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Para
Hatchling
Joined: Mon Sep 17, 2018 11:45 am Posts: 16
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
I'm In. This might go past $300 million as well.
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Fri Sep 21, 2018 3:41 am |
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lesterg
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2005 11:40 am Posts: 1339
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
In. It's definitely not for me, but it's going to be big.
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Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:11 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
Anyone know if this will have an entirely new score or will they be revamping originals from the soundtrack?
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Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:13 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67125
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
Do you even need to ask? This is Disney we're talking about. They couldn't even let 92-year-old Dick Van Dyke sit this one out. They'll obviously be heavily using some of the old songs.
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Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:36 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
Algren wrote: Do you even need to ask? This is Disney we're talking about. They couldn't even let 92-year-old Dick Van Dyke sit this one out. They'll obviously be heavily using some of the old songs. Good point. Trailer really didn't give us any hints.
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Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:40 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20415 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
Rolling Thunder wrote: Anyone know if this will have an entirely new score or will they be revamping originals from the soundtrack? Id assume there will be references or motifs to the old songs but they will be mainly original
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Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:59 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
I must be missing something because I just don't feel this. I'm probably wrong but I'm out.
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Fri Sep 21, 2018 2:58 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
It'll have 2 days by itself (unless you consider preview impact) to get the WOM machine fired up. It will either be immune to the cluster of 12/21 releases or be totally obliterated by them.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri Sep 21, 2018 3:02 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3131
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
Para wrote: I'm In. This might go past $300 million as well. If the Lin Manuel-Miranda songs are excellent the sky is the limit.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Fri Sep 21, 2018 11:42 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20415 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
I’m definitely feeling this will do well enough out of the gate to get this club. I think long term legs really depend on the songs. If they connect a la Greatest Showman, the sky’s the limit. If not, it will probably not have much life after New Years.
I’m thinking a 45-50m three day opening and a second weekend that’s either flat or increases from that. As Aquaman will drop 30-40% week 2 at least, it should be number 1 over New Years after Aquaman out opens it.
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Wed Nov 21, 2018 2:43 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18931 Location: San Diego
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
I think the opening will be soft (Wednesday and Thursday numbers especially) and then really get going the week after. Considering this is probably the most holiday friendly film this season I think the question is how high this can go.
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Tue Nov 27, 2018 1:55 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20415 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
The first two songs were released yesterday, and they’re not bad, but they sound very much like they’re trying to mimic the feel of the old songs, which might work, but I think it would have been better to make it sound more different. They’re never going to top the original, so they really should have done something not comparable, IMO.
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Tue Nov 27, 2018 12:55 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67125
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
Is nobody flirting with the possibility that this under-performs? or is everyone on the "it will 100% make over $300 million"?
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Tue Nov 27, 2018 10:19 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20415 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
Algren wrote: Is nobody flirting with the possibility that this under-performs? or is everyone on the "it will 100% make over $300 million"? I’m feeling closer to $250m.
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Wed Nov 28, 2018 12:25 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67125
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
Ok, $250m, $300m, not much difference. Does nobody think it has even a chance of missing the mark and clearing, say, "just" $160m? Has everyone marked this as a guaranteed $200m+ smash hit?
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Wed Nov 28, 2018 12:37 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21654 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
I think it's a solid bet to go at least 200. This month time period itself hasn't had at least one film make over 200 since 2010, and I have a lot more faith in this than Aquaman.
This looks like everything anyone would be looking for outside of SW this Christmas. I won't even rule out Jumanji numbers
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Wed Nov 28, 2018 8:57 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3131
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 3:21 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20415 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
If projections for a 6.2m Friday are true, this club is dead pretty much. It still might crawl to 200, but I doubt it.
I wonder did Disney mess up the marketing or was there really no way this could have done better? Tracking never went sub 35m from major outlets. Is Mary Poppins more forgotten than we thought? It seems to have all the ingredients of a successful Christmas musical plus more widely known source material than something like Into the Woods or even Les Mis.
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Fri Dec 21, 2018 4:24 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67125
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
Yeah, nobody cares about the original. So glad this is underperforming. It's about a magical nanny. We're in 2018. Girls want to aspire to more than being nannies.
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Fri Dec 21, 2018 8:03 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm Posts: 7951 Location: Hyrule
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
lol at Mary Floppins, didn't see this making so bad, now I believe that even Bumblebee and Spider-man will beat it.
_________________ Most Anticipated 2023
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Fri Dec 21, 2018 8:54 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67125
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
#MaryFloppins
Oh I so hope this trends! Shack, you'd better include that hashtag when updating Twitter.
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Fri Dec 21, 2018 8:56 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18931 Location: San Diego
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
Mary Floppins If this makes less than $150m I'll be really surprised.
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Fri Dec 21, 2018 10:19 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6160 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
Zero chance this makes $200m let alone $250m.
Incredible how Disney have the Top 3 films of the year and everything else (apart from Ant-Man 2 I guess) has flopped.
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Sat Dec 22, 2018 12:50 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67125
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
Well it's the law of averages. If you put out so much product, some are bound to fail.
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Sat Dec 22, 2018 1:47 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20415 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Mary Poppins Returns 250m+ Club
This club ain’t coming anywhere close, but it’s still well on pace to out gross every recent Christmas musical other than maybe Showman so I’m hesitant to call it a flop. It’s in trouble if it makes nothing overseas, but if it can make 300m WW, it’s in fine shape financially and not an embarrassment.
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Sat Dec 22, 2018 10:58 am |
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