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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20349 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
How much will this do?
I'd hope with its release date and likely heavy marketing push it could open to 40m and close with 130m.
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Sat Jul 15, 2017 4:18 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
Well, it's Disney so it is hard to be too down on its potential, but it looks crap so I want to go with $78m total.
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Sat Jul 15, 2017 9:51 pm |
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pro1986
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2009 7:28 am Posts: 502
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
OMG this was Directed by Ava. Everything she makes is acclaimed. Can not wait.
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Sat Jul 15, 2017 10:31 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20349 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
There's five books in the series. Hopefully this isn't another Narnia where it takes half a century to get all the books on screen.
It should get a lot of the urban audience that should come out for Black Panther, not to mention it's trailer will be in front of Black Panther and probably Star Wars and Thor, so it could benefit from that like Hidden Figures and A Dogs Purpose did after having trailers with Rogue One and Fantastic Beasts.
This could open with or close with 70 million, IMO.
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Sun Jul 16, 2017 8:53 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20349 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
The book is really strange. It has an episodic nature. It transitions from a high fantasy book in the first half to a sort of dystopian sci-fi in the second half. It will be hard to make a good film version.
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Wed Aug 09, 2017 12:17 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20349 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
After the last goofy trailer, I’d Guess 30/90 like Tomorrowland.
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Sat Nov 25, 2017 11:40 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18881 Location: San Diego
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
This looks visually interesting... but like it'll flop. We'll see.
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Sat Nov 25, 2017 2:36 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
In a lot of ways, it reminds me of mid-tier family hits from the 2000s. My mind goes to Bridge to Terabithia and The Spiderwick Chronicles. Those film's adjusted runs: 37/106 and 30/88, respectively.
But I sense Disney wants this to do 150 or even 200-plus million?
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sat Nov 25, 2017 9:36 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
I am thinking $65m/$200m for this.
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Sat Nov 25, 2017 10:14 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
Never understood the appeal of Oprah. She's rich and acts like it. The lack of humility rubs me the wrong way.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Tue Nov 28, 2017 9:18 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
So even things that are popular along the Bible belt, Rolling Thunder seems clueless on.
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Tue Nov 28, 2017 9:25 am |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
This looks like fucking shit.
I really absolutely hate it.
No idea what it's based on, but the entire thing screams of being overproduced. You can just see the disgusting cheap Disney CGI flourishes with inane cinematography and blocking choices.
Burn it with fire.
_________________ Calls Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2 Lorax over Despicable Me Men in Black 3 Under 100m Madagascar 3 Under 100m Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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Wed Dec 27, 2017 12:21 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20349 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
Either this or Ready Player One HAS to do well. The schedule is too open for them to both disappoint.
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Wed Dec 27, 2017 5:52 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
$32/$90m
Bridge to Terabithia adjusted.
The Tomorrowland of 2018.
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Wed Dec 27, 2017 11:57 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
zwackerm wrote: Either this or Ready Player One HAS to do well. The schedule is too open for them to both disappoint. Both will flop. People haven't automatically gone to the theatre since like 2004. People will only go to see something that's appealing, neither of those are.
_________________ .
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Wed Dec 27, 2017 11:58 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
Barrabás wrote: The Tomorrowland of 2018. Yeah, don't understand how people are not seeing this as a total flop. Magnus posting $200m+ is a serious wtf.
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Thu Dec 28, 2017 12:00 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20349 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
Barrabás wrote: zwackerm wrote: Either this or Ready Player One HAS to do well. The schedule is too open for them to both disappoint. Both will flop. People haven't automatically gone to the theatre since like 2004. People will only go to see something that's appealing, neither of those are. No, I agree with that. I'm just assuming that one is connecting in a way that we cannot see. The studios cannot possibly have fucked up March that much.
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Thu Dec 28, 2017 12:34 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
If this would have been LGF then I would have thought less but for now I'll stay optimistic on this
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Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:35 am |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
Magnus wrote: Also I’m leaning for this do 200m+ now. Minoroties and females will drive this up. Based on what though? It really does look terrible.
_________________ Calls Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2 Lorax over Despicable Me Men in Black 3 Under 100m Madagascar 3 Under 100m Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:31 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
zwackerm wrote: Barrabás wrote: zwackerm wrote: Either this or Ready Player One HAS to do well. The schedule is too open for them to both disappoint. Both will flop. People haven't automatically gone to the theatre since like 2004. People will only go to see something that's appealing, neither of those are. No, I agree with that. I'm just assuming that one is connecting in a way that we cannot see. The studios cannot possibly have fucked up March that much. Well, since Game Night moved to February it is looking more like they have. I'm getting that vibe from a lot of 2018 films. I think the overall domestic box office could dip again.
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Thu Dec 28, 2017 5:56 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
The overall box office could be saved by early summer stretch of May-June
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Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:12 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
I'd be really fucking surprised if this did $200M+ lolz. I don't think it looks awful, but just like RPO I'm not seeing the mass appeal either. Sure females and minorities will show up, but what about everyone else? This isn't going to be like Black Panther where it will have a ton of cross gender and ethnic appeal at least I doubt it does. Hell I could be wrong and it does open to BIG numbers, but I'd say Tomorrowland/John Carter numbers are more likely.
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Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:00 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
Dil wrote: I'd be really fucking surprised if this did $200M+ lolz. I don't think it looks awful, but just like RPO I'm not seeing the mass appeal either. Sure females and minorities will show up, but what about everyone else? This isn't going to be like Black Panther where it will have a ton of cross gender and ethnic appeal at least I doubt it does. Hell I could be wrong and it does open to BIG numbers, but I'd say Tomorrowland/John Carter numbers are more likely. Aside from females which btw is easily capable to get a movie past $200m there will be some families and adventure audience. It's not a guarantee but there is potential
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Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:43 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38018
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
I can't picture this making 60 mil OW. I am thinking Jack the Giant Slayer type of performance. There's a huge portion of the audience this has no appeal to. I don't really buy the urban audiences argument, it's an Oreo, it has minorities on the outside but everything else is as white and square material as it gets, no cool factor
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Fri Dec 29, 2017 3:14 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20349 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions
THe budget is just 103m, so it probably only needs 300m WW to break even which should be the low end for it. It probably won’t bomb at least even if it isn’t a big hit.
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Mon Jan 01, 2018 11:03 pm |
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