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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20386 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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November 22-26 Predictions
Coco- 51/73 Roman J. Israel, Esq- 8/12 Coco will do a little less than Moana. I may be overestimating Denzel, but is 12m too big a goal?
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Fri Nov 17, 2017 5:20 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67067
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
I really hope Coco does not do well. It looks shit. I will predict a $50m five-day, and hope Pixar just churn out Cars 4, 5, and 6, and Monsters Daycare, Monsters Pension, and Monsters Afterlife instead.
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Fri Nov 17, 2017 9:07 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Yeah Coco really doesn't look good in terms of Pixar movies but the early WoM is pretty good so you never know.
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Fri Nov 17, 2017 11:48 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
It's hard to predict Coco. It's Pixar which seems to get people into seats, but everyone I talk to thinks it looks like a Book of Life rip-off and isn't very interested. Definitely don't see it doing close to as well as Moana next weekend. Especially not with heavy family competition from so many movies, including this weekend's Wonder.
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Sat Nov 18, 2017 1:19 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Yeah Wonder breakout is definitely not a good news for Coco. I do believe it won't open big. Moana did $82m and I think this will stall at $65m 5-day
$40m/55m
Most of the awards movies aren't doing big at BO and I don't think Roman J. Israel, Esq will do well enough.
$10m/$15m (and this is only because Denzel has a loyal fanbase that generally shows-up)
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Sat Nov 18, 2017 1:25 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
I think Roman will heavily disappoint. Reviews aren't great. Adults have better options (Lady Bird is expanding, Three Billboards and Last Flag Flying as well, and then there's still Wonder and Orient Express).
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Sat Nov 18, 2017 1:28 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20386 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
There hasn’t been a big kids movie in 5 months. And the reviews are much better than for The Good Dinosaur.
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Sat Nov 18, 2017 1:37 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
zwackerm wrote: There hasn’t been a big kids movie in 5 months. And the reviews are much better than for The Good Dinosaur. That's why it will do a bit better than The Good Dinosaur.
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Sat Nov 18, 2017 2:06 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18907 Location: San Diego
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Coco - 60 (5-day)
Justice League - 60.5% drop
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Sat Nov 18, 2017 7:30 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
I am actually interested how Wonder will hold next weekend now that most people expect it to have great legs. Given the history it should see an increase.
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Sat Nov 18, 2017 7:59 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18907 Location: San Diego
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Would be really something if Wonder could perform even half of what The Blind Side did.
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Sat Nov 18, 2017 8:06 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
COCO - 43.337 MILLION (3-Day)/61.37 MILLION (5-Day) ROMAN J. ISRAEL, ESQ. - 7.46 MILLION (3-Day)/9.49 MILLION (5-Day) THE MAN WHO INVENTED CHRISTMAS - 4.1 MILLION (3-Day)/5.4 MILLION (5-Day)
I don't know how many theaters The Man Who Invented Christmas is opening in but it seems like it's going semi wide as it's opening here and at quite a few other theaters I've noticed. I think it should do solid business but I'll adjust my prediction up or down depending on the theater count.
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Sun Nov 19, 2017 5:02 am |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
5-day Coco- 65 Roman J. Israel, Esq- 7.5
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Sun Nov 19, 2017 2:45 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Coco - $47.2 million ($68 million 5-day) Roman J. Israel, Esq. - $8.6 million ($10.5 million 5-day)
Lady Bird - $6k PTA in however many theaters it expands to
Justice League -55% Wonder +1% Thor: Ragnarok -21%
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Sun Nov 19, 2017 2:55 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Coco took a dip in our polling this weekend, likely due to the strength of Wonder. Thinking its OW will be impacted slightly because of it.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Sun Nov 19, 2017 4:18 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22705 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Coco looks quite unappealing. However, the dearth of animated fare this year will certainly bolster its OW.
The studios messed up this Thanksgiving by leaving it so empty.
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Sun Nov 19, 2017 7:51 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Coco - 44/65(5-Day) Roman J. Israel, Esq - 5
Justice League -55%
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Sun Nov 19, 2017 9:10 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Roman feels like it could be a rare dud for Denzel.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Mon Nov 20, 2017 8:03 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Coco will probably prevent Wonder from increasing over the 3-day frame but I'm sure rooting for it.
Although Roman Israel is technically rotten on RT, many of the negative reviews say it's worth watching. The limited PTA wasn't spectacular.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Mon Nov 20, 2017 1:28 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13041 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
THREE BILLBOARDS will expand into 400-450 theaters...
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Mon Nov 20, 2017 5:14 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Coco: $58M Justice League: $43M Wonder: $33M Roman J: $4.6M
All 3-day
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Tue Nov 21, 2017 1:42 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
1. JUSTICE LEAGUE - 44.1 MILLION (-53%) 2. COCO - 43.337 MILLION (3-Day)/61.373 MILLION (5-Day) 3. WONDER - 32.23 MILLION (+17%) 4. THOR: RAGNAROK - 17.335 MILLION (-20%) 5. DADDY'S HOME 2 - 14.58 MILLION (+1%) 6. MURDER ON THE ORIENT EXPRESS - 11.736 MILLION (-15%) 7. THE STAR - 8.164 MILLION (-16.8%) 8. ROMAN J. ISRAEL, ESQ. - 7.46 MILLION (3-Day - +1,391%)/9.493 MILLION (5-Day) 9. BAD MOMS CHRISTMAS - 7.14 MILLION (+2%) 10. LADY BIRD - 4.6 MILLION (3-Day - +83%)/[b]5.9 MILLION[/b] (5-Day) 11. THE MAN WHO INVENTED CHRISTMAS - 4.1 MILLION (3-Day)/[b]5.4 MILLION[/b] (5-Day) 12. THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI - 3.9 MILLION (3-Day - +25%)/4.769 MILLION (5-Day) 13. CALL ME BY YOUR NAME - $400,000 (New)
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Tue Nov 21, 2017 2:04 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67067
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
I don't think Call Me By Your Name will be in 13th place.
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Tue Nov 21, 2017 3:19 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Given the past drops for movies I do think JL will win 3-day weekend and will be second over 5-day to Coco.
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Tue Nov 21, 2017 3:26 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13041 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: November 22-26 Predictions
mark66 wrote: THREE BILLBOARDS will expand into 400-450 theaters... ...and LADY BIRD into 700-800 theaters...
_________________ Nothing Compares 2 U
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Tue Nov 21, 2017 12:25 pm |
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