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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
Virtually 0% chance it drops less than 50%. That would be far more impressive than the opening weekend number. If it does I'm going to predict a best picture nomination.
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Wed Feb 21, 2018 2:32 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
Proud Ryu wrote: Virtually 0% chance it drops less than 50%. That would be far more impressive than the opening weekend number. If it does I'm going to predict a best picture nomination. That would be a more impressive feat. LET’S GO BP!!!!!
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Wed Feb 21, 2018 2:34 pm |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 5261 Location: Wakanda
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
"I'll feed you to my children" if it doesn't get a Best Picture nomination. And I'm not kidding.....
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Wed Feb 21, 2018 2:41 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
Passionate Thug wrote: "I'll feed you to my children" if it doesn't get a Best Picture nomination. And I'm not kidding..... but y’all vegetarians
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Wed Feb 21, 2018 2:48 pm |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
So apparently this week is a "winter break" for school kids in New York/New England areas. No wonder Deadpool only jumped 100% on the second Friday, while other big movies released outside of summer seem to jump 130-140% (like Ultron/Civil War). Deadpool had much better legs than those films.
Seems this week is not just boosted by Presidents Day itself. Have to be careful with comparing Black Panther to some of the other MCU films in May and so forth.
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Wed Feb 21, 2018 3:51 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
Projecting holdovers based on advance sales is not an exact science, but a $100m second weekend is looking good from what I'm seeing here.
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Thu Feb 22, 2018 9:26 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
Rolling Thunder wrote: Projecting holdovers based on advance sales is not an exact science, but a $100m second weekend is looking good from what I'm seeing here. Sweet!
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Thu Feb 22, 2018 12:15 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
Early reports are saying a $15 million Wednesday. If it were to follow Deadpool's daily pattern Thursday-Sunday, it would land roughly a $98-99 million weekend. I feel like that's the low end at this point - there's so much hype around the film I imagine that's driving a lot of weekday business and will mean a softer-than-normal Friday bump, but being PG-13 vs. R should theoretically mean an even greater Friday and Saturday bump than Deadpool had. Theoretically.
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Thu Feb 22, 2018 12:40 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
If it gets to $98 million over three days, Disney will ensure $100 million. I could see the film challenging The Avengers' for the second-biggest second Saturday gross.
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Thu Feb 22, 2018 1:05 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
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Thu Feb 22, 2018 7:09 pm |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
That would be amazing.
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Thu Feb 22, 2018 8:06 pm |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 5261 Location: Wakanda
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
redfirebird2008 wrote: That would be amazing. They were spot on last week with their 200m predict, This would be awesome I'm sticking with my <40% drop
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Thu Feb 22, 2018 9:34 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
Passionate Thug wrote: redfirebird2008 wrote: That would be amazing. They were spot on last week with their 200m predict, This would be awesome I'm sticking with my <40% drop They had $185m for the 3-day and $212m for the 4-day. Hardly spot-on.
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Thu Feb 22, 2018 9:59 pm |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 5261 Location: Wakanda
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
They were the only site bold enough to go that high though
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Thu Feb 22, 2018 10:44 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
Maybe they will low-ball its 2nd weekend too!
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Thu Feb 22, 2018 10:51 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
100.3m
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Fri Feb 23, 2018 8:42 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
It won't come near $120m, nice as it would be. I see $105m as the ceiling.
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Fri Feb 23, 2018 8:55 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
Brad Brevet's BOM prediction of -41% is apparently not based on any analysis whatsoever.
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Fri Feb 23, 2018 11:36 am |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
The breakout opening and sellouts will help. Jurassic World, Avengers, and The Dark Knight all held well on their 2nd weekends. The first Spider-Man did as well and it’s dailies show sellouts affected it. Because of the small Sunday drop I’m going to say 47% or better. The Sunday drop probably indicates that theaters were not prepared to meet demand the first two days.
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Fri Feb 23, 2018 5:59 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3130
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
$95m, maybe $97.5m
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Fri Feb 23, 2018 6:08 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Predict Black Panther's 2nd Weekend Drop
Too early DL numbers project $92m. Definitely going up. Would only be a 85% Friday increase.
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Fri Feb 23, 2018 6:24 pm |
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