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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm Posts: 28301 Location: ... siiiigh...
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 Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
For many reasons, TV ratings keep going down. There are a bevy of reasons, all playing their own role, but which one do you think is taking the biggest hit on television ratings for primetime shows? Ten years ago, some shows cracked 30 million. Now, some shows are lucky to crack 20 million. And so far, no scripted show has done that this official season.
Here are the reasons I've gathered:
-Captain Obvious Says: Hundreds of Channel Options, Dummy! - With so many channels to choose from now, as opposed to fifty (or even twenty) years ago, it's harder for the big networks to keep people tuned in with their own, often inferior product.
-TIVo & DVR: The New VCRs, and a Whole Lot More Convenient Too! - Now more than ever, people don't have a really good reason to sit down at a designated weekly time to watch a show. What is this, church?! Why watch today what you can watch whenever the hell you want?
-Go Online: The Right Way - Going on official network websites and catching up online is a simple way to watch TV. But I find this is better suited for shows you just plain well missed. Only in rare cases would I think that someone would watch a show online every week.
-Go Online: The Wrong Way - Along with movie piracy, television piracy is rampant too. Downloading illegally is all the rage for some. Is it affecting TV the same way that it's affecting movies? Perhaps.
-Network TV Just Sucks: A Lot - Could be included as "Too many channel options," but we'll keep this separate. One quick look at network TV, and some might be forced to watch a DVD instead. Which brings me to...
-DVDs: Watch it All At Once Instead - I won't include a category for just any ol' DVDs. We've been able to watch movies for a long time at home, and ratings were fine twenty years ago. But, I've found myself holding off on certain shows and waiting for the whole seasons to be released on DVD instead.
-Reality Killed the TV Star - One could argue that the introduction of reality TV eight years ago has led to a steady decline in ratings and overall quality. It's the fad that just won't die. Ever.
-Other - Come up with another viable reason.
So, let me know what you think is the BEST reason. Not the best reasons, and preferably not the channel options thing. We know that's a huge reason. But what else contributes to the highest-rated scripted shows not even reaching 20 million anymore.
Oh, and I'm not including a poll because A) I'm lazy and B) Polls are impersonal.
_________________ Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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Wed Oct 01, 2008 11:49 pm |
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Korrgan
problem?
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 6:52 am Posts: 15515 Location: Bait Shop
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
It's a combo of Tivo/DVR and people watching online. Why be committed to watching it at a certain time when you can just record it or go online whenever you have the free time?
_________________
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Wed Oct 01, 2008 11:56 pm |
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Raffiki
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 12:14 am Posts: 9966
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
I think TV online is really catching on. Especially with virtually any show available in high quality streaming.
I'm not basing that on anything I've heard. I'd just assume as they are everywhere. I'm actually quite surprised how many people still haven't heard of hulu.com
_________________ Top Movies of 2009 1. Hurt Locker / 2. (500) Days of Summer / 3. Sunshine Cleaning / 4. Up / 5. I Love You, Man
Top Anticipated 2009 1. Nine
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Wed Oct 01, 2008 11:57 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40571
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
I think you pretty much nailed all the reasons, there's so much choice now in both what you watch and how you watch it that it's just not as much of an event.
If I had to choose, I'd say Tivo and the DVDs are tops, though
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 12:15 am |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm Posts: 20411
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
online and busy lives.
people work mroe hours than they use to.
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 12:15 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
DVD and online. Even if I wanted to, I couldn't watch every show live because I like a lot of shows and that inevitably means that two or more will be on at the same time. I'm more apt to wait with new shows, especially ones with poor ratings that may get canned before any resolution is reached. There's nothing more frustrating than that when it comes to TV.
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 12:31 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40571
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
This also explains why CBS' old skewing shows do so well. Old people aren't downloading, are staying home a lot more and thus aren't intentionally TIVOing stuff. Plus it helps to not have seasonal arcs where you have to watch every week, the fact that you can just jump right into an NCIS episode if you happen to be watching tv that night makes it a pleasing choice. That's also why their holdovers do so well, it's the ol' I'm comfortable, I might as well watch this show too, while younger tv viewers have their tv schedules and must-watch shows planned beforehand, and with seasonal arc shows if you're not into it, you're not gonna keep watching.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 12:37 am |
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misutaa
je vois l'avenir
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 3:33 pm Posts: 3841 Location: Hollywood/Berkeley, CA
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
Online is the best thing ever. It is Tivo for non-tivo owners.
I didn't have a tv for a semester and I watched EVERYTHING online. It was so easy and convenient that I still watch a lot of my shows online instead because it doesn't interrupt my studies.
_________________ "Voici mon secret. Il est très simple: on ne voit bien qu'avec le cœur. L'essentiel est invisible pour les yeux."
----Antoine de Saint-Exupéry (Le Petit Prince)
A Lonely Person is at Home Everywhere.
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 12:50 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
The sucky thing about online, assuming you're not going to illegally download shows, is that some aren't posted in a timely fashion. House is the prime example. The Big Bang Theory isn't even posted at all, which totally sucks since it was last season.
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 1:00 am |
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misutaa
je vois l'avenir
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 3:33 pm Posts: 3841 Location: Hollywood/Berkeley, CA
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
Joe wrote: The sucky thing about online, assuming you're not going to illegally download shows, is that some aren't posted in a timely fashion. House is the prime example. The Big Bang Theory isn't even posted at all, which totally sucks since it was last season. well I don't watch Big Bang Theory, and House is terrible so yeah... NBC and ABC are great at online postings. I think that it why they saw such big drops in ratings.
_________________ "Voici mon secret. Il est très simple: on ne voit bien qu'avec le cœur. L'essentiel est invisible pour les yeux."
----Antoine de Saint-Exupéry (Le Petit Prince)
A Lonely Person is at Home Everywhere.
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 1:42 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
Misutaa wrote: Joe wrote: The sucky thing about online, assuming you're not going to illegally download shows, is that some aren't posted in a timely fashion. House is the prime example. The Big Bang Theory isn't even posted at all, which totally sucks since it was last season. well I don't watch Big Bang Theory, and House is terrible so yeah... NBC and ABC are great at online postings. I think that it why they saw such big drops in ratings. House is terrible!??!!! 
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 1:50 am |
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jujubee
Forum General
Joined: Wed Feb 08, 2006 11:45 pm Posts: 6447
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
Sorry, but you're all wrong. Online has a negligible effect on ratings. Even DVR isn't as big a problem as people like to pretend it is.
The vast majority of illegal downloading and streaming is foreigners who wouldn't be counted in the ratings anyway. Legal downloading and streaming is tracked by the networks. If any single episode ever had one million extra viewers legally online, the press releases would be endless. There have never been any press releases like that. Because there just isn't enough watching online. Does the 18-34 demo tend to use it much more than other demos? Yes, but still not enough to account for any real percentage of the ratings that have been lost.
As for DVR, there was a study done recently that showed that 30% of DVR owners account for over 70% of DVR usage. Yes, DVRs make a dent in the ratings, but not nearly as much as people like to claim. If they did, the live+7 ratings would be much closer to what you all would expect the ratings to be than they actually are.
The reason broadcast ratings are dropping is cable, plain and simple. Sorry if this isn't the answer you want to hear, X, but it's the truth. The audience is NOT leaving TV altogether. The market share is just moving to cable. You can see this by looking at the shares when you look at the ratings. The shares are dropping as much as the ratings. If the reasons for the ratings dropping were people turning off their TVs, the shares would remain the same. People still have their TVs on during primetime, just not on any broadcast net.
_________________ ......
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 2:30 am |
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minneapple
Town Bike
Joined: Sun Sep 30, 2007 8:34 pm Posts: 1264
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
jujubee likes to make the people cry.
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 2:32 am |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm Posts: 19697 Location: ville-marie
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
jujubee is a bitch.
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 2:34 am |
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Gulli
Jordan Mugen-Honda
Joined: Mon May 01, 2006 9:53 am Posts: 13403
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
jujubee is so wrong. X FOR PREZ!!
_________________ Rosberg was reminded of the fuel regulations by his wheel's ceasing to turn. The hollow noise from the fuel tank and needle reading zero had failed to convay this message
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 2:36 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23371 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
jujubee wrote: Sorry, but you're all wrong. Online has a negligible effect on ratings. Even DVR isn't as big a problem as people like to pretend it is.
The vast majority of illegal downloading and streaming is foreigners who wouldn't be counted in the ratings anyway. Legal downloading and streaming is tracked by the networks. If any single episode ever had one million extra viewers legally online, the press releases would be endless. There have never been any press releases like that. Because there just isn't enough watching online. Does the 18-34 demo tend to use it much more than other demos? Yes, but still not enough to account for any real percentage of the ratings that have been lost.
As for DVR, there was a study done recently that showed that 30% of DVR owners account for over 70% of DVR usage. Yes, DVRs make a dent in the ratings, but not nearly as much as people like to claim. If they did, the live+7 ratings would be much closer to what you all would expect the ratings to be than they actually are.
The reason broadcast ratings are dropping is cable, plain and simple. Sorry if this isn't the answer you want to hear, X, but it's the truth. The audience is NOT leaving TV altogether. The market share is just moving to cable. You can see this by looking at the shares when you look at the ratings. The shares are dropping as much as the ratings. If the reasons for the ratings dropping were people turning off their TVs, the shares would remain the same. People still have their TVs on during primetime, just not on any broadcast net. Yes thats about it. The reason being is TV ratings have been on a steady decline for well over a decade and that was before DVD/DVR etc. So Cable is the No.1 reason, but as DVD and DVR and Internet have come along, they too have contributed to the decline. so both Jujubee and X are correct. Personally I dont watch any show on TV anymore. I just cant be home enough in the evenings to watch a show regularily. If I like a show i'll get on DVD. Likewise I still like watching older shows on DVD. One final thing - TV show quality isnt as good as it was 15, 10 or even 5 years ago.
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 3:13 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
jujubee wrote: Sorry, but you're all wrong. Online has a negligible effect on ratings. Even DVR isn't as big a problem as people like to pretend it is.
The vast majority of illegal downloading and streaming is foreigners who wouldn't be counted in the ratings anyway. Legal downloading and streaming is tracked by the networks. If any single episode ever had one million extra viewers legally online, the press releases would be endless. There have never been any press releases like that. Because there just isn't enough watching online. Does the 18-34 demo tend to use it much more than other demos? Yes, but still not enough to account for any real percentage of the ratings that have been lost.
As for DVR, there was a study done recently that showed that 30% of DVR owners account for over 70% of DVR usage. Yes, DVRs make a dent in the ratings, but not nearly as much as people like to claim. If they did, the live+7 ratings would be much closer to what you all would expect the ratings to be than they actually are.
The reason broadcast ratings are dropping is cable, plain and simple. Sorry if this isn't the answer you want to hear, X, but it's the truth. The audience is NOT leaving TV altogether. The market share is just moving to cable. You can see this by looking at the shares when you look at the ratings. The shares are dropping as much as the ratings. If the reasons for the ratings dropping were people turning off their TVs, the shares would remain the same. People still have their TVs on during primetime, just not on any broadcast net. I think you underestimate illegal downloading. Sure, it's mainly foreigners, but by far not only. I think it makes a big dent. One accounting for the big decreases? No. But it cannot be neglected as a factor. It's a multifactors-model. Cable + DVD + DVR + online donwloading (illegal because I agree about legal being not that big).
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 9:10 am |
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Christian
Team Kris
Joined: Thu Oct 28, 2004 5:02 pm Posts: 27584 Location: The Damage Control Table
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
If you read ratings press releases from cable networks lately, they usually say 'x show increased 50% in total viewers and 18-49!' 'Record Ratings for the 3rd Quarter!' Even from say, The Hallmark Channel. So I would say Cable, then other media, then DVR.
_________________A hot man once wrote: Urgh, I have to throw out half my underwear because it's too tight.
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 10:29 am |
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jujubee
Forum General
Joined: Wed Feb 08, 2006 11:45 pm Posts: 6447
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
Year over year, broadcast was down 3% in the first week of the season. Cable was up 13%. Any other factor is negligible.
_________________ ......
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 10:50 am |
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jujubee
Forum General
Joined: Wed Feb 08, 2006 11:45 pm Posts: 6447
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
 If people were turning off their TVs during primetime, the average hours per household spent watching primetime would have sharply declined. But it's remained almost complete flat since 1990.
_________________ ......
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 11:29 am |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm Posts: 28301 Location: ... siiiigh...
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
jujubee wrote: The reason broadcast ratings are dropping is cable, plain and simple. Sorry if this isn't the answer you want to hear, X, but it's the truth. The audience is NOT leaving TV altogether. The market share is just moving to cable. You can see this by looking at the shares when you look at the ratings. The shares are dropping as much as the ratings. If the reasons for the ratings dropping were people turning off their TVs, the shares would remain the same. People still have their TVs on during primetime, just not on any broadcast net. It's not that I don't want to hear it, I just figured that's what most people would answer so I was hoping for a little variety.
Thanks for the absolute answer. 
_________________ Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 2:46 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
More importantly perhaps, is there anything network TV can do to slow the erosion down?
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 2:53 pm |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm Posts: 20411
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
The Hills best rated episode (excluding repeats) is higher than Gossip Girl.
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 4:03 pm |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am Posts: 16163 Location: Croatia
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 Re: Ratings are going down. Tell me the best reason why.
The Hills was hitting near 5 million if I remember correctly. GG is yet to cross 4 for any of its original episode.
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Thu Oct 02, 2008 5:13 pm |
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