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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20369 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Disney 2019 Predictions
I thought it might be interesting to look at each studio this year.
1. Avengers: Endgame 650m 2. The Lion King 550m 3. Star Wars Episode 9 550m 4. Frozen 2 450m 5. Toy Story 4 350m 6. Aladdin 250m 7. Captain Marvel 240m 8. Dumbo 225m 9. Artemis Fowl 40m 10. Penguins 20m
Disney could have an unprecedented 8 200m hits this year, after a previous high of 7 in 2016. Avengers and Lion King will battle itvout for number 1 of the year, while Star Wars should hit between 550m and 650m and has a small chance to be as big as them. Frozen 2 probably won’t do too much more than its predecessor, but it’s opening will be huge and who knows how far holiday legs can carry it? Toy Story 4 will do respectable business, but there is less interest in it than Incredibles or Finding Dory. Aladdin has very beloved source material, but all of its footage has been met with negative reception, and it comes out after Detective a Pikachu and Avengers which will steak all its buzz. Captain Marvels trailers have failed to excite, but it should still eek out a gross near Doctor Strange. Dumbo will be one of Disney’s lower grossing remakes, but it’s well received trailers could propel it to north of 200m. Artemis Fowl will bomb hard, and Penguins will gross in the Disneynature sweet spot of 15-30m.
Last edited by zwackerm on Sun Dec 23, 2018 9:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sun Dec 23, 2018 2:45 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18893 Location: San Diego
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
One of the live action films should've came out this Christmas. Think Dumbo or even Aladdin could've killed it as opposed to Poppins.
1. Lion King - 680m+ 2. End Game - will probably beat Infinity War as I feel opening will be more 3. Episode 9 - 475m 4. Frozen 2 - 475m (could do more) 5. Toy Story 4 - 325m... could do more but idk 6. Aladdin - 300m (could be another Memorial Day disaster but I think it'll open big to finish around this) 7. Captain Marvel - 275m+ 8. Dumbo - 175m
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Sun Dec 23, 2018 3:09 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6146 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
Avengers: Endgame: $620m Lion King: $515m Frozen 2: $420m Star Wars Episode IX: $360m Toy Story 4: $290m Captain Marvel: $240m Aladdin: $220m Dumbo: $180m
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Sun Dec 23, 2018 3:25 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
Very crazy year for Disney and I feel that it will definitely be top heavy. I honestly think both Endgame and TLK have a chance at making $2B+ WW, although it has never happened in the history of films. If it was though it would surely be this year.
1. The Lion King - $750M 2. Avengers: Endgame - $670M 3. Star Wars: Episode 9 - $550M 4. Frozen 2 - $480M 5. Toy Story 4 - $450M 6. Captain Marvel - $320M 7. Aladdin - $300M 8. Dumbo - $230M 9. Artemis Fowl - $40M 10. Penguins - $15M
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Sun Dec 23, 2018 3:34 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
Endgame will get past 700m.
It's a monster year for Disney. Perhaps the greatest studio slate of all time. But also one that has potential for some major underachievement.
Star Wars Ep.9 is almost am also ran based off the predictions here!
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Sun Dec 23, 2018 4:43 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm Posts: 7951 Location: Hyrule
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
Another strong year, I just hope Toy Story 4 beats all their 2019 offerings.
_________________ Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie 2. Rebel Moon 3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1 4. Oppenheimer 5. The Flash 6. Elemental 7. Aquaman 2 8. Dune Part 2 9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 10. Blue Beetle
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Mon Dec 24, 2018 12:22 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18893 Location: San Diego
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
Brian wrote: Another strong year, I just hope Toy Story 4 beats all their 2019 offerings. Toy Story 4 won't do Incredibles 2 numbers so that's not happening.
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Mon Dec 24, 2018 12:28 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38087
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
I see a better chance of Frozen 2 doubling Toy Story 4 than getting beat by it. I am going well over 600 for Frozen 2. Shrek 2 is about 650 mil adjusted which seems like a fair goal. Of all these films if I had to pick one to beat one to beat the Force Awakens I'm taking Frozen. What if it opens to a MOG 200 million and then crushes the holiday weekdays. Hell 175 mil opening weekend could be enough to have an insane total
Star Wars feels weirdly an afterthought on that list. They really messed up that brand.
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Mon Dec 24, 2018 1:52 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67059
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
I see it like this:
1. Avengers: Endgame - $720m 2. Star Wars: Episode IX - $520m 3. Toy Story 4 - $500m 4. Frozen 2 - $450m 5. Captain Marvel - $360m 6. The Lion King - $330m 7. Dumbo - $270m 8. Aladdin - $178m 9. Artemis Fowl - $50m 10. Penguins - $30m
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Mon Dec 24, 2018 3:34 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm Posts: 7951 Location: Hyrule
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
Of all Disney releases, I just hope Captain Marvel bombs hard in a monumental way, let's boycott this shit and say no to SJW crap in movies.................... and everything else.
_________________ Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie 2. Rebel Moon 3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1 4. Oppenheimer 5. The Flash 6. Elemental 7. Aquaman 2 8. Dune Part 2 9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 10. Blue Beetle
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Mon Dec 24, 2018 10:04 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm Posts: 7951 Location: Hyrule
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
People undestimating Toy Story 4 and overstamating Frozen 2 is kinda surprising, let the meltdowns begin!
_________________ Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie 2. Rebel Moon 3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1 4. Oppenheimer 5. The Flash 6. Elemental 7. Aquaman 2 8. Dune Part 2 9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 10. Blue Beetle
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Mon Dec 24, 2018 10:08 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25020 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
1. Star Wars Episode 9 850m+ 2. Avengers: Endgame 750m+ 3. The Lion King 750m+ 4. Frozen 2 750m+ 5. Aladdin 500m+ 6. Toy Story 4 450m+ 7. Captain Marvel 300m+ 8. Artemis Fowl 150m+ 9. Dumbo flop 10. Penguins flop
_________________The Force Awakens
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Thu Jan 03, 2019 5:36 pm |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11015 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
1. The Lion King 750 2. Star Wars Episode 9 700 3. Avengers: Endgame 650 4. Frozen 2 575 5. Toy Story 4 400 6. Aladdin 375 7. Captain Marvel 275 8. Dumbo 250 9. Artemis Fowl 75 10. Penguins 75
_________________ 2009 World of KJ Fantasy Football World Champion Team MVP : Peyton Manning : Record 11-5 : Points 2669.00 [b]FREE KORRGAN 45TH PRESIDENT OF THE U.S.A. DONALD J. TRUMP #MAGA #KAG! 10,000 post achieved on - Posted: Wed May 16, 2018 7:49 pm
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Thu Jan 03, 2019 6:11 pm |
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stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am Posts: 11217 Location: Bright Falls
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
1. Avengers: Endgame 700m 3. Star Wars Episode 9 650m 2. The Lion King 550m 4. Frozen 2 450m 5. Toy Story 4 300m 6. Aladdin 250m 7. Captain Marvel 250m 8. Dumbo 250m 9. Artemis Fowl 80m 10. Penguins 25m
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Fri Jan 04, 2019 12:16 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6146 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
Brian wrote: Of all Disney releases, I just hope Captain Marvel bombs hard in a monumental way, let's boycott this shit and say no to SJW crap in movies.................... and everything else. There is certainly a lot of focus on gender, sexuality and race (what I assume you're calling "SJW crap") in movies nowadays but how is Captain Marvel part of that? Hasn't the character always been a woman? It looks like any other superhero movie. If you were talking about Mary, Queen of Scots, which invented an entire gay subplot out of thin air (I love seeing gay people like me in movies but I prefer my historical dramas historically accurate), then I'd understand you.
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Mon Jan 07, 2019 2:53 am |
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Price
Gamaur's sex slave
Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2005 7:15 pm Posts: 8889 Location: Los Pollos Hermanos
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
Barrabás wrote: Hasn't the character always been a woman? No. Carol Danvers is the first Ms.Marvel, but the character Captain Marvel was created a decade before. And I'm not talking about what later became Shazam, but about the character after Marvel got the rights to the name. By looking at the cast, it seems that Jude Law plays the original Captain Mar-Vell.
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Mon Jan 07, 2019 8:38 am |
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lesterg
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2005 11:40 am Posts: 1339
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
I don't get the SJW complaints. Carol Danvers has been "Ms." or "Captain" Marvel for 42 years.
She's significantly more important to the Marvel Universe than the original Mar-Vell, who has been dead (excluding a few temporary resurrections) for almost four decades.
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Mon Jan 07, 2019 1:46 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67059
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
You don't get that people don't do their research? Come on, lesterg. It doesn't take a genius to know that people just assume "Captain" Marvel must've always been a man and that the character is only a woman now because of the modern pro-LGBTQ climate. People don't even do their research when electing presidents, why the fuck would they do research for an off-the-cuff complaint?
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Mon Jan 07, 2019 8:43 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3130
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
So depressing that a Star Wars movie isn't presumed by me to be #1 this year. Heck, it may even be #3.
Lion King - $740m Avengers: Endgame - $670m Ep IX - $660m
Disney will have 9 of the 10 in the Top Ten (lumping Avatar with Disney)
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Mon Jan 07, 2019 10:29 pm |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
Hope Avengers is good.
Dumbo actually looks pretty good unlike the usual Disney shit (BATB, Lion King, Aladdin, Cinderella etc.)
and oh, I guess that's all there is. Hope the rest tank except Capt Marvel even if it looks generic as hell and Penguins coz people should learn more about the world we live in.
_________________ Calls Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2 Lorax over Despicable Me Men in Black 3 Under 100m Madagascar 3 Under 100m Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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Thu Jan 10, 2019 1:04 pm |
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Birdman
Speed Racer
Joined: Tue Feb 17, 2015 11:17 pm Posts: 111
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
Brian wrote: Of all Disney releases, I just hope Captain Marvel bombs hard in a monumental way, let's boycott this shit and say no to SJW crap in movies.................... and everything else. You're the absolute worst.
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Thu Jan 10, 2019 5:56 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18893 Location: San Diego
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
Lol wtf how is Captain Marvel SJW crap? This is literally the first MCU movie with a female lead, should they just not do that? Eek
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Thu Jan 10, 2019 6:58 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6146 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
lilmac wrote: So depressing that a Star Wars movie isn't presumed by me to be #1 this year. Heck, it may even be #3.
Lion King - $740m Avengers: Endgame - $670m Ep IX - $660m
Disney will have 9 of the 10 in the Top Ten (lumping Avatar with Disney) Lol EP IX is not coming remotely close to that. There's no hook like Revenge of the Sith.
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Fri Jan 18, 2019 10:19 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20369 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
Barrabás wrote: lilmac wrote: So depressing that a Star Wars movie isn't presumed by me to be #1 this year. Heck, it may even be #3.
Lion King - $740m Avengers: Endgame - $670m Ep IX - $660m
Disney will have 9 of the 10 in the Top Ten (lumping Avatar with Disney) Lol EP IX is not coming remotely close to that. There's no hook like Revenge of the Sith. If the marketing really connects it could see a slight increase. But I’d agree it’s unlikely
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Fri Jan 18, 2019 10:22 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Disney 2019 Predictions
Even with the long wait between sequels fans are pretty much sure that this isn't going to be the last SW movie to come and after EP8 the interest in the series from casual audience have definitely come down. From what I can remember the buzz for EP8 was HUGE at the start of 2017 with the first clip of Luke but this time Disney will over-saturate market competing with its own different departments. I don't think this will generate any buzz before August and Disney is doing well not to release any clips for now.
Regardless I don't think EP9 will see any significant increase from EP8 this time like the past movies have seen in the series.
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Sat Jan 19, 2019 2:09 am |
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