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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
The last few Pirates didn't have good reviews so I don't think the opening will drastically change for this like $150m to $100m. Its doing sub-$100m and that should still happen I see only about $5m difference in OW.
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Tue May 23, 2017 1:51 am |
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WonderingWoman
Waitress in LA
Joined: Fri May 19, 2017 8:40 am Posts: 23
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Baywatch needed decent reviews to succeed and Pirates needed decent reviews to not have a big drop from the last film.
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Tue May 23, 2017 9:08 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Baywatch reviews are toxic. Ouch.
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Tue May 23, 2017 11:56 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23790 Location: Classified
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Quite surprising really. Central Intelligence put up a 69% on RT and The Rock is usually charming enough to make a bad movie work.
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Tue May 23, 2017 12:05 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote: Baywatch reviews are toxic. Ouch. Its not really that surprising. The movie looks crap and the story line doesn't seem to do justice to the series. Was Baywatch a comedy in the first place or did the audience/critics expect that from a Baywatch movie?
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Tue May 23, 2017 1:23 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
May was a pretty crappy month overall in terms of quality and box-office IMO and I have a feeling it's going to end on such a lackluster note. I'm hoping for the best come June/July, but I can't help but get flashbacks of last year or Summer 2014 which were both equally disappointing. It might be true that studios putting out too many blockbusters in the first couple of months of the year is really starting to drain the potential of summer movies.
Last edited by Dil on Tue May 23, 2017 3:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Tue May 23, 2017 3:08 pm |
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lesterg
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2005 11:40 am Posts: 1339
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
All I care about this weekend is seeing that Alien Covenant drop.
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Tue May 23, 2017 3:18 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Dil wrote: May was a pretty crappy month overall in terms of quality and box-office IMO and I have a feeling it's going to end on such a lackluster note. I'm hoping for the best come June/July, but I can't help but get flashbacks of last year or Summer 2014 which were both equally disappointing. It might be true that studios putting out too many blockbusters in the first couple of months of the year is really starting to drain the potential of summer movies. Exactly and specially this year where March felt like bigger month than any of the Summer months in terms of high potential movies one of which is most likely going to do more than any summer movie.
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Tue May 23, 2017 4:24 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
There are BOGO deals for Baywatch this weekend from what I hear. Such does not inspire confidence.
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Wed May 24, 2017 12:12 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Baywatch has previews tonight and has yet to appear on MT. Not a good sign.
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Wed May 24, 2017 12:20 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Baywatch screenings start in 7 minutes, still not on MT. Wonder if previews will even hit $1m.
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Wed May 24, 2017 6:54 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote: Baywatch screenings start in 7 minutes, still not on MT. Wonder if previews will even hit $1m. Anecdotal reports of strong walk-ups in many areas. Not on MT is concerning, though. Who knows how it will play out.
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Wed May 24, 2017 7:11 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
So what do we expect the opening day to be for Baywatch and Pirates?
I'm thinking Baywatch does 6m Thursday and 10m Friday. Pirates probably around 20-22m, with around 4m previews.
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Wed May 24, 2017 7:27 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3130
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Baywatch - $36.5m Pirates - $79/80m
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Wed May 24, 2017 7:56 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: May 25-29 Predictions
I think the previews for Baywatch will be strong but they won't translate to great weekend. It will be frontloaded as hell. Reminds me of Entourage movie where the Tuesday previews were bigger than Wednesday numbers.
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Thu May 25, 2017 5:58 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: May 25-29 Predictions
I know they are $16 each, but selling only 15 tickets for tonight's RPX Pirates preview is pretty bad. We'll see if walkups are heavy.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Thu May 25, 2017 1:09 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
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Re: May 25-29 Predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote: I think the previews for Baywatch will be strong but they won't translate to great weekend. It will be frontloaded as hell. Reminds me of Entourage movie where the Tuesday previews were bigger than Wednesday numbers. So.... 2m opening day for Baywatch?
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Thu May 25, 2017 4:02 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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Re: May 25-29 Predictions
Fandango has been silent on Pirates 5, suggesting it is failing to outsell On Stranger Tides despite releasing six years later. Not good.
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Thu May 25, 2017 4:04 pm |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm Posts: 7172 Location: Wisconsin
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Re: May 25-29 Predictions
I wonder, I think it might have been a good idea to release Captain Underpants this weekend. Boss Baby and Beauty and the Beast are both 2 months+ old, and Diary of a Wimpy Kid bombed. There is almost nothing just for families.
2013 - Epic 42.8M 4 day OW 2011 - Kung Fu Panda 2 60.9M 4 day OW 2005 - Madagascar 61M 4 day OW
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Thu May 25, 2017 4:41 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
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Re: May 25-29 Predictions
Idk if it's been heavily advertised on TV but the marketing push for Captain Underpants seems muted. Plus the first trailer came out pretty late.
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Thu May 25, 2017 4:47 pm |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm Posts: 7172 Location: Wisconsin
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Re: May 25-29 Predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote: Idk if it's been heavily advertised on TV but the marketing push for Captain Underpants seems muted. Plus the first trailer came out pretty late. It just seems a waste not to have a bigger family option on a holiday weekend.
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Thu May 25, 2017 4:49 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
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Re: May 25-29 Predictions
I think Pirates is supposed to be the "family" flick for the weekend.
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Thu May 25, 2017 5:00 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: May 25-29 Predictions
I honestly have no idea what either film is going to do this weekend.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Thu May 25, 2017 5:08 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: May 25-29 Predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote: Jack Sparrow wrote: I think the previews for Baywatch will be strong but they won't translate to great weekend. It will be frontloaded as hell. Reminds me of Entourage movie where the Tuesday previews were bigger than Wednesday numbers. So.... 2m opening day for Baywatch? I guess but I wonder why it wasn't reported for Wednesday numbers? Were those special preview screenings for Baywatch on Tuesday?
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Thu May 25, 2017 9:49 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: May 25-29 Predictions
Chippy wrote: I honestly have no idea what either film is going to do this weekend. Finally admitted he knows fuck-all.
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Thu May 25, 2017 10:06 pm |
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