KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - FINAL RANKING
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest
I know I am not eligible, but wanted to answer the questions anyway. Predict the Following Films' Total Gross ---------top half predicted a few days before deadline----------- American Made $64mA Bad Moms Christmas $83mBattle of the Sexes $34m (predicted today) Blade Runner 2049 $114mCall Me By Your Name $13mCoco $184mDaddy's Home 2 $88mThe Disaster Artist $11mDownsizing $48m (predicted today) Ferdinand $90mThe Foreigner $40mGeostorm $38mThe Greatest Showman $148mHappy Death Day $43mIt $84mJigsaw $76mJumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $123mJustice League $388mKingsman: The Golden Circle $145m--------------------- films below this line were predicted today unless stated--------------------- mother! $37mThe Mountain Between Us $38m (predicted a few days before deadline) Murder on the Orient Express $67mMy Little Pony $17mNinjago $111mPitch Perfect 3 $108mThe Shape of Water $18mStar Wars: The Last Jedi $478mSuburbicon $36mThor: Ragnorak $248mTyler Perry's Boo 2! A Madea Halloween $68mBackupsFlatliners $71mThe Snowman $68mPredict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Fall/Winter 2017#1: The Last Jedi #2: Justice League #3: Thor: Ragnarok #4: Coco #5: The Greatest Showman The 10 Box Office Questions#1: Which will gross more in total - Star Wars: The Last Jedi, double the total gross of Justice League, or triple the total gross of Thor: Ragnorak? #2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Ninjago or the combination of Coco and Ferdinand? #3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Blade Runner 2049, Geostorm, It, and Murder on the Orient Express? (based off previous predictions) #4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - A Bad Moms Christmas, Daddy's Home 2, Jigsaw, Kingsman: The Golden Circle, Pitch Perfect 3, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Thor: Ragnorak, or Tyler Perry's Boo 2: A Madea Halloween? #5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - A Bad Moms Christmas, Daddy's Home 2, Jigsaw, Kingsman: The Golden Circle, Pitch Perfect 3, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Thor: Ragnorak, or Tyler Perry's Boo 2: A Madea Halloween? #6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? The Greatest Showman#7: What movie will have lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Geostorm#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? 9#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? 3#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? BastardsHaven't actually watched any trailers besides the ones in MGKC's playlist, so just chose this. Anyway, see how I do, having been out of it for months now. Good luck to the actual competitors and thanks MGKC for running this game again.
_________________ Calls Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2 Lorax over Despicable Me Men in Black 3 Under 100m Madagascar 3 Under 100m Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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Thu Sep 14, 2017 4:41 am |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Woo! Besides The Greatest Showman, IT and Star Wars, my predictions seem in line with the average predictions of all the players.
I just think something feel good would do well at Christmas.
Haven't followed anything on IT before it blew up, so no idea it was so popular.
Forgot how much Star Wars grossed, lol. Thought it was $500m or something, or maybe that was Rogue One. Anyway, hopefully it plummets? Haha
_________________ Calls Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2 Lorax over Despicable Me Men in Black 3 Under 100m Madagascar 3 Under 100m Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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Thu Sep 14, 2017 4:47 am |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Yep - feel free to make a copy of my Google Doc and add yourself to the database tab, then you can keep track of how you would have done. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing
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Thu Sep 14, 2017 7:49 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
This is how you run a forum movie game. Props to you, MGKC.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Thu Sep 14, 2017 8:02 am |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Weekly Ranking for September 17Total Gross ProjectionsIt - $330 million mother! - $16 million Current Top 51. It - $218.7 million 2. mother! - $7.5 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? - Home Again (currently $17.1 million)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? #9: How many films will gross over $200 million? #10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? - Home Again (currently $17.1 million)
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Sun Sep 17, 2017 12:13 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
I'm glad nobody picked Three Billboards for #10 because I bet that takes it. Wish I would have.
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Sun Sep 17, 2017 5:00 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Magic Mike wrote: I'm glad nobody picked Three Billboards for #10 because I bet that takes it. Wish I would have. I think it will be a leggy hit. It has become a serious awards contender after all these glowing reviews and film fest attention. It has the right ingredients for a crowd-pleaser: family, crime, quirky comedy. $50m+ likely. I also think Stronger and Only the Brave are good for #10. Heroic, inspirational, feel-good, politically correct. Can't go wrong with them unless they are really lazy bad films.
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Sun Sep 17, 2017 9:12 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Eh. Three Billboards... doesn't seem huge to me, even if Frances McDormand wins Best Actress. It is a quirky, violent indie comedy. It will easily be bigger than In Bruges and Seven Psychopaths, but I don't see a total higher than 50 million, which would be terrific for it.
I believe question no. 10 will go to either The Post (Steven Spielberg, Tom Hanks, Meryl Streep--it will at least match Bridge of Spies' total) or the Christmas-themed animated film The Star.
Jonathan made an interesting choice with Roman J. Israel, Esq., the Denzel Washington legal drama from the director of Nightcrawler. Washington is a consistent draw, though this is more Fences than The Equalizer.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sun Sep 17, 2017 9:15 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Is Three Billboards a violent film, as in Coen brothers style? If yes, it is unlikely to be a crowd-pleaser. But $50m+ is not hard to achieve with those reviews.
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Sun Sep 17, 2017 9:21 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
I assume so based on McDonagh's prior films. A murder or two, 500 f-bombs, a lot of mordant wit.
Even if it does 60m, do you believe Spielberg's The Post will earn less?
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sun Sep 17, 2017 9:38 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
I think it will be a crowd-pleaser. It's getting a Best Picture nomination and McDormand will likely win Best Actress. I think it should do 70+, ala No Country For Old Men.
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Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:35 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
David wrote: Eh. Three Billboards... doesn't seem huge to me, even if Frances McDormand wins Best Actress. It is a quirky, violent indie comedy. It will easily be bigger than In Bruges and Seven Psychopaths, but I don't see a total higher than 50 million, which would be terrific for it.
I believe question no. 10 will go to either The Post (Steven Spielberg, Tom Hanks, Meryl Streep--it will at least match Bridge of Spies' total) or the Christmas-themed animated film The Star.
Those were the two I was thinking. I went with The Post but The Star could breakout. It won't help it that Coco premieres a week later though.
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Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:37 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
David wrote: I assume so based on McDonagh's prior films. A murder or two, 500 f-bombs, a lot of mordant wit.
Even if it does 60m, do you believe Spielberg's The Post will earn less? Just watched the red band trailer, very Coens-esque. If they play up the mother character arc, it still has a chance to surprise. I completely forgot about The Post. It should have enough prestige and buzz to do Bridge of Spies number. Given the dry subject, it needs really good reviews and relevant marketing to break out like Lincoln.
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Mon Sep 18, 2017 12:15 am |
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exxdee13
Hatchling
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2016 8:25 pm Posts: 11
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Booo! Missed out on mother! by 1M It's cursing me until the end. To me, The Post felt like Spotlight and Truth. I think audiences are going to be tired of journalism dramas. We'll see. I went with Wonder. It's based on a popular book, and looks like an dark horse awards contender. It could crossover, so that's what I went with
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Mon Sep 18, 2017 1:14 pm |
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Price
Gamaur's sex slave
Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2005 7:15 pm Posts: 8889 Location: Los Pollos Hermanos
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
I didn't choose THE POST because I didn't know it was THE PAPERS.
_________________
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Mon Sep 18, 2017 2:59 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Weekly Ranking for September 24Total Gross ProjectionsIt - $330 million Kingsman: The Golden Circle - $110 milion The LEGO Ninjago Movie - $60 million mother! - $16 million Current Top 51. It - $266.3 million 2. Kingsman: The Golden Circle - $39.0 million 3. The LEGO Ninjago Movie - $21.2 million 4. mother! - $13.4 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Ninjago or the combination of Coco and Ferdinand? - Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Ninjago (currently $21.2 million)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - A Bad Moms Christmas, Daddy's Home 2, Jigsaw, Kingsman: The Golden Circle, Pitch Perfect 3, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Thor: Ragnorak, or Tyler Perry's Boo 2: A Madea Halloween? - Kingsman: The Golden Circle (currently -69.6%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - A Bad Moms Christmas, Daddy's Home 2, Jigsaw, Kingsman: The Golden Circle, Pitch Perfect 3, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Thor: Ragnorak, or Tyler Perry's Boo 2: A Madea Halloween? - Kingsman: The Golden Circle (currently -69.6%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? - American Assassin (currently $26.2 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? - Home Again (-351 theaters)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? #9: How many films will gross over $200 million? #10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? - American Assassin (currently $26.2 million)
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Sun Sep 24, 2017 2:40 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Pathetic. Hope this picks up soon.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:03 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
I'm a contender now but pretty sure i'll tumble down the order quickly.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Mon Sep 25, 2017 1:14 am |
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scoobydelite
Child Actor
Joined: Sun Apr 13, 2014 9:35 pm Posts: 33
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Mother! will surely be a serious contender for question #7 (no one picked it).
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Mon Sep 25, 2017 6:54 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
scoobydelite wrote: Mother! will surely be a serious contender for question #7 (no one picked it). Definitely won't be mother! now. It's not losing enough theaters for that. Friend Request could take it though. We'll see next weekend.
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Thu Sep 28, 2017 6:38 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Friend Request is losing 492 this weekend. Otherwise it probably would be a slam dunk for question 7.
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Thu Sep 28, 2017 7:08 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
If it's losing that many this weekend imagine how many it will lose next weekend. A lot of theaters have to keep it for two weeks. They'll dump it as soon as they can. Mine cut it down to one showtime starting tomorrow.
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Thu Sep 28, 2017 7:14 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Flatliners looks to be a solid contender for #7.
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Fri Sep 29, 2017 11:34 am |
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scoobydelite
Child Actor
Joined: Sun Apr 13, 2014 9:35 pm Posts: 33
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
You guys beat me to the punch. Was going to comment Friend Request has to be a serious contender also (2 million on 2,573 screens on opening weekend is really pathetic). I was going to check out mother! this weekend and sadly its already been pulled from all my area theaters, might check out Wind River instead.
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Fri Sep 29, 2017 7:28 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Weekly Ranking for October 1Total Gross ProjectionsAmerican Made - $49 million Battle of the Sexes - $12 million It - $330 million Kingsman: The Golden Circle - $100 milion The LEGO Ninjago Movie - $60 million mother! - $18.5 million Current Top 51. It - $291.2 million 2. Kingsman: The Golden Circle - $66.7 million 3. The LEGO Ninjago Movie - $35.6 million 4. American Made - $17.0 million 5. mother! - $16.3 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Ninjago or the combination of Coco and Ferdinand? - Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Ninjago (currently $35.6 million)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - A Bad Moms Christmas, Daddy's Home 2, Jigsaw, Kingsman: The Golden Circle, Pitch Perfect 3, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Thor: Ragnorak, or Tyler Perry's Boo 2: A Madea Halloween? - Kingsman: The Golden Circle (currently -48.0%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - A Bad Moms Christmas, Daddy's Home 2, Jigsaw, Kingsman: The Golden Circle, Pitch Perfect 3, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Thor: Ragnorak, or Tyler Perry's Boo 2: A Madea Halloween? - Kingsman: The Golden Circle (currently -48.0%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? - The LEGO Ninjago Movie (currently $35.6 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? #8: How many films will gross over $100 million? #9: How many films will gross over $200 million? #10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? - American Assassin (currently $31.9 million)
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Sun Oct 01, 2017 4:35 pm |
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