Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20415 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
Jumanji 21m 3 day/ 27m 4 day The Post 6.25m Friday/19m 3 day/22.6m 4 day Proud Mary 5m Friday/15m 3 day/18m 4 day Paddington 2 3.3m Friday/12.5m 3 day/17m 4 day The Greatest Showman- 3.2m Friday/11.2m 3 day/13.6m 4 day The Commuter 3.8m Friday/11m 3 day/13m 4 day http://deadline.com/2018/01/the-commute ... 202241724/
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Fri Jan 12, 2018 11:06 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
Woh, Greatest Showman. We'll see how that number holds up - but that'd be pretty impressive.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 12:44 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
I predicted a bit more for Showman. I think everything should go up.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 1:24 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
Yes that TGS number is insane. Jumanji has overshadowed TGS's run but the later is even more impressive
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 1:37 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
Well, I did predict 150 million for Showman in the Fall contest so I still think Jumanji is more impressive. Showman is doing amazing though.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 1:54 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
It's the lower opening which makes it very impressive. Very few movies get to see these kind of legs. I expected $100m+ for it before it's release but went down to $80m after the OD.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 2:04 am |
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tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am Posts: 2084
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
BO predictions often forget the senior demographic. tree and a half wrote: Magic Mike wrote: I know things will slow down considerably after Monday but could The Greatest Showman reach 100 Million? Audiences seem to be enjoying it. Has done quite well. I predict it will do $100m DOM. Senior citizens are going bananas for TGS - watch for bus groups to swell matinees well into the new year and give it great legs.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 2:13 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
So much for higher than expected. Outside of Jumanji most others are down. Really disappointing number for Paddington 2 which is currently looking at under 15 for the 4-Day. Here's hoping for a really nice Saturday.
Proud Mary should have been able to do better over MLK weekend. Kind of an underwhelming holiday weekend unless things go up.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 2:48 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38234
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
Why does MLK weekend suck so much for box office now, didn't it used to be a thing?
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 3:02 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11603
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
At this rate, The Greatest Showman has a chance at #1 film of all time never in the top 3. Needs to get to American Hustle at 150 m.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 3:56 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23903 Location: Classified
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
Kind of sad for Paddington. The first is pretty popular so not sure why it landed so low. Hopefully the legs will be good and it can survive the similar, but more mean spirited, Peter Rabbit.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 4:07 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
Quote: For the MLK weekend of Jan. 12-15, 2018, industry estimates: Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle(SONY), 3,849 theaters (+48) / $6M Fri (-44%)/3-day: $23.9M (-36%)/4-day: $30.8M/Total:$287M/ Wk 4 The Post (FOX/DW), 2,819 theaters (+2,783) / $6.1M Fri (+1130%) /3-day:$18M(+963%)/4-day: $21.5M/Total: $26M/Wk 4 Star Wars: The Last Jedi(DIS), 3,090 theaters (-1142)/ $2.9M Fri (-56%)/3-day: $11.5M (-51%)/4-day: $15.1M/Total:$595.4M/ Wk 5 The Commuter(LG), 2,892 theaters / $4.3M Fri/3-day: $12.3M /4-day: $14.7M/Wk 1 Paddington 2(WB), 3,702 theaters / $2.6M Fri/3-day: $10.8M /4-day: $14.2M/Wk 1 The Greatest Showman (FOX), 2,938 theaters (-404) / $3.1M Fri (-25%) / 3-day:$11.6M (-16%)/4-day: $14M/Total: $96.8M/Wk 4 Insidious: The Last Key(UNI), 3,150 theaters (+34)/ $3.1M (-75%) Fri/3-day: $10.5M (-64%)/4-day: $12.1M/Total: $48.3M/ Wk 2 8. Proud Mary(Sony), 2,125 theaters / $3.3M Fri/3-day: $9.8M /4-day: $11.4M/Wk 19. Pitch Perfect 3 (UNI), 2,505 theaters (-953)/ $1.4M Fri (-56%)/3-day: $5.3M(-48%)/4-day: $6.4M/Total: $95.4M/ Wk 4 10. Darkest Hour (FOC), 1,693 theaters (-40)/ $1.3M Fri (-27%) /3-day: $5M(-16%)/4-day:$6.1M Total: $37.4M/ Wk 8 11. Molly’s Game (STX) 1,708 theaters (+100)/$1.1M Fri (-52%)/3-day:$4.2M (-38%)/4-day: $5.2M/Total: $22M/ Wk 3 Notables: I, Tonya (NEON/30), 517 theaters (+275) / $902K Fri (+17%)/3-day: $3M (+22%)/4-day: $3.5M/Total: $10.3M/Wk 6 The Shape of Water (FSL), 723 theaters (-81) / $633K Fri (-25%) /3-day: $2.3M (-25%)/4-day: $2.9M/Total: $26.5M/Wk 7 Three Billboards… (FSL), 1,022 theaters (+712) / $631K Fri (+240%) /3-day: $2.2M (+225%)/4-day: $2.7M/Total: $29M/Wk 10 Phantom Thread (FOC), 62 theaters (+56) / $270K Fri (+300%)/3-day: $877K (+265%)/PTA: $14K/4-day: $1M/Total: $2.1M/Wk 3 Link - http://deadline.com/2018/01/the-commute ... 202241724/Pretty shitty for everything outside Jumanji and TGS IMO.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 4:20 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23903 Location: Classified
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
The Last Jedi still dropped 50%? FFS.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 4:27 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11603
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
Jumanji looks like only the fourth movie opening under $50 m to see 4 consecutive weekends of $20 m+. Titanic, The Sixth Sense and Elf are the other three.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 4:41 am |
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Samweis Gamdschie
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:35 pm Posts: 2077 Location: At the edge of reality
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 6:07 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32125 Location: the last free city
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
Fake News
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 10:07 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
Um, what happened with Paddington? Nobody saw the reviews or enjoyed the first? Maybe the weather was to blame last night.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 10:42 am |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
Flava'd vs The World wrote: The Last Jedi still dropped 50%? FFS. Not surprised. Disney had a very strict 4 week contract. Now that it's over, theater managers are giving the bigger screens to other movies. IMAX apparently agreed to let theater owners give Jumanji an IMAX run. Very surprised by that one, but I guess IMAX realized there have been a bunch of empty shows for TLJ in the last couple weeks while Jumanji took over as the biggest movie. EDIT: Official estimate from Disney is $2.72m, which is 83.4% of Rogue One's $3.26m Friday gross. If this continues the rest of the way, Last Jedi will finish at $619.5 million. Not sure it will even go that high. It is losing ground to Rogue One's daily gross pretty much the entire run, so 83% is not locked to happen the rest of the way. A finish below Avengers' $623.36m seems very possible now. Needs 92% of Rogue One's daily gross the rest of the way to match Avengers.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 11:15 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
I feel TLJ will eventually sneak past Avengers but it won't be by much.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 12:11 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13041 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
1 1 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony $6,125,000 +188% -43% 3,849 $1,591 $262,260,909 24 2 - The Post Fox $5,900,000 +3,993% +1,088% 2,819 $2,093 $10,389,237 223 - The Commuter LGF $4,560,000 - - 2,892 $1,577 $4,560,000 14 3 Insidious: The Last Key Uni. $3,424,000 +161% -73% 3,150 $1,087 $39,665,140 8 5 - Proud Mary SGem $3,175,000 - - 2,125 $1,494 $3,175,000 16 4 The Greatest Showman Fox $3,050,000 +137% -27% 2,938 $1,038 $85,803,868 24 7 2 Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $2,723,000 +62% -58% 3,090 $881 $582,997,584 29 8 - Paddington 2 WB $2,400,000 - - 3,702 $648 $2,400,000 19 6 Pitch Perfect 3 Uni. $1,433,000 +128% -57% 2,505 $572 $90,432,225 22 10 5 Darkest Hour Focus $1,245,000 +67% -32% 1,693 $735 $32,460,552 52 11 7 Molly's Game STX $1,080,000 +86% -53% 1,708 $632 $17,910,167 19 12 11 I, Tonya Neon $956,000 +212% +24% 517 $1,849 $7,654,816 36http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/char ... -12&p=.htm
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 12:12 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
Damn that's bad for Paddington.
Also poor for TLJ. It won't catch up with RO anymore. Most estimates went down...ugh
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 12:15 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
Jumanji has a chance at $350M and it will be #1 again next weekend.
Go TGS!!! $125M total is not out of reach. With the next couple of weeks looking weak (pun intended) until Black Panther, expect some awesome holds.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 1:32 pm |
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KC
Team Kris
Joined: Sat Nov 06, 2004 4:57 pm Posts: 1004
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
TGS box office run has been remarkable. This has the strongest WOM of any movie in quite some time. With a few Oscar Noms this could go to 150 which would be insane to think after its opening weekend.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 2:13 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
Paddington 2 bombing is why we can't have nice things.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 3:37 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6160 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Early Friday Numbers/Weekend Projections
Paddington 2 bombing was kind of expected. Aside from the inexplicable success of Alvin and the Chipmunks, most family sequels with CGI critters decrease a lot. Garfield 2, Scooby Doo 2, Stuart Little 2 come to mind. Looks like another nasty drop for Star Wars. I reiterate that audiences do not like it and it's going to affect Episode IX now that the original cast are out of the picture so soon thanks to the brilliance of Kathleen Kennedy and the writers room she assembled.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 6:44 pm |
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