Author |
Message |
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
zwackerm wrote: Daddy's Home and Murder could hit 100m with a strong Thanksgiving hold. I wouldn't take them off the possible list yet. Ya, looks like both could potentially hit the mark. Kingsman is probably gonna hit 100m by Tuesday...
|
Tue Nov 28, 2017 1:14 am |
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
Yep both of these movies should be sneak past $100m specially MotoE which is having great weekdays and should run ahead of DH2 over weekends now as well. MotoE needs a multiplier of 3 from here on though DH2 needs a little higher 3.1 from here both of which shouldn't be too big of an ask with holidays coming soon.
|
Tue Nov 28, 2017 1:59 am |
|
|
tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am Posts: 2084
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
Algren wrote: publicenemy#1 showing his lack of humour yet again. I didn't notice this post supporting my little joke - thanks for the back-up!
|
Tue Nov 28, 2017 6:56 am |
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67125
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
Hey no worries, bro. Shall we be pals?
|
Tue Nov 28, 2017 7:49 am |
|
|
tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am Posts: 2084
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
Algren wrote: Hey no worries, bro. Shall we be pals? PayPal perhaps.
|
Tue Nov 28, 2017 7:59 am |
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67125
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
I'm not fooling for this, you dodgy Nigerian!
|
Tue Nov 28, 2017 8:20 am |
|
|
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
$100+ million movies of 2017 (days to $100m)
1. Split (19) 2. The Lego Batman Movie (11) 3. Fifty Shades Darker (16) 4. Logan (5) 5. Get Out (16) 6. Beauty and the Beast (2) 7. Kong: Skull Island (9) 8. The Boss Baby (14) 9. The Fate of the Furious (4) 10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2) 11. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (9) 12. Wonder Woman (3) 13. Cars 3 (11) 14. Transformers: The Last Knight (12) 15. Despicable Me 3 (6) 16. Spider-Man: Homecoming (3) 17. War for the Planet of the Apes (11) 18. Dunkirk (10) 19. Baby Driver (47) 20. Girls Trip (28) 21. It (3) 22. Annabelle: Creation (40) 23. Thor: Ragnarok (3) 24. Justice League (4) 25. Kingsman: The Golden Circle (71)
"Locks" Wonder Coco Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Great Chance Daddy's Home 2 Murder on the Orient Express Pitch Perfect 3 Jumanji
Possible Ferdinand The Greatest Showman
Kingsman finally made it... 71 days lol
Coco and Wonder will hit the mark soon. Murder and DH2 should make it unless it absolutely falls off Star Wars weekend.
|
Sat Dec 02, 2017 6:27 pm |
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
Even if MotoE and DH2 see a big drop with SW7 they will be close enough by that time for them to reach $100m
|
Sat Dec 02, 2017 10:01 pm |
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67125
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
Yeah, which means they have a great chance, but it is no guarantee.
|
Sat Dec 02, 2017 10:53 pm |
|
|
DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14542 Location: Everywhere
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
But the holidays will be so great for them and next weekend they will hold really well. 1.5m weekend on the 22nd to 24th can mean 10m more easily. Last Jedi won’t hit them that hard as there will be spillover from sellouts. You can imagine some worst case scenario, but everything needs to go wrong and I don’t see how they don’t make it. To piss Algren off i’ll call it guaranteed since there might be a 99.99% chance.
|
Sun Dec 03, 2017 2:46 am |
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67125
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
Oh man, I am so pissed off right now.
|
Sun Dec 03, 2017 2:55 am |
|
|
DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14542 Location: Everywhere
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
Lol because you don’t care. You’ll say the same thing next time no matter what happens.
|
Sun Dec 03, 2017 3:16 am |
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
Algren wrote: Yeah, which means they have a great chance, but it is no guarantee. Yes like The Last Jedi is also mathematically possible to not reach $100m though anyways I agree right now they are too far to be considered locks. I wasn't talking about the category pe#1 placed them into just that he said they might get killed but that seems highly unlikely.
|
Sun Dec 03, 2017 8:00 am |
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67125
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
It is not about mathematics. Every film is mathematically possible to not reach $100m and therefore also mathematically possible to reach it. That helps nobody. It is about likelihood. The Last Jedi is an absolute lock on par with tomorrow being Monday.
Orient Express and Daddy's Home 2 are in a different boat. They've already been out for a few weeks and while it may be likely, they are not absolute certainties. They just have a great chance to make it. I'd say 70% or more.
|
Sun Dec 03, 2017 8:37 am |
|
|
DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14542 Location: Everywhere
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
Movies are certain to make what they will. My ticket wouldn't make much of a difference and I'm not going to affect the gross that much any other way. It appears likely or not based on the information and analysis the prediction is based on. If you have new or better information it can change a prediction and mostly likely make it more accurate.
|
Sun Dec 03, 2017 9:09 am |
|
|
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
$100+ million movies of 2017 (days to $100m)
1. Split (19) 2. The Lego Batman Movie (11) 3. Fifty Shades Darker (16) 4. Logan (5) 5. Get Out (16) 6. Beauty and the Beast (2) 7. Kong: Skull Island (9) 8. The Boss Baby (14) 9. The Fate of the Furious (4) 10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2) 11. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (9) 12. Wonder Woman (3) 13. Cars 3 (11) 14. Transformers: The Last Knight (12) 15. Despicable Me 3 (6) 16. Spider-Man: Homecoming (3) 17. War for the Planet of the Apes (11) 18. Dunkirk (10) 19. Baby Driver (47) 20. Girls Trip (28) 21. It (3) 22. Annabelle: Creation (40) 23. Thor: Ragnarok (3) 24. Justice League (4) 25. Kingsman: The Golden Circle (71) 26. Coco (11)
"Locks" Wonder Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Great Chance Daddy's Home 2 Murder on the Orient Express Pitch Perfect 3 Jumanji
Possible Ferdinand The Greatest Showman
DH2 and Murder will probably be close to 90m by the end of next weekend but I still don't feel comfortable putting them as lock *shrug* if both make it we just need 1 more film to have more 100m grossers than last year.
Don't see any Oscar hopeful like La La Land passing 100m but it'd be a nice surprise.
|
Sun Dec 03, 2017 3:35 pm |
|
|
MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22733 Location: Melbourne Australia
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
So we are looking very good to beat 2016's 30 x 100m grossers.
We look to have 32 with the 'locks' and 'great chance' making it (I do think both DH2 and Orient will make it).
I'd also add Ferdinand + one or two others that break out or are January awards hits (either The Post, I Tonya, Greatest Showman).
So 33-35 would be pretty good. Yet the year will probably have the lowest ticket sales since 1992.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
|
Sun Dec 03, 2017 8:44 pm |
|
|
pookpooi
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Jan 25, 2017 11:21 am Posts: 516
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
Can we move both DH2 and MotOE to locks now?
|
Sun Dec 10, 2017 1:50 pm |
|
|
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
$100+ million movies of 2017 (days to $100m)
1. Split (19) 2. The Lego Batman Movie (11) 3. Fifty Shades Darker (16) 4. Logan (5) 5. Get Out (16) 6. Beauty and the Beast (2) 7. Kong: Skull Island (9) 8. The Boss Baby (14) 9. The Fate of the Furious (4) 10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2) 11. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (9) 12. Wonder Woman (3) 13. Cars 3 (11) 14. Transformers: The Last Knight (12) 15. Despicable Me 3 (6) 16. Spider-Man: Homecoming (3) 17. War for the Planet of the Apes (11) 18. Dunkirk (10) 19. Baby Driver (47) 20. Girls Trip (28) 21. It (3) 22. Annabelle: Creation (40) 23. Thor: Ragnarok (3) 24. Justice League (4) 25. Kingsman: The Golden Circle (71) 26. Coco (11) 27. Wonder (24)
"Locks" Daddy's Home 2 Murder on the Orient Express Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Great Chance Pitch Perfect 3 Jumanji
Possible Ferdinand The Greatest Showman
|
Sun Dec 10, 2017 2:29 pm |
|
|
DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14542 Location: Everywhere
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
Expected. These drops happened before TFA too. Too close now.
|
Sun Dec 10, 2017 8:30 pm |
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
Yep DH2 and MotoE are locked up now. DH2 in particular has Christmas behind it. MotoE should be hit less by SW8 IMO.
|
Sun Dec 10, 2017 10:19 pm |
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20418 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
MOTOE and DH2 both have incredible legs. Both will cross 100m pretty easily. My guess is 110m for MOTOE and 105m for DH2.
|
Sun Dec 10, 2017 11:23 pm |
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
I think with Christmas DH2 will eventually take over MotoE in total.
|
Sun Dec 10, 2017 11:34 pm |
|
|
tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am Posts: 2084
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
|
Mon Dec 11, 2017 5:52 am |
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
|
Re: $100+ million movies of 2017
It better cross $100m it was my pick in the yearly games.
|
Mon Dec 11, 2017 8:47 am |
|
|