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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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 February 4-6 Predictions Well you know the drill. I'll do openers and expanders for now.
Boogeyman - $16.4 million
The Wedding Date - $7 million
Hotel Rwanda - $2.5 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
Last edited by Dr. Lecter on Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:52 pm |
 
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am
Posts: 1255
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Re: February 4-6 Predictions "The Weeding Date" will be out of top 10?
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:56 pm |
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Ghostooze
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:47 pm
Posts: 1406
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REMEMBER...
Super Bowl weekend...huge drops on Sunday
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:58 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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Boogeyman 19 million
The Wedding Date 3.5 million
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 5:07 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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1. Boogeyman - $19.5 (NEW)
2. Are We There Yet - $9.9 (-38%)
3. The Wedding Date - $9.5 (NEW)
4. Hide and Seek - $8.8 (-60%)
5. Million Dollar Baby - $8.6 (-27%)
6. Meet the Fockers - $3.9 (-44.5%)
7. Coach Carter - $3.8 (-44.5%)
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 5:13 pm |
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makeshift
Teenage Dream
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:20 am
Posts: 9247
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Boogeyman will clear $20 million with ease, and approach $30 million. Bank on it.
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 5:37 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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BoogeyMan -- $19.45 million (lower due to SuperBowl Sunday)
The Wedding Date -- $13.1 million
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Hotel Rwanda -- $3.0 million
_________________
See above.
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 6:26 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Maybe there is something I don't know about Boogeyman...but what do people think it'll do much better than Darkness Falls?
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 6:30 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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With the recent strength in the horror genre, I think it should open to around $20 million. It won't be quite as good though due to the superbowl.
_________________
See above.
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 6:32 pm |
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makeshift
Teenage Dream
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:20 am
Posts: 9247
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Maybe there is something I don't know about Boogeyman...but what do people think it'll do much better than Darkness Falls? Two factors, I think.
One is that supernatural horror (espically PG-13 rated) is really hot right now.
The second, and the most important, is the marketing for this has been absolutely killer. The trailers/tv spots are really, really good and abundant.
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 6:33 pm |
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makeshift
Teenage Dream
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:20 am
Posts: 9247
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RogueCommander wrote: With the recent strength in the horror genre, I think it should open to around $20 million. It won't be quite as good though due to the superbowl. I really don't think the Superbowl is going to have that big of an impact on the weekend. I think it's going to be extremely frontloaded on Friday and Saturday, so most of it's business will be done by the time the Superbowl rolls around. Also, the traget audience for Boogeyman aren't exactly the biggest sports fans in the world.
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 6:35 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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makeshift_wings wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Maybe there is something I don't know about Boogeyman...but what do people think it'll do much better than Darkness Falls? Two factors, I think. One is that supernatural horror (espically PG-13 rated) is really hot right now. The second, and the most important, is the marketing for this has been absolutely killer. The trailers/tv spots are really, really good and abundant. Of note though, there was an immense amount of online advertising for Darkness Falls and that film only opened to $12 million. I see a similar amount of advertising for Boogeyman, but I think that other forms of advertising has been more abundant. There have been ads for this film for several months now and I think that should help its opening weekend quite a bit.
_________________
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 6:38 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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makeshift_wings wrote: RogueCommander wrote: With the recent strength in the horror genre, I think it should open to around $20 million. It won't be quite as good though due to the superbowl. I really don't think the Superbowl is going to have that big of an impact on the weekend. I think it's going to be extremely frontloaded on Friday and Saturday, so most of it's business will be done by the time the Superbowl rolls around. Also, the traget audience for Boogeyman aren't exactly the biggest sports fans in the world. That is true. As of now, I expect a similar pattern to Hide & Seek and White Noise, with an $8.1-$8.5 million opening day, and then a slight increase on Saturday to $9.0 million. Sunday should see a drop of 50-60% with a total of $19.5 million-$21 million.
_________________
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 6:40 pm |
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makeshift
Teenage Dream
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:20 am
Posts: 9247
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I think the pattern will be more like this...
Opening day: $10.5
Second day: $10.0
Third day: $5.0
Around $25-26 million for the weekend, though I think it could go higher.
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 6:47 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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Out of curiousity, why do you expect such high numbers?
_________________
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 6:51 pm |
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makeshift
Teenage Dream
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:20 am
Posts: 9247
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I'm not sure. Just a feeling I get. The first time I saw the trailer was in front of The Grudge and it got a rabid reaction, and I haven't seen anything sense to sway my opinion that it won't be a hit. The marketing has been borderline outstanding, and it actually looks good, which I think is key.
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 6:55 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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makeshift_wings wrote: I'm not sure. Just a feeling I get. The first time I saw the trailer was in front of The Grudge and it got a rabid reaction, and I haven't seen anything sense to sway my opinion that it won't be a hit. The marketing has been borderline outstanding, and it actually looks good, which I think is key. I dunno, everyone laughed at the trailer in front of The Grudge. I'm guessing 19.5 million because of the superb international trailer and the TV spots.
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 6:56 pm |
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makeshift
Teenage Dream
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:20 am
Posts: 9247
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MovieDude wrote: makeshift_wings wrote: I'm not sure. Just a feeling I get. The first time I saw the trailer was in front of The Grudge and it got a rabid reaction, and I haven't seen anything sense to sway my opinion that it won't be a hit. The marketing has been borderline outstanding, and it actually looks good, which I think is key. I dunno, everyone laughed at the trailer in front of The Grudge. I'm guessing 19.5 million because of the superb international trailer and the TV spots. Really? It got a great reaction here. I agree, though, that the international trailer is incredible. SCARIEST. TRAILER. EVER.
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 6:58 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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I rekon around $15,000,000 for BOOGEYMAN, And i know i love horror, but i'm lowballing this one just incase....Although it's marketing is WELL better than HIDE AND SEEK, and that's doing $20M+ this weekend. Plus, it's Sam Ramai. and he had the GRUDGE, which damn right rulled the box office.
So yeah, im predicting $15,000,000 due to horror overload, but it could well be over $20m.
ALl the best to it.
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 7:15 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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Anyone know where I could download the international trailer?
_________________
See above.
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 7:18 pm |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm
Posts: 5816
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Boogeyman - $9.2
The Wedding Date - $5.4
Hotel Rwanda - $2
Hide and Seek will retain the #1 slot.
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 8:26 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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Boogeyman: $18 million
The Wedding Date: $7 million
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 8:50 pm |
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makeshift
Teenage Dream
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:20 am
Posts: 9247
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RogueCommander wrote: Anyone know where I could download the international trailer?
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 9:38 pm |
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Spidey
Teenage Dream
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:13 pm
Posts: 10678
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EARLY PREDICTIONS:
Boogeyman - $22,000,000 (Nice advertising!!)
The Wedding Date - $5,000,000 (No ADS!!! They have an Ad for this on TV every other day once a day!!)
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 10:01 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Boogeyman - $22 million
The Wedding Date - $9 million
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| Sat Jan 29, 2005 10:16 pm |
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