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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Algren wrote: stuffp wrote: So far there are no signs it's not going to make it. No signs? Here's one... No film has ever made $275m from an October release, let alone $350m.
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Sat Sep 08, 2018 4:37 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
It will help that Lady Gaga is probably the front-runner for Best Actress. Cooper could take actor too. Holiday legs will be super kind to it and then it will pick up steam again with the awards love. I also think it will get repeat viewings. I absolutely feel 200 is guaranteed. How much further it goes though remains to be seen. I can't really see it reaching 350 Million but wouldn't be totally shocked by it either.
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Sat Sep 08, 2018 10:46 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Wow at some of these insane predictions on here lol. I thought $100M would be pretty tough for this, but it looks like most are starting to think it will easily crush that. I guess anything is possible even though there doesn't actually seem to be much hype for it. American Sniper was an EVENT and while this could be BIG I'm expecting something closer to Gone Girl than Sniper which would still be fucking insane for an R-rated musical/drama.
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Sat Sep 08, 2018 10:57 am |
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Malcolm
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
I think this movie looks awful--like a parody, almost. If there were a Rifftrax audio track that would make perfect sense...
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Sat Sep 08, 2018 10:59 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48626 Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
This isn't coming anywhere near American Sniper (I mean, really?), but $150M+ seems distinctly possible with all the hype and rave reviews being showered on it. Similar numbers to La La Land will probably be in order.
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Sat Sep 08, 2018 11:32 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Thanks Libs for also pointing out your view. I was going crazy with those $200m+ predictions. La la Land is also an apt comparison in terms of how big this can get. LLL had much more hype IMO and was PG-13 critical and awards darling and it ended with $150m total though of course its release pattern was staggered but then it also means that ASIB has a higher chance to not survive that long in the market
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Sat Sep 08, 2018 9:06 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14542 Location: Everywhere
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
There's no rule that says it's impossible, there just hasn't been a movie quite like it to gross 350m. 150m remains great for any drama, even a best picture winner. With the budget, WB probably isn't invested in marketing it as more than an October release, and like it or not, OW shapes BO in modern Hollywood.
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Sun Sep 09, 2018 1:55 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Yeah no one said that it couldn't cross $300m, any movie can do that. But I still don't know why this is supposed to do so high and my prediction still stands at solid $70m-$80m total.
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Sun Sep 09, 2018 2:02 am |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14542 Location: Everywhere
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Also, a lot of movies about the music industry bomb.
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Sun Sep 09, 2018 2:18 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67128
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Jack Sparrow wrote: Yeah no one said that it couldn't cross $300m Literally everyone in the thread apart from stuffp did. Jack Sparrow wrote: any movie can do that. No they can't.
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Sun Sep 09, 2018 2:25 am |
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stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am Posts: 11240 Location: Bright Falls
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Titanic was a drama that did pretty well at the box office.
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Sun Sep 09, 2018 6:12 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Algren wrote: Jack Sparrow wrote: Yeah no one said that it couldn't cross $300m Literally everyone in the thread apart from stuffp did. Jack Sparrow wrote: any movie can do that. No they can't. Yes and yes!!
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Sun Sep 09, 2018 9:53 am |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14542 Location: Everywhere
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
stuffp wrote: Titanic was a drama that did pretty well at the box office. It was very expensive, especially for the time.
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Sun Sep 09, 2018 12:12 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
DP07 wrote: stuffp wrote: Titanic was a drama that did pretty well at the box office. It was very expensive, especially for the time. A Star is Born - the modern age art house Titanic.
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Sun Sep 09, 2018 1:12 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67128
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
stuffp's lost his marbles. First off with the nuts prediction, now bringing Titanic into the discussion. *facepalm*
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Sun Sep 09, 2018 7:52 pm |
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Jmart
Superman: The Movie
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:47 am Posts: 21161 Location: Massachusetts
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
stuffp wrote: Titanic was a drama that did pretty well at the box office. Titanic also had the benefit of every teenage girl paying to see it six or seven times. As for ASIB, it’ll be a crowd-pleaser, it’ll be a hit, and it’ll probably nab a few Oscar nominations, but $350m? Out
_________________My DVD Collection Marty McGee (1989-2005)
If I’m not here, I’m on Letterboxd.
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Tue Sep 11, 2018 3:28 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67128
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
I like the latest poster.
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Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:13 am |
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stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am Posts: 11240 Location: Bright Falls
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Haha, nice one. Well this should appeal to the extremely large LGBT community too, so $350m might really be underselling it after all.
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Fri Sep 14, 2018 1:21 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
It couldn't be real poster right? It looks so authentic yet the wording is a parody
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Fri Sep 14, 2018 1:27 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6161 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
That probably came from angry Madonna fans.
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Sat Sep 15, 2018 7:16 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67128
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
I'm not an angry Madonna fan.
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Sat Sep 15, 2018 8:17 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
If Bradley Cooper plays a trans role in this, I will pay to see it.
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Sat Sep 15, 2018 9:01 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67128
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
It obviously means Germanotta.
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Sat Sep 15, 2018 11:00 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
Algren wrote: It obviously means Germanotta. Of course born this way
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Sun Sep 16, 2018 11:35 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
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Re: A Star Is Born over American Sniper Club
This might be closer than I'd originally thought lol this film is gonna be huuuge
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Thu Oct 04, 2018 2:08 am |
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