The Constantine Thread - $70,357,000
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 hans wrote: BJ wrote: why do you think its going to fall hard :?: Ive given my reasons, and posted plenty of facts to back up my opinion  To back up your opinion what I need to see is a similar film(s) that was recieved by the crowds at the same level as Constantine, that similar film must be very similar when it comes to there average grade. I dont want any B films, I want it to be compared to other films with an average B+ grade. The film(s) that you choose must be R rated just like Constantine, the film chosen can not be a summer flick it has to have been released within the september-april time frame. If you feel like adding anything else to that than your welcomed to :wink: Also why do you think they inflated the 4-Day-Wknd projections :?: THE PUNISHER - 54.6% HELLBOY - 53.3% UNDERWORLD - 56.7% BLADE 2 - 60% All of these opened on regular weekends, not holidays and had an average 2nd weekend drop of 56%. My thinking is this will drop more than that average, because of the Holiday weekend it opened on. This weekend no doubt benefited its opening 3-day aswell as its 4-day. If this was not a holiday we probably wouldn't see a 30% sunday drop, more likely a 40-50% drop. fare enough :wink: _________________The Force Awakens
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| Tue Feb 22, 2005 12:38 pm |
 
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Weekends:
Movie – Weekend Gross -- % change – Theaters – (PTA) – Total Gross
Weekend 1:
End of Days - $20,523,595 – NEW - 2,593 – ($7,915) - $31,509,775
Blade - $17,073,856 – NEW - 2,322 – ($7,353) - $17,073,856
Blade II - $32,528,016 – NEW - 2,707 – ($12,016) - $32,528,016
Constantine – $29,769,098– NEW – 3,006 – ($9,903) - $29,769,098
Daily Comparison:
Day – End of Days (% Change) – Blade (% Change) – Blade II (% Change) – Constantine (% Change)
Day 1 - $5,177,000 (NEW) - $5,885,000 (NEW) - $11,731,000 (NEW) – $10,882,297 (NEW)
Day 2 - $6,124,000 (+18.29%) - $6,190,000 (+5.18%) $12,025,000 (+2.51%) – $10,978,824 ( +0.90%)
Day 3 - $8,153,000 (+33.13%) - $9,789,964 (-18.82%) - $8,300,000 (-30.98%) - $7,907,987 (-28.00%)
Day 4 - $7,930,000 (-2.74%) - $1,963,480 (-60.93%) - $2,790,000 (-66.39%) - $3,855,309 ( -51.20%)
Top President's Day Weekends:
1. 50 First Dates- $45,107,871
2. Daredevil - $45,033,454
3. Constantine- $33,624,407
4. John Q. - $23,612,171
5. The Wedding Singer - $21,917,127
6. Down to Earth - $20,027,309
7. Message in a Bottle - $18,852,976
8. Wayne's World - $18,122,710
9. Crossroads - $17,014,226
10. Absolute Power - $16,770,220
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| Tue Feb 22, 2005 11:36 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Opening Weekend:
Erendis - $14 million
Matatonio - $21 million
Movies35 - $21 million
Animosity Reigns - $21 milion
MG Casey - $22.8 million
Algren - $23 million
RogueCommander - $24.5 million
DP07 - $25 million
Vovanik - $25.4 million
Roidrage - $26 million
Optimus Prime - $26 million
Mansonmyers - $26 million
Hans - $26.5 million
Jb007 - $27 million
The Dark Shape - $27 million
Zingaling - $27.1 million
Dr. Lecter - $27.4 million
BJ - $28 million
Riggs27 - $28 million
Mr. X - $28.3 million
MovieDude - $29 million
Impact - $30 million
Killuminati510 - $30 million
Want2write - $31 million
Sako16 - $32 million
Neostorm - $33 million
Archie Gates - $35 million
RB652 - $37 million
Spider-man 2004 - $40 million
FILMO - $40 million
I Was Your Sam - $40 million
BJ - $41.1 million
4-Day Weekend:
Torrino - $23.2 million
MG Casey - $26 million
RogueCommander - $28 million
DP07 - $29 million
Zingaling - $29.8 million
Optimus Prime - $30 million
MovieDude - $32 million
Dr. Lecter - $34.2 million
BJ - $47.1 million
Congratulations to Impact and Killuminati510 for the 3-day weekend predictions, and Lecter for the 4-day. :wink:
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| Tue Feb 22, 2005 11:58 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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I KNEW I should've gone with 29.5 million! 
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| Wed Feb 23, 2005 5:09 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Constantine dropped -48% to $2,022,441 on Tuesday. The SMALLEST drop in the top 10. 
Looks like it's heading for a 80% drop this weekend, eh Mav? :razz:
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| Wed Feb 23, 2005 5:20 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Daily Comparison:
Day – End of Days (% Change) – Blade (% Change) – Blade II (% Change) – Constantine (% Change)
Day 1 - $5,177,000 (NEW) - $5,885,000 (NEW) - $11,731,000 (NEW) – $10,882,297 (NEW)
Day 2 - $6,124,000 (+18.29%) - $6,190,000 (+5.18%) $12,025,000 (+2.51%) – $10,978,824 ( +0.90%)
Day 3 - $8,153,000 (+33.13%) - $9,789,964 (-18.82%) - $8,300,000 (-30.98%) - $7,907,987 (-28.00%)
Day 4 - $7,930,000 (-2.74%) - $1,963,480 (-60.93%) - $2,790,000 (-66.39%) - $3,855,309 ( -51.20%)
Day 5 - $4,590,000 (-42.12%) - $2,017,182 (+2.74%) - $2,543,000 (-8.85%) - $2,022,441 (-48.00%)
End of Days had a 5-day weekend, so that's why it's number was so high. Blade was released during the summer, so it increased on it's first Tuesday. Constantine is dropping off from a President's Day number, but it had the smallest drop in the top 10.
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| Wed Feb 23, 2005 5:46 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Zingaling wrote:
4-Day Weekend:
Torrino - $23.2 million
MG Casey - $26 million
RogueCommander - $28 million
DP07 - $29 million
Zingaling - $29.8 million
Optimus Prime - $30 million
MovieDude - $32 million
Dr. Lecter - $34.2 million
BJ - $47.1 million
Congratulations to Impact and Killuminati510 for the 3-day weekend predictions, and Lecter for the 4-day. :wink:
\:D/ \:D/ _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed Feb 23, 2005 8:26 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Good job with tracking, Zing, by the way! _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed Feb 23, 2005 8:26 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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My analysis of Constantine's box-office:
As expcted, the movie started out very well, especially considering the R-rating. It opened below Blade II, but Blade was already an estabilished franchise by that time. Looking at the internal weekend multiplier, Constantine had a better one than Daredevil and about the same one as Blade II. However, Blade II didn't have a holiday weekend to deflate its numbers. In the dailies, Constantine is already tracking behind Blade II and considering it'll face direct horror/teen competition next weekend with Cursed, don't expect the improvement of legs anytime soon. It'll stand at around $38.5 million by the time, it'll hit the weekend and after the weekend, it'll have over $50 million in its bag. I see around $13 million for its second weekend, a drop of around 55-60%. Overall, I see it landing somewhere between the first two Blade movies, making about $73-76 million in total. However, it'll ake a real killing overseas with already two $11+ million international weekends and great openings in Spain, Germany, France and Asia and it still has UK, Russia and Japan ahead. Expect it to break $200 million worldwide and get a greenlight for a sequel.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed Feb 23, 2005 8:58 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Nice analysis Lecter, and thanks. :wink:
Predict Constantine's Second Weekend
My Prediction - $14.3 million
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| Wed Feb 23, 2005 9:34 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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we have very similar predictions Zing
Constantine- $14.2M
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| Wed Feb 23, 2005 9:36 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Websites Second Weekend Predictions:
Comingsoon.net - $15.80 million
Lee's Movie Info - $16.046 million
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| Wed Feb 23, 2005 9:44 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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15.5 million
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| Wed Feb 23, 2005 9:52 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Cursed low opening will be Constantine's gain that is if Cursed doesnt do as well as expected
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| Wed Feb 23, 2005 9:57 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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My prediction: $14.1 (-52.5%)
It could actually a bit higher, though.
Wed: $1.62 (-20%)
Thur: $1.54 (-5%)
Fri: $4.78 (+211%)
Sat: $6.21 (+30%)
Sun: $3.42 (-45%)
3-Day: $14.4
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| Wed Feb 23, 2005 10:13 pm |
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Bell
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:02 am
Posts: 1906
Location: Middle Of Nowhere
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i think it'll get 16 Million for the 2nd weekend. hopefully the drop won't be too hard. i kinda liked the movie. 
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| Wed Feb 23, 2005 11:15 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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I don't know why, but I really do get the feeling this might not drop all that hard. This weekend looks to be the weakest for openers until early September, the word of mouth isn't half bad, and so far it's been doing pretty well.
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| Wed Feb 23, 2005 11:18 pm |
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Bell
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:02 am
Posts: 1906
Location: Middle Of Nowhere
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MovieDude wrote: I don't know why, but I really do get the feeling this might not drop all that hard. This weekend looks to be the weakest for openers until early September, the word of mouth isn't half bad, and so far it's been doing pretty well. maybe it will, maybe it won't
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| Thu Feb 24, 2005 2:28 am |
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RB652
Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Joined: Sun Nov 07, 2004 12:23 pm
Posts: 403
Location: New York City
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14.8 m for the second weekend.
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| Thu Feb 24, 2005 8:05 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Second Weekend Predictions:
MG Casey - $14.1 million
matatonio - $14.2 million
Zingaling - $14.3 million
RB652 - $14.8 million
MovieDude - $15.5 million
Bell - $16.0 million
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| Fri Feb 25, 2005 7:13 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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$13.9M
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| Fri Feb 25, 2005 9:02 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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By the way, I predict $14.1 million for the second weekend, as I did in some games as well
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Feb 25, 2005 9:51 pm |
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Samweis Gamdschie
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:35 pm
Posts: 2077
Location: At the edge of reality
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13.3m für Constantine! (but I hope it will make 15m, because its a great film!) :wink:
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| Fri Feb 25, 2005 9:54 pm |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am
Posts: 15310
Location: Slumming at KJ
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Zingaling wrote: Constantine dropped -48% to $2,022,441 on Tuesday. The SMALLEST drop in the top 10. Looks like it's heading for a 80% drop this weekend, eh Mav? :razz: How'd you like those Friday estimates, Zing? :razz:
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| Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:12 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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That Friday number is not good (obviously), but not horrible.
It'll make around $12-13 million this weekend for a 55-60% drop, like I said it would last weekend. It didn't exactly "drop like a rock" like you proclaimed, Mavy. Movies like Alien vs. Predator and The Village drop like rocks.
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| Sat Feb 26, 2005 12:19 pm |
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