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 Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous 
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Superman: The Movie
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Opening: $13.7
BO Total: $49.4

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Tue Mar 22, 2005 7:24 pm
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These predictions are all horrifically low - right now i see the minium opening frame being $25m

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Tue Mar 22, 2005 7:41 pm
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Teenage Dream
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OPENING WEEKEND
neostorm - $28.0m/$36.0m
FILMO - $27.5m
PinkPanther - $25.0m (4-day)
thompsoncory - $22.5m
Vovanik - $21.5m
mansonmyers - $21.0m
matatonio - $20.2m/$25.6m
Zingaling - $20.2m/$25.2m
hans - $20.5m
jb007 - $19.0m
RogueCommander - $18.8m/$26.3m
Mr. X - $18.3m/$25.2m
OSHO - $18.0m
MG Casey - $17.0m/$20.4m
DP07 - $16.0m/$23.0m
want2write - $16.0m/$21.0m
MovieDude - $14.0m
jmart007 - $13.7m
Algren - $12.0m

TOTAL GROSS
neostorm - $89.0m
MG Casey - $85.0m
FILMO - $82.0m
hans - $71.0m
matatonio - $70.0m
Zingaling - $69.6m
PinkPanther - $68.0m
Mr. X - $65.4m
jb007 - $65.0m
RogueCommander - $65.0m
want2write - $63.0m
mansonmyers - $60.0m
OSHO - $52.0m
jmart007 - $49.4m
DP07 - $44.0m
MovieDude - $40.0m
Algren - $25.0m


Tue Mar 22, 2005 7:59 pm
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17.5 - 3 day

57 total

looks horrible :razz:


Tue Mar 22, 2005 8:52 pm
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Its funny when it comes to female films on KJ and most box office sites people lowball so badly; even if this movie does horribly im making a point - we arent the target demographic for female films but it dosent mean because we think it looks iffy that women will

I think MC2 will do very well at the box office.

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Tue Mar 22, 2005 10:02 pm
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Extraordinary

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Animosity Reigns wrote:
17.5 - 3 day

57 total

looks horrible :razz:


And judging by RT (0% right now), it's very much horrible, but it didn't prevent The Stepford Wives from opening over $20M. I'm still undecided, but the female demographic has been under-served so far this year, so 20M 3-day is certainly achievable.

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Wed Mar 23, 2005 2:44 pm
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I think it's possible. Terrible reviews don't really mean too much for it's target audience (teen girls), but it could effect the older women audience, who most likely read reviews. But, like xiayun said, that didn't stop The Stepford Wives (though, that was in the summer). Miss. Congeniality 2's theater count is a big saving point, which makes me think that it'll achieve that $20M.


Wed Mar 23, 2005 2:50 pm
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Stepford Wives had far more going for it then Miss Congeniality 2 though. For one, Congeniality has far more competition. Stepford Wives was the only movie that appealed to women in the market, especially with Raising Helen being lost in the shuffle. It opened in the summer and the huge cast and arguments gave it tons of free publicity. And that had 25% on RT, something I don't expect Congeniality to come near to (my older brother said it was worse then The Whole Ten Yards... ouch).


Wed Mar 23, 2005 3:28 pm
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Teenage Dream
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Miss Congeniality 2 opens on 3,183 theaters tomorrow.


Wed Mar 23, 2005 5:05 pm
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Extraordinary
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I hope this movie bombs, but I know it'll atleast do decent.

Opening - 22mil
Final - 62mil

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Wed Mar 23, 2005 5:12 pm
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Sbil

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MovieDude wrote:
Stepford Wives had far more going for it then Miss Congeniality 2 though. For one, Congeniality has far more competition. Stepford Wives was the only movie that appealed to women in the market, especially with Raising Helen being lost in the shuffle. It opened in the summer and the huge cast and arguments gave it tons of free publicity. And that had 25% on RT, something I don't expect Congeniality to come near to (my older brother said it was worse then The Whole Ten Yards... ouch).


I'm not sure I think that argument makes a whole lot of sense. For one thing, how exactly did The Stepford Wives have more going for it? For one thing, it was plagued by production problems and the pre-release buzz was scathing. Miss Congeniality is the sequel to a movie that is beloved by a good number of people. Also, what is Miss Congeniality's competition, other than Guess Who (which, I would figure, will draw slightly more males than females)? Are you talking about Ice Princess or something? Because that will gross something like $4M this weekend and be a total non-factor.


Wed Mar 23, 2005 8:21 pm
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I really think that alot of testosterone is creating some bad predictions here this weekend; i know for a fact that every single girl in my network of social contact would see MC2 over GW? The latter seems to be getting really over-predicted and the former, severely under.

GW has early critical thumbs up from...all the critics who have proved themselves to have no sense of humour at all; and i think its RT rating will slide into Rotten as the reviews role in; with MC2 that was already a given.

http://naturalflux7.com/forums/showthread.php?t=1623
Put me down for $27.4m for the 3-day thanks

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Wed Mar 23, 2005 8:29 pm
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I'll get my prediction in before it opens tomorrow. (I think it's opening tomorrow, right?)


Wed Mar 23, 2005 8:42 pm
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Yeah, MC2:A&F's reviews in the UK suck too.

Clyde one gave it 1/5....and radio 1 gave it 2/5. Paul Ross gave it 2/5.

But yeah, it's a given. It looks bloody hilarious, and people loved the first here. Everyone seems to want to see it in the UK.


Wed Mar 23, 2005 8:42 pm
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mansonmyers wrote:
Yeah, MC2:A&F's reviews in the UK suck too.

Clyde one gave it 1/5....and radio 1 gave it 2/5. Paul Ross gave it 2/5.

But yeah, it's a given. It looks bloody hilarious, and people loved the first here. Everyone seems to want to see it in the UK.


Critics only find "grown up, sophistocated" comedy funny; the kind thats actually not funny at all.
Theyve got something to prove...

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Wed Mar 23, 2005 8:44 pm
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Extraordinary

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There is no reason why we can't have both do well this weekend, especially with the tracking data looking promising for both. Looking at people's top 10 totals at BOF, and all of them are below $100M, which is quite low considering the top 12 movies grossed $105,343,897 last weekend. If you check the historical trend for March, the total gross for top 12 movies stay relatively flat from one weekend to the next, so the opportunity is very much there to have the two new openers gross $50M together.

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Wed Mar 23, 2005 8:47 pm
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$26.1 (Three-Day) $30.5 (Four-Day) / $80.6 Total

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Wed Mar 23, 2005 8:54 pm
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xiayun wrote:
There is no reason why we can't have both do well this weekend, especially with the tracking data looking promising for both. Looking at people's top 10 totals at BOF, and all of them are below $100M, which is quite low considering the top 12 movies grossed $105,343,897 last weekend. If you check the historical trend for March, the total gross for top 12 movies stay relatively flat from one weekend to the next, so the opportunity is very much there to have the two new openers gross $50M together.


You really pay atention to details =D>

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Wed Mar 23, 2005 9:08 pm
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College Boy Z

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I'm changing my predictions slightly due to the theater count.

Opening: $22.2 million (3-day)
Total Gross: $72.1 million


Wed Mar 23, 2005 9:10 pm
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I've never seen the first one, so I actually don't know what expectations it's competing against. It's a comeback of sorts for Sandra, who has been missing for a bit in these wide releases. That will probably help the opening. The first movie was a big success, so that can only help the opening. It looks stupid, so that can only hurt.

*ducks*

It's opening in lots of theaters, so that helps. It opens against another movie that will steal some of it's audience. It will benefit from The Ring 2 disappointing audiences , as they seek something to cheer them up. The sequel aspect could kill enthusiasm since the latest sequel just sucked.

This is Sandra's biggest opening number of theaters, and her previous top opening weekend gross is $16,167,412.

From the stuff I've gathered, I see a pretty nice opening , but nothing tremendous. Sequels to popular movies haven't exactly been setting records. They've actually been coming up short, as audiences might be getting jaded from dealing with one bad sequel after another.

It will come in around 20 million for it's opening, and end around 65 million.


Wed Mar 23, 2005 10:02 pm
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Sbil

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Maverikk wrote:
I've never seen the first one, so I actually don't know what expectations it's competing against. It's a comeback of sorts for Sandra, who has been missing for a bit in these wide releases. That will probably help the opening. The first movie was a big success, so that can only help the opening. It looks stupid, so that can only hurt.

*ducks*

It's opening in lots of theaters, so that helps. It opens against another movie that will steal some of it's audience. It will benefit from The Ring 2 disappointing audiences , as they seek something to cheer them up. The sequel aspect could kill enthusiasm since the latest sequel just sucked.

This is Sandra's biggest opening number of theaters, and her previous top opening weekend gross is $16,167,412.

From the stuff I've gathered, I see a pretty nice opening , but nothing tremendous. Sequels to popular movies haven't exactly been setting records. They've actually been coming up short, as audiences might be getting jaded from dealing with one bad sequel after another.

It will come in around 20 million for it's opening, and end around 65 million.


Rent it, or face the inevitable wrath.


Wed Mar 23, 2005 10:08 pm
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Libs wrote:
Rent it, or face the inevitable wrath.


:lol:

I promise that I will do that this weekend and write a full review.


Wed Mar 23, 2005 10:12 pm
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College Boy Z

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The first one was actually pretty good. It came as a big surprise to me. Hell, even my dad (very anti-chick flick) liked it.


Wed Mar 23, 2005 10:13 pm
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theres my final prediction.......stupid movie....

$21.5M/$26.1M

same final gross


Wed Mar 23, 2005 10:16 pm
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Sbil

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Zingaling wrote:
The first one was actually pretty good. It came as a big surprise to me. Hell, even my dad (very anti-chick flick) liked it.


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Cheryl "Rhode Island": That's a tough one. I would have to say April 25th. Because it's not too hot, not too cold, and all you need is a light jacket.

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Wed Mar 23, 2005 10:18 pm
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