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 scores w/ estimates 
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:47 pm
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Post scores w/ estimates
Should be rather interesting... :-k

http://www.boxofficefactor.com/calculate/Calculation.htm

Projections should change when Mojo has #s up, if that ever happens... :roll:


Last edited by Ghostooze on Sun Feb 27, 2005 2:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Feb 26, 2005 1:33 pm
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Cream of the Crop

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Well, Son of the Mask is missing and its better to wait for the Friday numbers of BOM - it could change everything dramatically! :???:


Sat Feb 26, 2005 1:35 pm
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Cursed - 0.00% ( 22.4 / 10.2 )
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - 36.14% ( 7.3 / 20.2 )
Man of the House - 64.21% ( 6.1 / 9.5 )
Hitch - 95.26% ( 22.1 / 21.1 )
Constantine - 78.81% ( 14.3 / 11.8 )
Because of Winn-Dixie - 95.59% ( 7.1 / 6.8 )
Son of the Mask - 73.68% ( 4.8 / 3.8 )
Million Dollar Baby - 79.75% ( 6.3 / 7.9 )
Are We There Yet? - 81.25% ( 5.7 / 4.8 )
Boogeyman - 95.45% ( 2.1 / 2.2 )
The Aviator - 90.00% ( 3.6 / 4.0 )
Sideways - 79.49% ( 3.1 / 3.9 )

Score: 72.470%

I am sure every single person beat me.

The Derby Average Score: 75.09%


Sat Feb 26, 2005 1:41 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Hitch - (20.4 / 21) -- Accuracy: 97.14%
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (5.9 / 19.6) -- Accuracy: 30.10%
Constantine - (14.3 / 12.5) -- Accuracy: 85.60%
Cursed - (18.2 / 10) -- Accuracy: 18.00%
Man of the House - (8.4 / 9) -- Accuracy: 93.33%
Million Dollar Baby - (5.8 / 8.1) -- Accuracy: 71.60%
Because of Winn-Dixie - (6.6 / 6.9) -- Accuracy: 95.65%
Are We There Yet? - (4.4 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 95.24%
The Aviator - (3.6 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 85.71%
Son of the Mask - (4.1 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 92.11%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 76.45%

New Release: 47.15%
Still in Theater: 89.01%


Sat Feb 26, 2005 1:54 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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my new movie % is 30.5% :razz:

at least my still in theatre is 89.6% :razz:


Sat Feb 26, 2005 1:56 pm
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81.85%


Last edited by Vovanik on Sun Feb 27, 2005 5:32 am, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Feb 26, 2005 2:05 pm
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Hitch - (20 / 20.5) -- Accuracy: 97.56%
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (7.5 / 19.6) -- Accuracy: 38.27%
Constantine - (16 / 12.2) -- Accuracy: 68.85%
Cursed - (18 / 10.1) -- Accuracy: 21.78%
Man of the House - (8 / 9) -- Accuracy: 88.89%
Million Dollar Baby - (6 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 77.92%
Because of Winn-Dixie - (7 / 7) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Are We There Yet? - (4.5 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
The Aviator - (3.2 / 4) -- Accuracy: 80.00%
Son of the Mask - (4 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 94.74%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 76.80%

New Release: 49.65%
Still in Theater: 88.44%

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 2:49 pm
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Extraordinary

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Son of the Mask probably won't gross 3.8M since at best it had $0.9M on Friday, although it should have an over 4 multiplier.

I shouldn't have lowered my predictions for the oscar movies. ](*,)

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 2:52 pm
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Teh Mexican
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Hitch - (19.8 / 20.5) -- Accuracy: 96.59%
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (4 / 19.6) -- Accuracy: 20.41%
Constantine - (14.2 / 12.2) -- Accuracy: 83.61%
Cursed - (20.8 / 10.1) -- Accuracy: 0.00%
Man of the House - (7.2 / 9) -- Accuracy: 80.00%
Million Dollar Baby - (6.1 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 79.22%
Because of Winn-Dixie - (6.3 / 7) -- Accuracy: 90.00%
Are We There Yet? - (4.8 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 93.33%
The Aviator - (3.8 / 4) -- Accuracy: 95.00%
Son of the Mask - (4.1 / 3) -- Accuracy: 63.33%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 70.15%

New Release: 33.47%
Still in Theater: 85.87%
:mad:


Sat Feb 26, 2005 2:54 pm
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Cream of the Crop

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xiayun wrote:
Son of the Mask probably won't gross 3.8M since at best it had $0.9M on Friday, although it should have an over 4 multiplier.

I shouldn't have lowered my predictions for the oscar movies. ](*,)


Yep, you're right - I just changed my prediction from 3.8m to 3.0m (which is still possible)... :wink:


Sat Feb 26, 2005 2:55 pm
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Hitch - (19 / 19.5) -- Accuracy: 97.44%
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (3 / 19.1) -- Accuracy: 15.71%
Constantine - (15.5 / 11.8) -- Accuracy: 68.64%
Cursed - (13.4 / 10) -- Accuracy: 66.00%
Man of the House - (6.8 / 8.6) -- Accuracy: 79.07%
Because of Winn-Dixie - (6.5 / 7.5) -- Accuracy: 86.67%
Million Dollar Baby - (5.9 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 83.10%
Are We There Yet? - (4.4 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 97.78%
The Aviator - (3.5 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 83.33%
Son of the Mask - (3.7 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 91.18%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 76.89%

New Release: 53.59%
Still in Theater: 86.88%

Around 78% with the 12 movies.

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 3:32 pm
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King Albert!
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With these projection for the top ten movies, my score would be an 80.98%. I think it will be higher once the real numbers come in for Son of the Mask, Sideways, and Boogeyman.

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 3:50 pm
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I cant get my score on box office factor. although i did predict.

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 5:17 pm
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well heres mine
Rank Film Predicted Estimate Est. Accuracy
1 Hitch 21.2 19.5 91.28%
2 Diary of a Mad Black Woman 6 19.1 31.41%
3 Constantine 12.9 11.8 90.68%
4 Cursed 16 10 40.00%
5 Man of the House 8 8.6 93.02%
6 Because of Winn-Dixie 7.8 7.5 96.00%
7 Million Dollar Baby 5.9 7.1 83.10%
8 Are We There Yet? 4.8 4.5 93.33%
9 The Aviator 3.7 4.2 88.10%
10 Son of the Mask 2.7 3.4 79.41%

Average
OVERALL (estimate) 78.63%
New Release 54.81%
Still in Theater 88.84%

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 5:19 pm
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Hitch - (19.8 / 19.5) -- Accuracy: 98.46%
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (5.9 / 19.1) -- Accuracy: 30.89%
Constantine - (13.2 / 11.8) -- Accuracy: 88.14%
Cursed - (17.5 / 10) -- Accuracy: 25.00%
Man of the House - (10.0 / 8.6) -- Accuracy: 83.72%
Because of Winn-Dixie - (6.8 / 7.5) -- Accuracy: 90.67%
Million Dollar Baby - (6.0 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 84.51%
Sideways - (3.3 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 80.49%
The Aviator - (3.8 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 90.48%
Son of the Mask - (3.2 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 94.12%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 76.65%

New Release: 46.54%
Still in Theater: 89.55%

Diary and Cursed Murdered my derby, I am calling the police.


Sat Feb 26, 2005 6:48 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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Eagle wrote:
Hitch - (19.8 / 19.5) -- Accuracy: 98.46%
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (5.9 / 19.1) -- Accuracy: 30.89%
Constantine - (13.2 / 11.8) -- Accuracy: 88.14%
Cursed - (17.5 / 10) -- Accuracy: 25.00%
Man of the House - (10.0 / 8.6) -- Accuracy: 83.72%
Because of Winn-Dixie - (6.8 / 7.5) -- Accuracy: 90.67%
Million Dollar Baby - (6.0 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 84.51%
Sideways - (3.3 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 80.49%
The Aviator - (3.8 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 90.48%
Son of the Mask - (3.2 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 94.12%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 76.65%

New Release: 46.54%
Still in Theater: 89.55%

Diary and Cursed Murdered my derby, I am calling the police.


PSHHHT. you got off easy. im too embarassed to post my score, but lets say myprediction for DOAMBW was <b> 4.2 </b> and my cursed was <b> 18.2 </b>. Yeahhh beat you on both those. my score= pathetic.

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 7:15 pm
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I got a 75.58%

I also think that every film was under predicted in those projections.

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 10:34 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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BJ wrote:
I got a 75.58%

I also think that every film was under predicted in those projections.


what did you predict for diary of a mad black woman? im curious to find out something.

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TOP 5 MOVIES

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2. The Royal Tenenbaums
3. No Country for Old Men
4. Rushmore
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Sat Feb 26, 2005 10:45 pm
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newfoundglorysp wrote:
BJ wrote:
I got a 75.58%

I also think that every film was under predicted in those projections.


what did you predict for diary of a mad black woman? im curious to find out something.


I predicted 7m, lol that was its opening day.

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 11:15 pm
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newfoundglorysp wrote:
BJ wrote:
I got a 75.58%

I also think that every film was under predicted in those projections.


what did you predict for diary of a mad black woman? im curious to find out something.


I predicted 7m

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 11:15 pm
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Extraordinary
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Absolutely awful.

Hitch - (18.6 / 19.5) -- Accuracy: 95.38%
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (8.0 / 19.1) -- Accuracy: 41.88%
Constantine - (14.1 / 11.8) -- Accuracy: 80.51%
Cursed - (18.8 / 10) -- Accuracy: 12.00%
Man of the House - (8.7 / 8.6) -- Accuracy: 98.84%
Because of Winn-Dixie - (7.9 / 7.5) -- Accuracy: 94.67%
Million Dollar Baby - (6.0 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 84.51%
Are We There Yet? - (4.9 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 91.11%
The Aviator - (3.6 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 85.71%
Son of the Mask - (5.6 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 35.29%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 71.99%

New Release: 50.91%
Still in Theater: 81.03%

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Sat Feb 26, 2005 11:27 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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BJ wrote:
newfoundglorysp wrote:
BJ wrote:
I got a 75.58%

I also think that every film was under predicted in those projections.


what did you predict for diary of a mad black woman? im curious to find out something.


I predicted 7m


the day that BJ underpredicts a movie. wowwwwza. haha that makes me soo happy. its crazy.

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1. The Life Aquatic With Steve Zissou
2. The Royal Tenenbaums
3. No Country for Old Men
4. Rushmore
5. Being John Malkovich


Sat Feb 26, 2005 11:41 pm
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newfoundglorysp wrote:
BJ wrote:
newfoundglorysp wrote:
BJ wrote:
I got a 75.58%

I also think that every film was under predicted in those projections.


what did you predict for diary of a mad black woman? im curious to find out something.


I predicted 7m


the day that BJ underpredicts a movie. wowwwwza. haha that makes me soo happy. its crazy.


lol, I will be back to over predicting next wknd :wink:

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Sun Feb 27, 2005 3:00 am
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Indiana Jones IV

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BUMP FOR ESTIMATES


Sun Feb 27, 2005 2:03 pm
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King Albert!
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I did pretty good. I got an 81.78%. Based on some of the socre I am seeing here, I can't really complain.

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Sun Feb 27, 2005 2:12 pm
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