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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Two sellouts for my theater tonight. No idea where the ceiling for this might be.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Thu Oct 04, 2018 1:03 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
publicenemy#1 wrote: This might be closer than I'd originally thought lol this film is gonna be huuuge That'd be great. An R-rated film with few to no action scenes did over $300m. Also, it would prove that Lady Gaga is not as repellent as some in the media have portrayed.
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Thu Oct 04, 2018 1:04 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38240
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Put me in. Why not?
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Thu Oct 04, 2018 1:42 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Fandango reports it's outpacing The Martian, Gravity, and Gone Girl. https://www.thewrap.com/welcome/2670542 ... fandango~/
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Thu Oct 04, 2018 1:47 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Since its coming from fandango I will still remain pessimistic, but a $40M+ OW should happen at this point even if it turns out to be somewhat pre-sales heavy.
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Thu Oct 04, 2018 5:43 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14542 Location: Everywhere
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Great weekend but I can’t say this club’s odds have improved. It’s a long road to American Sniper, and a weekend like this was almost required to keep this club alive. 200m plus may be more realistic; it would represent a strong run.
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Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:05 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Yeah an 8x multiplier seems ridiculous but this is gonna have a healthy run.
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Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:18 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38240
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
This is an L
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:02 am |
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stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am Posts: 11240 Location: Bright Falls
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Yeah, while it is doing well and probably will, I have as expected overshot with this...still let's see the second weekend before I nominate this a fail.
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Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:39 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Not possible.
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Wed Oct 10, 2018 2:54 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14542 Location: Everywhere
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
The weekday numbers are impressive. It might improve from a great second week hold since there was initial frontloading with strong previews and a drop on Saturday. I’m confident about 200m at this point, and think 250m is realistic. If ever this club were possible, this is the start it would need. I can’t say it’s impossible.
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Fri Oct 12, 2018 7:22 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14542 Location: Everywhere
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
The Friday jump wasn’t that high, but with the weekday numbers it’s on pace for almost 200m. The final gross depends on whether the holds can improve. The first Saturday drop meant initial frontloading, but it was down only 21% week to week on Saturday. A drop next week of 25-30% could set the pace for a long run. If I’m right about that, it might reach 220m.
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Sun Oct 14, 2018 8:09 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67125
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
It had a great hold but this club is over. It was over as soon as it was created.
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Sun Oct 14, 2018 8:20 pm |
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stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am Posts: 11240 Location: Bright Falls
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club - FAILED
Yeah, this is unfortunately over. Thanks for everyone who was right.
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Mon Oct 15, 2018 1:02 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club - FAIL
Right now ASIB is around $130m less WW than American Sniper. Pretty impressive. It did do better than Sniper overseas lol
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Mon Feb 04, 2019 8:18 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
MGKC wrote: I'd easily join A Star is Born doubles/triples Bohemian Rhapsody's total gross club.
Oop
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Mon Feb 04, 2019 8:20 pm |
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