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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
So what are our benchmarks for success/failure? Mine are: Success - $90+ mil OW, $240+ mil Total, 60+% RT Score Failure - <$65 mil OW, <$200 mil Total, <50% RT Score
Expect - $115 mil OW, $310 mil Total, 65% RT Score
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Wed May 24, 2017 2:38 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
Success OW - anything above 100m Success RT - anything above 60% (huge compared to BvS & SS) Success Domestic total - anything above 250m
Anything less is a failure for me
I expect 120m OW, 75% RT, 330m domestic
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Wed May 24, 2017 3:39 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
Having seen it, I would not expect better than 70% RT, and 65% may be realistic. It's an overall enjoyable movie, but there's some big issues that I suspect will push plenty of critics into that "rotten" territory.
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Thu May 25, 2017 5:04 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18879 Location: San Diego
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
Opening - below 69 would be bad 70-90 - okay 91-110 - decent/good 111-125 - great 125+ - terrific
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Thu May 25, 2017 5:53 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18879 Location: San Diego
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
Looks like T-Mobile is having a promotion for this, $4 tickets for the weekend. For Suicide Squad they did free tickets for Friday only.
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Fri May 26, 2017 2:40 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
That'll help.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Fri May 26, 2017 3:58 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21641 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
If this can manage CA1 numbers I'd be satisfied. Though it should do better OS
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Fri May 26, 2017 9:13 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
It would be really great to have WW blow the doors off $100m+ next weekend. The social media footprint is very strong.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri May 26, 2017 1:17 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
I'm a little concerned with the Thursday preview being slightly muted, because of the NBA Finals Game 1. But I think Sunday shouldn't be too affected since Game 2 isn't until 5pm.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri May 26, 2017 1:28 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25020 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
Success - 75m+ | 180m+
Failure - 70m or less | 160m or less
Expect - 150m+ | 380m+
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri May 26, 2017 3:00 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
BoxOffice.com just updated their prediction to $111 mil OW.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri May 26, 2017 3:47 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
I think a major thing that this has going for it is that it seems like it's being looked at like more than a movie. Like it's a moment. Did everyone see the turnout for the Women's March? Now if they can channel that energy to the film... watch out.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri May 26, 2017 5:26 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
Chippy wrote: I think a major thing that this has going for it is that it seems like it's being looked at like more than a movie. Like it's a moment. Did everyone see the turnout for the Women's March? Now if they can channel that energy to the film... watch out. They make films starring women all the time. Even action films. Even superhero films, however crappy Supergirl, Catwoman and Elektra were.
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Fri May 26, 2017 6:28 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri May 26, 2017 7:01 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
Chippy wrote: I think a major thing that this has going for it is that it seems like it's being looked at like more than a movie. Like it's a moment. lmao
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Fri May 26, 2017 9:42 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
Its like a moment of inertia?
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Sat May 27, 2017 4:51 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
Reviews are pretty fantastic so far: 97% on RT with 34 reviews and 79 on MC with 16 reviews.
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Tue May 30, 2017 12:55 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
Wasn't this reception obvious? Oppose this film and you're immediately a male chauvinist. It is the same reason that Ghostbusters was certified fresh at 73%. They're on a different scale. The feminist film floor is 60%. I don't say they would give a positive grade to a completely crap film, but if there's any pro-female film that is on the fence or just average, I believe the fact that it is a feminist film will tip it over into positive for fear of accusatory remarks. I suspect the critics had a fine time at the cinema, but 97% makes it seem like another Dark Knight.
I bet Theron is hoping and praying that the feminist goodwill carries on long enough to help her shit-fest, Atomic Blonde.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Tue May 30, 2017 1:13 am |
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the lesser evil
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Aug 20, 2009 5:13 am Posts: 1476 Location: The Netherlands
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
Being part of the DCEU probably also helps, like the critic's equivalent of Stockholm Syndrome. Or having been fed shit sandwiches for over a year, then being given just a plain piece of bread and feeling like it's the best thing ever.
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Tue May 30, 2017 1:22 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
OK, everything is going this movie's way. The marketing has been great and constant for a while now, there have only been two legit blockbusters in the last two months (the last of which is entering weekend #5), reviews are great and will keep buzz strong and indicates that it should be a crowd-pleaser, and it just feels like a Movie of the Moment.
That's it, this is winning the summer.
Friday: $63.1 million ($19.2 million previews) Saturday: $48 million Sunday: $33.5 million
Opening Weekend: $144.6 million Domestic Total: $420.2 million (2.91) Worldwide Total: $901 million
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Tue May 30, 2017 1:48 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
DCEU has enormous characters that everyone knows. It would be difficult to not produce three straight $325m+ films ... which has been proven. They've made crap films yet they've still managed that figure. The real test will be if Aquaman can also make $325m or a solo Cyborg film. Virtually impossible. Yet in Marvel town....they've made their second-string characters into tentpole films making $300m+.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Tue May 30, 2017 3:02 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18879 Location: San Diego
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
I could see Justice League and Wonder Woman finishing very close to each other the same way BvS and Suicide Squad did last year.
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Tue May 30, 2017 3:17 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
Biggestgeekever wrote: Reviews are pretty fantastic so far: 97% on RT with 34 reviews and 79 on MC with 16 reviews. Rotten Tomatoes (as of 2am Tuesday) 43 fresh 2 rotten Yay!
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Tue May 30, 2017 3:31 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
Algren wrote: DCEU has enormous characters that everyone knows. It would be difficult to not produce three straight $325m+ films ... which has been proven. They've made crap films yet they've still managed that figure. The real test will be if Aquaman can also make $325m or a solo Cyborg film. Virtually impossible. Yet in Marvel town....they've made their second-string characters into tentpole films making $300m+. Aquaman will do great if he gets great reception in JL(his trailer reception has been fantastic). Plus James Wan will make a crowd pleaser. I dont see 300m but 250m can happen for sure. Cyborg will probably not have a solo flick. I could see him part of a flash movie(didn't snyder allude to that) but as a solo flick its not feasible. Will bomb big time. Green Lantern Corps with a good director also has tremendous potential. I dont have a great feeling about shazam(even with Rock) and MOS2 will drop from previous film.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Tue May 30, 2017 3:57 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: Wonder Woman predictions
I had thought 120/305 before RT reviews came in and now I am upping it to 130/400m.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Tue May 30, 2017 4:02 am |
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