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 February 25-27 Predictions 
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Kiera Knightly is my lady!
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 1:18 pm
Posts: 8773
Location: New Mexico
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Derby Predictions:
1. Hitch 21.2
2. Cursed 16.0
3. Constantine 12.9
4. Man of the House 8.0
5. Because of Winn-Dixie 7.8
6. Diary of a Mad Black Woman 6.0
7. Million Dollar Baby 5.9
8. Are We There Yet? 4.8
9. The Aviator 3.7
10. Sideways 3.6
11. Son of the Mask 2.7
12. Boogeyman 2.4

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Wed Feb 23, 2005 8:42 pm
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Wallflower
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Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35239
Location: Minnesota
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****MY PREDICTIONS****

1. HITCH - 22.9 MILLION
2. CURSED - 16.2 MILLION
3. CONSTANTINE - 14.3 MILLION
4. DIARY OF A MAD BLACK WOMAN - 8.9 MILLION
5. BECAUSE OF WINN-DIXIE - 7.1 MILLION
6. MILLION DOLLAR BABY - 6.7 MILLION
7. MAN OF THE HOUSE - 6.7 MILLION
8. ARE WE THERE YET? - 5 MILLION
9. SON OF THE MASK - 4.5 MILLION
10. THE AVIATOR - 3.9 MILLION
11. SIDEWAYS - 3.6 MILLION
12. POOH'S HEFFALUMP MOVIE - 2.9 MILLION
13. BOOGEYMAN - 2.7 MILLION
14. THE WEDDING DATE - 2.6 MILLION


Wed Feb 23, 2005 10:32 pm
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Waitress in LA

Joined: Thu Feb 24, 2005 6:02 am
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The cast of Diary of a Mad Black Woman will be on Oprah's show next week. Opening weekend will not be boosted by an appearance on Oprah's show.


Thu Feb 24, 2005 7:08 am
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King Albert!
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Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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Predictions have been sent to eagle and will appear on the front page tomorrow.

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Thu Feb 24, 2005 8:20 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am
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Location: Austin, TX
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Hitch - 18.1
Cursed - 15
Constantine - 11.9
Man of the House - 9.7
Winn-Dixie - 7.5
Mad Black Woman - 7.4
Million $ Baby - 6.0
Son of the Mask - 5.0
Are We There Yet? - 4.3
Aviator - 3.6
Sideways - 3.3
Boogeyman - 2.0

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Fri Feb 25, 2005 4:23 am
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Final Derby Predictions:

1. Hitch - 19.0
2. Cursed - 14.7
3. Constantine - 13.5
4. Diary of a Mad Black Woman - 10.5
5. Because of Winn-Dixie - 7.2
6. Man of the House - 7.0
7. Million Dollar Baby - 6.3
8. Are We There Yet? - 5.3
9. The Aviator - 3.8
10. Sideways - 3.4
11. Son the Mask - 3.2
12. Boogeyman - 2.6

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Fri Feb 25, 2005 7:15 am
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Speed Racer

Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 3:35 pm
Posts: 131
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Final Predictions:
1. Hitch - 19.8 (-37%)
2. Cursed - 16.5 NEW
3. Constantine - 12.8 (-57%)
4. Diary of a Mad Black Woman - 10.6 NEW
5. Because of Winn-Dixie - 6.7 (-34%)
6. Man of the House - 6.6 NEW
7. Million Dollar Baby - 5.9 (-13%)
8. Are We There Yet? - 4.5 (-28%)
9. Son the Mask - 4.2 (-44%)
10. The Aviator - 3.4 (-18%)
11. Sideways - 3.0 (-22%)
12. Boogeyman - 2.4 (-55%)


Fri Feb 25, 2005 8:10 am
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Star Trek XI
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Joined: Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:44 am
Posts: 337
Location: Ukraine,Kyiv
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1. Hitch - 18.9
2. Cursed - 14.7
3. Constantine - 14
4. Diary of a Mad Black- 9.2
5. Man of the House - 7.4
6. Because of Winn-Dixie-6.7
7. Million Dollar Baby - 5.9
8. Are We There Yet? - 4.6
9.The Aviator - 3.6
10.Son of the Mask - 3.5
11.Sideways- 3.2
12.Boogeyman- 2.6


Fri Feb 25, 2005 8:59 am
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Final Predictions
1. Hitch - $19.8 million
2. Cursed - $14.6 million
3. Constantine - $13.5 million
4. Diary of a Mad Black Woman - $11.0 million
5. Man of the House - $7.1 million
6. Because of Winn-Dixie - $6.8 million
7. Million Dollar Baby - $6.1 million
8. Are We There Yet? - $4.7 million
9. The Aviator - $3.5 million
10. Sideways - $3.4 million


Fri Feb 25, 2005 10:50 am
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The Thirteenth Floor
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
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With the yahoo numbers I really wish I went over 10m for Diary of a Mad Black Woman.

BTW, oscar films tend to increase on this weekend.

Hitch $23.05 m
Cursed $20.60 m
Constantine $12.80 m
Because of Winn-Dixie $7.64 m
Diary of a mad black woman $7.50 m
Million Dollar Baby $7.47 m
Are We There Yet? $5.21 m
Son of the Mask $5.12 m
The Aviator $4.70 m
Man of the House $4.60 m
Sideways $4.22 m
Boogeyman $2.71 m
Finding Neverland $2.29 m
Hotel Rwanda $1.87 m


Fri Feb 25, 2005 11:31 am
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Killing With Kindness
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Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
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Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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BJs wknd outlook :cool:

1.Hitch - 18.71m (-40.5% from last Wknd)
2.Cursed - 17.01m New
3.Constantine - 16.71m (-43.5%% from last Wknd)
4.Man of the House - 9.37m New
5.Million Dollar Baby - 8.79m (+29.5% from last Wknd)
6.Because of Winn-Dixxie - 7.6m (-25% from last Wknd)
7.Diary of a Mad Black Woman - 7.10m New
8.Are We there Yet - 4.54m (-28% from last Wknd)
9.Son of the Mask - 4.45m (-41% from last Wknd)
10.Sideways - 4.37m (+15% from last Wknd)
11.The Aviator - 4.32m (+4.5% from last Wknd)
12.Pooh's Heffalump Movie - 2.97m (-28% from last Wknd)
13.Boogyeman - 2.61m (-50.5% from last Wknd)
14. - ( from last Wknd)

Top Ten Total: 108.64m
Top Twelve Total: 115.93m

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Fri Feb 25, 2005 12:38 pm
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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DP07 wrote:
With the yahoo numbers I really wish I went over 10m for Diary of a Mad Black Woman.

BTW, oscar films tend to increase on this weekend.

Hitch $23.05 m
Cursed $20.60 m
Constantine $12.80 m
Because of Winn-Dixie $7.64 m
Diary of a mad black woman $7.50 m
Million Dollar Baby $7.47 m
Are We There Yet? $5.21 m
Son of the Mask $5.12 m
The Aviator $4.70 m
Man of the House $4.60 m
Sideways $4.22 m
Boogeyman $2.71 m
Finding Neverland $2.29 m
Hotel Rwanda $1.87 m


Last year on this weekend, the Oscar nominees all had minor declines, not increases.


Fri Feb 25, 2005 2:54 pm
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Hitch $18.6m
Cursed $15.4m
Constantine $14.2m
Man of the House $8.1m
Because of Winn-Dixie $6.3m
Million Dollar Baby $5.7m
Diary of a Mad Black Woman $5.3m
Are We There Yet? $5.3m
Son of the Mask $4.0m
The Aviator $3.4m
Sideways $3.0m
Boogeyman $2.4m

Seems I failed completly regarding Mad Black Woman.


Fri Feb 25, 2005 4:24 pm
College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Final Predictions:

1. Hitch - $20.4 million
2. Cursed - $18.2 million
3. Constantine - $14.3 million
4. Man of the House - $8.4 million
5. Because of Winn-Dixie - $6.6 million
6. Diary of a Mad Black Woman - $5.9 million
7. Million Dollar Baby - $5.8 million
8. Are We There Yet? - $4.4 million
9. Son of the Mask - $4.1 million
10. The Aviator - $3.6 million
11. Sideways - $3.1 million
12. Finding Neverland - $1.5 million
13. Hotel Rwanda - $1.4 million

So much for Diary of a Mad Black Woman...


Fri Feb 25, 2005 4:25 pm
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Teh Mexican
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Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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FINAL PREDICTIONS!

1. Cursed- $20.8M
2. Hitch- $19.8M
3. Constantine- $14.2M
4. Man of the House- $7.2M
5. Diary of a Mad Black Woman- $7M
6. Because of Winn-Dixie- $6.3M
7. Million Dollar Baby- $6.1M
8. Are We There Yet?- $4.8M
9. Son of the Mask- $4.1M
10. The Aviator- $3.8M
11. Sideways- $3.1M
12. Finding Neverland- $1.5M

--Hotel Rwanda- $1.5M

i still think Cursed will manage to make $19M-$20M :???: , we shall see!


Fri Feb 25, 2005 4:30 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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However, the higher the actual gross for Dairy of a Mad Black Woman, the less relevant it is in the overall score average. If it grosses $12M, the difference between predictions of $6M and $10M is 33.3%, but if it grosses $18M, the difference will be down to 22.2%. With 12 movies for the derby and all openers doing at least fine, there isn't really a derby killer out there, and you can make up a lot of ground by getting 100% on movies such as Boogeyman and Man of the Mask.

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Recent watched movies:

American Hustle - B+
Inside Llewyn Davis - B
Before Midnight - A
12 Years a Slave - A-
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A-

My thoughts on box office


Fri Feb 25, 2005 4:30 pm
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King Albert!
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Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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Libs wrote:
DP07 wrote:
With the yahoo numbers I really wish I went over 10m for Diary of a Mad Black Woman.

BTW, oscar films tend to increase on this weekend.

Hitch $23.05 m
Cursed $20.60 m
Constantine $12.80 m
Because of Winn-Dixie $7.64 m
Diary of a mad black woman $7.50 m
Million Dollar Baby $7.47 m
Are We There Yet? $5.21 m
Son of the Mask $5.12 m
The Aviator $4.70 m
Man of the House $4.60 m
Sideways $4.22 m
Boogeyman $2.71 m
Finding Neverland $2.29 m
Hotel Rwanda $1.87 m


Last year on this weekend, the Oscar nominees all had minor declines, not increases.


That's because the Passion stoled their audience. I don't see anything that will steal their audience's, don't you?

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Fri Feb 25, 2005 6:27 pm
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Final Predictions (Yes, Again)
1. Hitch - $19.8 million
2. Diary of a Mad Black Woman - $16.7 million
3. Cursed - $14.6 million
4. Constantine - $13.5 million
5. Man of the House - $7.1 million
6. Because of Winn-Dixie - $6.8 million
7. Million Dollar Baby - $6.1 million
8. Are We There Yet? - $4.5 million
9. The Aviator - $3.5 million
10. Sideways - $3.4 million


Fri Feb 25, 2005 7:15 pm
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Rachel McAdams Fan

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:13 am
Posts: 14618
Location: LA / NYC
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I think CURSED will take the top spot, but it will be close.

BLACK WOMAN may surprise a lot of people. I didn't think so initially but crowd reports have changed my mind somewhat.


Fri Feb 25, 2005 9:41 pm
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No Wire Tampons!

Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2005 12:27 am
Posts: 23283
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Libs wrote:
Final Predictions (Yes, Again)
1. Hitch - $19.8 million
2. Diary of a Mad Black Woman - $16.7 million
3. Cursed - $14.6 million
4. Constantine - $13.5 million
5. Man of the House - $7.1 million
6. Because of Winn-Dixie - $6.8 million
7. Million Dollar Baby - $6.1 million
8. Are We There Yet? - $4.5 million
9. The Aviator - $3.5 million
10. Sideways - $3.4 million


Shouldnt that be stipulations since they were made after crowd reports and review figures came in :P?

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Fri Feb 25, 2005 11:11 pm
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Michael wrote:
Libs wrote:
Final Predictions (Yes, Again)
1. Hitch - $19.8 million
2. Diary of a Mad Black Woman - $16.7 million
3. Cursed - $14.6 million
4. Constantine - $13.5 million
5. Man of the House - $7.1 million
6. Because of Winn-Dixie - $6.8 million
7. Million Dollar Baby - $6.1 million
8. Are We There Yet? - $4.5 million
9. The Aviator - $3.5 million
10. Sideways - $3.4 million


Shouldnt that be stipulations since they were made after crowd reports and review figures came in :P?


It's not like I submit them for a Derby or anything, since I don't play. I make final predictions up until a few hours before the Friday numbers come in sometimes.


Fri Feb 25, 2005 11:16 pm
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No Wire Tampons!

Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2005 12:27 am
Posts: 23283
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Libs wrote:
Michael wrote:
Libs wrote:
Final Predictions (Yes, Again)
1. Hitch - $19.8 million
2. Diary of a Mad Black Woman - $16.7 million
3. Cursed - $14.6 million
4. Constantine - $13.5 million
5. Man of the House - $7.1 million
6. Because of Winn-Dixie - $6.8 million
7. Million Dollar Baby - $6.1 million
8. Are We There Yet? - $4.5 million
9. The Aviator - $3.5 million
10. Sideways - $3.4 million


Shouldnt that be stipulations since they were made after crowd reports and review figures came in :P?


It's not like I submit them for a Derby or anything, since I don't play. I make final predictions up until a few hours before the Friday numbers come in sometimes.


Ahh ok; i dont play the derby either, but i have to post my predictions on nf7 before the thursday estimates come in- was a total bitch this morning when i was trying to get ready to go see spanglish, and running back and forward to Excel at the same time :P

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Fri Feb 25, 2005 11:23 pm
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Wallflower
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This is off-topic but I have to say, Nebs I love your avatar! Julianne is "fabulous" :razz:.


Sat Feb 26, 2005 11:07 am
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Indeed she is. :)


Sat Feb 26, 2005 11:30 am
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