if you thought BKB had big predicts here is one from bom:
(guys first post apprently)

Three observations:

1. He has never predicted a single movie in his life. In fact, he has never looked at the box-office ever.

2. He worships Yoda, believes in the force and went to the prom as Darth Vader.

3. He wants to marry either Chewbacca or Leia.

LOL
any one notice his user name?

is it even possible for Star Wars to do that much business?

I mean, Lucas is all about releasing the film only to movie houses which can support great sound, etc. That automatically undercuts it a little.

At this point (this year), a sum like this one is virtually impossible for any movie.

I am willing to bet all money I have that no movie will make that much either this year or next year or the year after that.

Between this guys 1.8b ww, and gastu 300 ww(!!) there are some very diverse predicts over there!

Oh boy, so let's like, em, all go and check it out! Let's leave this site altogether, shall we?


:razz: :wink:

And the guy who predicted that amount is a total idiot. No offense.

yeah sure! jk lol!

yep this guy does have a dumb predict!

heres another thing he put for a WOTW vs. Episode III thread:
Any of these movie will be able to break any Record? Revenge of the Sith will break all records. ALL records that are good.

No, it's not possible


It will have tremendous competition piling up week after week after week for over three months, and no rest period like Fall (ET) or Jan/Feb Winter (Titanic). It will not be able to remain in over a thousand or two thousand theatres for a long time either.


Oh, and SW was never so popular overseas as to warrant a $1B intl. cume.

ROTK is the only other film to do that.

How dare you Impact. Talk about someone behind their back. How low can you get????

Don't worry, I actully replied already to him on BOM.

Well, who would have predicted Titanic? It's extremely unlikely, but there is always a remote chance that some film will come along, shock us all, and have the amazing legs need to pull in those numbers.

No, it's not. It made $741m, and that's that. Only Titanic has raced past $1B overseas.


Oh, and I replied to your thread over at BOM.

Oh okay, well then its the only other film world wide then.

Hey DP, nice talking to you again :wink:


I think it's going to be a drama with action (like Titanic) that will pull off those numbers during the summer. Slow and steady does it. Well, imagine a film opening in June, showing amazing legs in July/August, so theatre ownders decide to keep it, and it makes it into Fall. Since there's less competition then, it will retain a consistent run for a few more months. Then, if its really good, the Awards season will be a huge boost. Imagine it then going from Oct to February, and including the lucrative Thanksgiving and Christmas periods. If its does well at the Oscars, that's another month of business, and the DVD can be released in May/June.

That'd be one hell of a run, but it's possible. I mean, an Oscar-worthy The Notebook could pull it off.

Didn't Titanic hit 2BILLION WORLDWIDE?

Well, I mean the fact aside that no first release has come closer than within $160 milion to Titanic yet, we are not talking $600 milion here, but $830 million. I mean a second Titanic within the next three years is very unlikely, but a movie to outgross Titanic by over $200 million is impossible.

Adjusted, it's at $2.5-2.7B by now.

But unadjusted, it's $1.845B

Nice talking to you too. :wink:

Yeah, it would have to have a run along those lines. Although, I think a December release like Titanic's would be most likely. The holidays are the thing to get it off to a huge start even if it doesn't have ahuge opening. The date would also insure that it would maximize the benefit from the Oscars, and the slow months of Jan-April would allow it to keep its theaters, just as with Titanic.

Oh, if I had the choice between summer or winter, I'd pick winter for sure.


The Oscar season, however, has been shortened by a month, which is considerable. The Oscars themselves don't have a huge effect. The publicity that comes with it, however, is a good $50m-$100m worth of free advertising. That's quite a lot. The Oscars will give any film thousands of headlines for at least a month across the globe and the US.


If I had to pick any trajectory, I would start with the first weekend of November. That will give it Thanksgiving weekend to compensate for poor weekdays, and the Christmas holidays to make up for the inevitable big post-Thanksgiving drop. It can then bask in the glory of the Awards shows for 2 months, and wind down steadily.

Adjusted, Titanic is nearly there. It's possible IMO since, as close as it came, Titanic didn't have a perfect run. Well, no film has a perfect run; you can't have absolutely everything go right. There is room for improvement, even if not much. But again, it's extremely unlikely. :wink:

I think the affect of the oscars can depend on the film. For Titanic, I think it produced at least 100m extra, possibly 150m+. If the film already has the widespread appeal to be a mega-blockbuster, more people will likely be pulled into theaters by those headlines.

Finally, realistic prediction.

Anyone who calls The Phantom Menace a masterpiece has serious issues, such as a strange sexual attraction to moronic talking lizards, or maybe they've just found the perfect relief for a case of masochism:



"It's prison-tested."TM