mar 15, 2019 12:24 pm |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm Posts: 7172 Location: Wisconsin
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote: CM actually increased 8% yesterday. Surprising. I've randomly asked people what they thought of Captain Marvel after their shows. Two people were meh on it. Around 10 liked it. Five loved it. WOM will be better than people realize. Supporting this is the continued increase in RT audience score and IMDB score after it's initial scores, which usually trend down, not up, as time goes on. Whether it's reflected in box office remains to be seen. Any drop under 60% is fine, if it's drop is less than 55% that would be very good considering the size of the opening.
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Fri Mar 15, 2019 3:39 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
Yeah CM is going to hold really well, but Wonder Park possible opening to $20M+ is a pretty big surprise IMO. I know I went high for it in the Spring Contest, but I had little to no faith in it after seeing so little marketing for it and of course the terrible reviews. I never saw any marketing for Captive State and Five Feet Apart either.
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Fri Mar 15, 2019 9:58 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23921 Location: Classified
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
$18-19M Friday for Captain Marvel. Should get close to $70M weekend with that.
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Sat Mar 16, 2019 12:07 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
The first THG with $18.6m Friday (with a much lower Thursday) did $58m second weekend. Yes CM will skew more families still $70m is not yet locked with that number.
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Sat Mar 16, 2019 12:33 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18944 Location: San Diego
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
I knew Five Feet Apart would do 10m+. Cole Sprouse's Riverdale fans showed up, he has a big following online.
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Sat Mar 16, 2019 11:28 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18944 Location: San Diego
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Re: March 15-17 predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote: Gonna go with a slightly bigger drop than IW for Captain Marvel, 56% drop, $67.3m. Damn, .7 off lol
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Tue Mar 19, 2019 2:44 am |
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