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 October 22-24 Predictions 
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You must have big rats
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Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
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Nebs wrote:
I'm just a hater, don't mind me. ;)


Seriously, it will be higher that prediction of mine at the end most likely.


Hehe, I see.

Well, anything under $10 million would seriously surprise me, actually.

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Wed Oct 20, 2004 2:14 pm
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Sbil

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Updated
1. The Grudge - $27.2 million
2. Shark Tale - $15.0 million
3. Surviving Christmas - $8.9 million
4. Shall We Dance? - $8.7 million
5. Friday Night Lights - $8.5 million
6. Team America: World Police - $6.1 million
7. Ladder 49 - $5.5 million
8. I Heart Huckabees - $4.4 million
9. Taxi - $3.7 million
10. The Forgotten - $3.3 million


Last edited by Libs on Thu Oct 21, 2004 3:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Wed Oct 20, 2004 4:06 pm
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Extraordinary

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Current RT meters:

The Grudge - 28%, 5 out of 18 fresh, 4.5/10
Surviving Christmas - 8%, 1 out of 13 fresh, 3/10

I think The Grudge will end up similar to The Forgotten for the RT meter, and we know how well that is doing. Critics shouldn't effect its gross much at all.

Surviving Christmas, on the other hand, won't be another Shall We Dance. Don't think this one will get above 10M this weekend.


Thu Oct 21, 2004 12:44 am
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[quote="xiayun"]Current RT meters:

The Grudge - 28%, 5 out of 18 fresh, 4.5/10
Surviving Christmas - 8%, 1 out of 13 fresh, 3/10

I think The Grudge will end up similar to The Forgotten for the RT meter, and we know how well that is doing. Critics shouldn't effect its gross much at all.

Surviving Christmas, on the other hand, won't be another Shall We Dance. Don't think this one will get above 10M this weekend.[/quote]

I agree, but just incase I'm going to predict 10m.


Thu Oct 21, 2004 12:58 am
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Sbil

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Final Predictions
1. The Grudge - $25.0 million
2. Shark Tale - $14.7 million
3. Shall We Dance? - $9.9 million
4. Friday Night Lights - $9.3 million
5. Surviving Christmas - $7.0 million
6. Team America: World Police - $6.1 million
7. Ladder 49 - $5.4 million
8. I Heart Huckabees - $4.5 million
9. Taxi - $3.6 million
10. The Forgotten - $3.5 million


Last edited by Libs on Thu Oct 21, 2004 9:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:55 pm
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1 The Grudge 21.1
2 Shark Tale 14.9
3 Surviving Christmas 12.3
4 Shall We Dance 7.9
5 Friday Night Lights 7.1
6 Team America: World Police 6.9
7 Ladder 49 5.4
8 I Heart Huckabees 5.4
9 Taxi 4.0
10 The Forgotten 3.9


Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:17 pm
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The Grudge- 26 mil (I don't know why people want to see the Ring 1.5, but they do)
Shark Tale-15 mil
Shall We Dance- 8 mil
Team America- 7 mil, there is a little bias in that number
Friday Night Lights- 7 mil
Surviving Christmas- 6.5 mil (Looks better than the Kranks...would do good numbers if it was just promoted)
I Heart Huckabees- 5 mil
Ladder 49- 4.5 mil
Taxi- 3 mil
The Forgotten- 2 mil, I thnk we all know it will drop from Direct Compeititon with The Ring 1.5

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Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:45 pm
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It will drop more than last week, but 66%? The Forgotten that is.


Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:50 pm
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Nebs wrote:
It will drop more than last week, but 66%? The Forgotten that is.


Well its been out for a month now, and the Grudge is going for the exact same audience. It really has nothing going for it.

But 66% does seem a little harsh, how about 50%

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Thu Oct 21, 2004 8:11 pm
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Extraordinary

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Optimus_Prime wrote:
Nebs wrote:
It will drop more than last week, but 66%? The Forgotten that is.


Well its been out for a month now, and the Grudge is going for the exact same audience. It really has nothing going for it.

But 66% does seem a little harsh, how about 50%


Even 50% is pretty high. The week to week drop right now is only 20%. Double that for a drop 40-45% seems reasonable.


Thu Oct 21, 2004 8:32 pm
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1) The Grudge-$26.7 million; Week 1
2) Shark Tale-$15 million; -32%; Week 4
3) Shall We Dance?-$10.4 million; -11.5%; Week 2
4) Friday Night Lights-$7.7 million; -36.7%; Week 3
5) Surviving Christmas-$7.3 million; Week 1
6) Team America: World Police-$5.7 million; -52.7%; Week 2
7) Ladder 49-$5.3 million; -37.9%; Week 4
8) Taxi-$3.9 million; -50.5%; Week 3
9) The Forgotten-$3.8 million; -36.8%; Week 5
10) I Heart Huckabees-$3.6 million; +292.7%; Week 4

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Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:43 pm
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Final Predictions for 10/22
The Grudge - 21.2 NEW
Shark Tale - 15.2 -31%
Shall We Dance - 7.8 -34%
Friday Night Lights - 7.3 -40%
Surving Christmas - 7.2 NEW
Team America - 6.0 -50%
Ladder 49 - 4.8 -44%
I Heart Huckabees - 4.2 NEW
Taxi - 3.6 -54%
Forgotten - 3.4 -44%

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Fri Oct 22, 2004 2:13 am
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Extraordinary

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Wildbill, you're here too!

Final predictions:
1. The Grudge - $21.0 million
2. Shark Tale - $14.0 million
3. Surviving Christmas - $9.0 million
4. Shall We Dance? - $9.0 million
5. Friday Night Lights - $8.0 million
6. Team America: World Police - $7.0 million
7. Ladder 49 - $5.6 million
8. Taxi - $4.5 million
9. The Forgotten - $3.5 million
10. I Heart Huckabees - $3.4 million

Yeah, a lot of integers. :) I was tempting to just keep going down the numbers, 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, ...


Fri Oct 22, 2004 2:44 am
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xiayun wrote:
Wildbill, you're here too!


Well my site is basically closed and these forums are the best place to post them.

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Fri Oct 22, 2004 4:40 am
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Final Predictions
1. The Grudge - $24.8 million
2. Shark Tale - $14.9 million
3. Shall We Dance? - $10.1 million
4. Surviving Christmas - $9.5 million
5. Friday Night Lights - $9.1 million
6. Team America: World Police - $7.2 million
7. Ladder 49 - $5.8 million
8. Taxi - $3.8 million
9. I <3 Huckabees - $3.4 million
10. The Forgotten - $3.2 million

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Fri Oct 22, 2004 6:51 am
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Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 3:35 pm
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Final Predictions
1. The Grudge - $27.7 million(TCM-type numbers)
2. Shark Tale - $14.3 million (35% drop)
3. Shall We Dance? - $9 million (under the tuscan sun-type drop)
4. Friday Night Lights - $7.4 million (extra theatres will help it)
5. Team America: World Police - $5.8 million (weak midweek)
6. Surviving Christmas - $5.3 million (Too early for a christmas movie and the reviews are terrible)
7. Ladder 49 - $5.1 million (40% drop)
8. Taxi - $4.3 million (45% drop)
9. I Heart Huckabees - $3.7 million (PTA should be a little under 5000)
10. The Forgotten - $3.3 million (Grudge may hurt it a bit)


Fri Oct 22, 2004 7:18 am
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The Grudge $27.24 m
Surviving Christmas $8.16 m
I Heart Huckabees $2.67 m
Shark Tale $15.56 m
Friday Night Lights $7.67 m
Team America: World Police $6.53 m
Shall We Dance? $9.64 m
Ladder 49 $5.12 m
Taxi $4.63 m
The Forgotten $4.13 m


I'm beginning to regret going this high on SC.


Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:47 am
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Cut off might be already,

But don't worry I suck anyway ... and try to let me in because A) I run the place and B) I'm hungover C) Pleassssseeeeeee

Grudge - 32
Sharktale - 14
Surv. Xmas - 12
Friday Night - 8
Shall we Dance - 9
Team America - 6
Forgotton - 5
Ladder 49 - 4.5
Taxi - 3.5
Huckabees - 3


Fri Oct 22, 2004 9:08 am
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The Grudge 22,00
Shark Tale 14,20
Shall We Dance 9,00
Surviving Chrismas 8,00
Friday Night Lights 6,30
Team America 6,10
I Heart Huckabees 5,50
Ladder 49 5,20
Taxi 4,40
The Forgotten 4,10


Fri Oct 22, 2004 9:34 am
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1. The Grudge - $24.9 million
2. Shark Tale - $14.8 million
3. Shall We Dance? $11.9 million
4. Surviving Christmas - $7.9 million
5. Friday Night Lights - $7 million
6. Team America: World Police - $6.1 million
7. Ladder 49 - $5.2 million
8. Taxi - $4.1 million
9. I <3 Huckabees - $4 million
10. The Forgotten - $3.6 million

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Fri Oct 22, 2004 3:19 pm
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Here is what I said

The Grudge - 25.3 (Between TCM and Forgotten).
Shark Tale - 14.4 (Ditto on Ragnaroks reason).
Shall We Dance - 9.6 (Great midweek business and theater boost).
Surviving Christmas - 7.8 (Fair screencount, even though Affleck is in it).
Friday Night Lights - 7.6 (Ditto again).
Team America - 6.1 (Horrible midweek).
Ladder 49 - 5.2
Taxi - 4.4
I Heart Huckabee - 3.9
Forgotten - 3.8 (Hurt a bit by Grudge, though being closer to Halloween will help it).

top ten total - 88.1 million.

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Fri Oct 22, 2004 3:32 pm
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Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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October 22-24

1. The Grudge- $24.3
2. Shark Tale- $15.2
3. Surviving Christmas- $12.1
4. Shall We Dance?- $8.5
5. Friday Night Lights- $7.8
6. Team America: World Police- $7.0
7. I Heart Huckabees- $5.5
8. Ladder 49- $5.3
9. Taxi- $4.9
10. The Forgotten- $3.5


Fri Oct 22, 2004 3:36 pm
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I think the general consensus is $20-$30 million, and nothing outside those barriers. Generally, when the masses stick to one general area, it tends to go against that. Anyone feel The Grudge will do really badly, or even do a ton better than we think? Probably not, but just a theory.

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Fri Oct 22, 2004 5:25 pm
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Mr. X wrote:
I think the general consensus is $20-$30 million, and nothing outside those barriers. Generally, when the masses stick to one general area, it tends to go against that. Anyone feel The Grudge will do really badly, or even do a ton better than we think? Probably not, but just a theory.


Having seen the movie, this should not do well after Friday. I'm certain it is not going to do better than everybody thinks.

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Fri Oct 22, 2004 6:05 pm
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Good enough. Then, it will probably do just about what everyone expects.

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Fri Oct 22, 2004 6:06 pm
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