Most of the current pledged super-delegates have all came out and campaigned for Hillary, and are her staunch supporters. Once a super-delegate pledges, they typically don't sway from that unless another candidate has won, and they want to unify for the good of the party.

Hillary's superdelegates should be counted, and it's foolish not to.

Eagle I think you have a new mantra.

Look like CA delegates will split pretty evenly as Obama is leading in a good portion of the counties, including San Francisco. Clinton won't win by more than 40 pledged delegates there.

Hehe, well it is!

Anywho, xiayun, you may be right with California.

YEah even Romney's hair is starting to look unkempt.

I pretty much agree with Corpse in that the focus will be TX, OH, and PA down the stretch, however, Clinton may have big leads atm Obama is going to probably have a major boost next Tuesday with DC, MD and VA (this according to Oreilly due to DC being more minority, MD and VA with blacks outnumbering hispanics 4:1). Obama will need to parlay that probable sweep and use that momentum to stay close in TX and OH and have a showdown in PA but even if that happened Oreilly is also thinking that neither will have the 2k delegates needed unless it comes down to Superdelegates which would be a big problem if it were for Hillary.

Whoa-did yall catch this? These are the total votes!

Clinton: 7,405,188
Obama: 7,337,777

dont get much closer!

Those are really tremendous numbers.

I didn't realize New Mexico was still going on. Obama was ahead last night, and I thought he was pulling away with it, but it looks like Clinton somehow caught up and is now ahead by a sliver, according to CNN. Could go to either of them, still.

This race as a whole is just crazy. I think it goes to show that we have two very strong Democratic candidates, and I can't wait to see one of them win in the general election.

Peace,
Mike

I remember one CBS poll had Clinton ahead by 14% in the Super Tuesday states (even though their national poll was even), so coming in as close as he did in the popular votes is pretty nice for Obama.

Basically from the discussion, we could see both camps can feel good going forward.

Also I think it's more likely that MI and FL have a re-election (caucus style) in a later date as a compromise than getting delegates re-instated directly.

That would be mighty interesting, and be bad news for Obama.

Kevin Drum over at washington monthly is known for being thoughtful and even handed and has for much of this election been for Hillary and even said he was glad she did well last night.

But he trusts this projection from an MSNBC political analyst:

It looks like Obama, by the narrowest of margins, won last night's delegate hunt. By our estimates, he picked up 840 to 849 delegates versus 829-838 for Clinton.

Where did you get that information? The Florida Democratic Party is basically broke and a caucus would have to be approved by the state legislature, which is completely controlled by the Repubs in Florida and controls one branch in Michigan. They don't care if the Dem delegates get seaterd or not, it's not their problem. The DNC should have done like the Republicans and stripped half the delegates.

I was looking at the California numbers. Obama finished 10% pts behind Clinton and still almost got more votes than Romney and McCain combined. 1.717m to 1.766m

How close could New Mexico get? With 98% reporting,

Clinton 66,173
Obama 65,963

So about 2,500-3,000 votes left to be counted.

How many times will NM go into recount?

NM and MO are clearly the most interesting races in the primary and general elections.

Why would that be bad news for Obama? Doesn't he do well in caucus states?

I think at least Florida should be left the way it is if they decide to count them. After all, all the candidates were on the ballot. Michigan is a different story, though.

Super Tuesday isn't over yet and its already Thursday! NM still hasn't been called. Geesh, it cannot possible take that long to count less than 150,000 votes, can it? I betcha Richardson's drawing attention to his home state intentionally. Sneaky, sneaky...

No, they have to hand count all the absentee ballots and such, and I think the state allows people to send in absentee ballots up to the day of election, which means they won't even receive them until today or tomorrow.

More than 17,000 provisional ballots are still to be counted in NM, and that'll decide the winner.

The updated delegate counts from CNN:

Clinton - 840 pledged / 193 super
Obama - 831 pledged / 106 super

The total number of pledged delegates through Super Tuesday should be 1792, so 121 haven't been assigned.

I had been thinking how Obama stayed as close as he did when there wasn't any truly surprise on Super Tuesday and when he lost MA, NJ, and CA by double digits, then I realized, with some help: it's because of the margin he is winning his states. He has won 8 states with over 60% of the vote:

Alaska (over 70%)
Colorado
Georgia
Idaho (over 70%)
Illinois
Kansas (over 70%)
Minnesota
North Dakota

While Clinton has won only one state with over 60% of the vote: Arkansas. By winning Minnesota so convincingly, just as an example, he more than made up the loss in MA delegate-wise. Caucuses are really helping Obama, as I doubt the margin would be nearly as big in those caucus states if it had been a primary. I guess us Obama's supporters are generally younger, more enthusiastic, and more stubborn in trying to convince the others when sitting in a room.