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 Weekend Estimates 
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Post Weekend Estimates
[table][row color=#FFFF00]Rank[col color=#FFFF00]Movie[col color=#FFFF00]Gross[col color=#FFFF00]Drop[col color=#FFFF00][col color=#FFFF00]PTA[col color=#FFFF00]Total[row]1[col]Batman Begins[col]$26.770.000[col]-45,08%[col][col]$6.939[col]$121.692.424[row]2[col color=#C0C0C0]Bewitched[col color=#C0C0C0]$20.200.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-[col color=#C0C0C0][col color=#C0C0C0]$6.364[col color=#C0C0C0]$20.200.000[row]3[col]Mr. and Mrs. Smith[col]$16.750.000[col]-35,67%[col][col]$5.130[col]$125.438.274[row]4[col color=#C0C0C0]Herbie: Fully Loaded[col color=#C0C0C0]$12.750.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-[col color=#C0C0C0][col color=#C0C0C0]$3.621[col color=#C0C0C0]$17.786.365[row]5[col color=#C0C0C0]Land of the Dead[col color=#C0C0C0]$10.233.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-[col color=#C0C0C0][col color=#C0C0C0]$4.550[col color=#C0C0C0]$10.233.000[row]6[col]Madagascar[col]$7.300.000[col]-32,01%[col][col]$2.476[col]$160.056.325[row]7[col]Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith[col]$6.250.000[col]-37,74%[col][col]$2.636[col]$358.606.148[row]8[col]The Longest Yard[col]$5.475.000[col]-33,55%[col][col]$2.176[col]$141.895.446[row]9[col]The Adventures of Shark Boy and Lava Girl[col]$3.425.000[col]-48,83%[col][col]$1.456[col]$30.468.818[row]10[col]Cinderella Man[col]$3.270.000[col]-41,32%[col][col]$1.950[col]$49.592.300[row]11[col]The Perfect Man[col]$2.498.000[col]-52,88%[col][col]$1.195[col]$10.783.635[row]12[col color=#C0C0C0]Rize[col color=#C0C0C0]$1.600.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-[col color=#C0C0C0][col color=#C0C0C0]$4.545[col color=#C0C0C0]$1.600.000[row]13[col]The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants[col]$1.455.000[col]-53,47%[col][col]$1.031[col]$33.891.044[row color=#000000][col color=#000000]Overall top 12[col color=#000000]$116.521.000[col color=#000000][col color=#000000][col color=#000000]$3.587[col color=#000000][row color=#000000][col color=#000000]Overall top 12 last year[col color=#000000]$138.463.321[col color=#000000][col color=#000000][col color=#000000]$5.804[col color=#000000][row color=#000000][col color=#000000]Difference[col color=#000000]-15,85%[col color=#000000][col color=#000000][col color=#000000]-38,20%[col color=#000000][/table]

Day by day:

[table][row color=#FFFF00]Movie[col color=#FFFF00]Friday[col color=#FFFF00]%Change[col color=#FFFF00]Saturday[col color=#FFFF00]%Change[col color=#FFFF00]Sunday[col color=#FFFF00]%Change[col color=#FFFF00]Multiplier[row]Batman Begins[col]$8.260.000[col]84,56%[col]$10.660.000[col]29,06%[col]$7.850.000[col]-26,36%[col]3,241[row color=#C0C0C0]Bewitched[col color=#C0C0C0]$7.600.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-[col color=#C0C0C0]$7.200.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-5,26%[col color=#C0C0C0]$5.400.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-25,00%[col color=#C0C0C0]2,658[row]Mr. and Mrs. Smith[col]$5.200.000[col]94,19%[col]$6.650.000[col]27,88%[col]$4.900.000[col]-26,32%[col]3,221[row color=#C0C0C0]Herbie: Fully Loaded[col color=#C0C0C0]$4.200.000[col color=#C0C0C0]79,95%[col color=#C0C0C0]$4.965.000[col color=#C0C0C0]18,21%[col color=#C0C0C0]$3.585.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-27,79%[col color=#C0C0C0]3,036[row color=#C0C0C0]Land of the Dead[col color=#C0C0C0]$4.228.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-[col color=#C0C0C0]$3.261.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-22,87%[col color=#C0C0C0]$2.744.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-15,85%[col color=#C0C0C0]2,420[row]Madagascar[col]$2.215.000[col]53,65%[col]$2.945.000[col]32,96%[col]$2.140.000[col]-27,33%[col]3,296[row]Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith[col]$1.750.000[col]81,30%[col]$2.600.000[col]48,57%[col]$1.900.000[col]-26,92%[col]3,571[row]The Longest Yard[col]$1.800.000[col]85,04%[col]$2.200.000[col]22,22%[col]$1.475.000[col]-32,95%[col]3,042[row]The Adventures of Shark Boy and Lava Girl[col]$1.035.000[col]51,09%[col]$1.455.000[col]40,58%[col]$935.000[col]-35,74%[col]3,309[row]Cinderella Man[col]$939.000[col]76,56%[col]$1.442.000[col]53,57%[col]$889.000[col]-38,35%[col]3,482[row]The Perfect Man[col]$846.000[col]28,67%[col]$982.000[col]16,08%[col]$670.000[col]-31,77%[col]2,953[row color=#C0C0C0]Rize[col color=#C0C0C0]$600.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-[col color=#C0C0C0]$570.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-5,00%[col color=#C0C0C0]$430.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-24,56%[col color=#C0C0C0]2,667[/table]


Last edited by Anonymous on Sun Jun 26, 2005 12:31 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Sun Jun 26, 2005 12:20 pm
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Good for ROTS and BB.

Fantastic for Madagascar.

Excellent for the crappy M&MS. :shock:

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Sun Jun 26, 2005 12:24 pm
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jb007 wrote:
Good for ROTS and BB.

Fantastic for Madagascar.

Excellent for the crappy M&MS. :shock:


:mad:


Sun Jun 26, 2005 12:27 pm
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Amazing for Batman Begins! =D> =D> Here's going for $180+ million.

ROTS did pretty well itself, looks like it will pass ROTK and break the $380 million mark that all, The Passion of the Christ, ROTK and Spider-Man 2 failed to break.

Also, excellent hold for The Longest Yard. It should finish with over $155 million, maybe even break $160 million.

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Sun Jun 26, 2005 12:27 pm
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Nice for Bat, Smith and Madagascar.
Not so nice for Bewitched and Herbie.
The Smiths are now at 198 WW. I guess tomorrow with updated int. numbers they will break the 200. So fast..Respect.

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Sun Jun 26, 2005 12:28 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
This is the lowest cume for the top 12 in the months of June or July since June 27-29, 2003, when "Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle" premiered.


Sun Jun 26, 2005 12:32 pm
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Libs wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Good for ROTS and BB.

Fantastic for Madagascar.

Excellent for the crappy M&MS. :shock:


:mad:


:oops: :wink:

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Sun Jun 26, 2005 12:35 pm
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Anyone thinks that Land of the Dead's Sunday drop is a bit too small?

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Sun Jun 26, 2005 12:35 pm
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Alright! ROTS broke 6 million! Now if only Madagascar would disappear off the face of the planet... I hate seeing that movie on top of ROTS.

Well, then, the BB number would clearly silence the naysayers. For a moment.

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Sun Jun 26, 2005 12:36 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Anyone thinks that Land of the Dead's Sunday drop is a bit too small?


Yes, very much.


Sun Jun 26, 2005 12:37 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Anyone thinks that Land of the Dead's Sunday drop is a bit too small?


You know what, yeah, it looks suspect. Everyone else dropped 25-30 percent and this movie relies heavily on fanboys rushing.

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Sun Jun 26, 2005 12:38 pm
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Hehe, I hope BB got underestimated again by WB.

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Sun Jun 26, 2005 12:41 pm
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Good for everything except those that dropped on Saturday. (First BKB, next Star Wars :twisted:)


Sun Jun 26, 2005 12:44 pm
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I noticed a few changes in the Friday estimates noticably Revenge of the Sith got a boost on its Friday estimates. Sith was originally estimated at $1.65m on Friday now its Friday estimate is $1.75m

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All time North American box office.

1. Titanic - $600.8m
2. Star Wars - $461.0m
3. Shrek 2 - $441.2m
4. E.T. the Extra Terrestrial - $435.1m
5. The Phantom Menace - $431.1m
6. Spider-Man - $403.7m
7. Revenge of the Sith - $380.3m
8. Return of the King - $377.0m
9. Spider-Man 2 - $373.6m
10. The Passion of the Christ - $370.8m


Sun Jun 26, 2005 1:09 pm
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Amazing for Batman, it has already caught up to Mr. and Mrs. Smith.
The Smiths also did great, a sub 40% drop is excellent.

Bewitched did okay, not really a disappointment, but it's weird that it dropped on Saturday; not the type of movie I would have expected to do that.

Other than that.... for a weekedn without any major tentpole release, it was very good. Very nice holdovers and expected grosses from debuters.

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Sun Jun 26, 2005 1:13 pm
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How could BB not break $200 million now? It's already at $120. $80 million off a $26 million weekend is not a stretch is it? :-k

I am so happy Smiths are kicking ass, just like the movie did. \:D/


Sun Jun 26, 2005 1:17 pm
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If the estimates are true and Bewitched opened with 7.7 and ended the weekend with just 20 million, that just spells doom for it. It didn't even have a 3x multiplier. If that really happened, I would expect it to drop over 50% next weekend and not even reach Stepford Wives' 59 million, With a 80 million budget (plus marketing costs) it certainly can be called a bomb.

We still should wait for the actuals.


Sun Jun 26, 2005 1:18 pm
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I_Was_Your_Sam wrote:
How could BB not break $200 million now? It's already at $120. $80 million off a $26 million weekend is not a stretch is it? :-k

I am so happy Smiths are kicking ass, just like the movie did. \:D/
It all really depends on how WOTW and FF4 effect it, but then again it also has the help from 4th of July weekend, so thats good.

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Sun Jun 26, 2005 1:21 pm
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Land of the Dead is so being overestimated, which will help my score. I don't think it's going to drop 15% when all other films were 25%+ drops, and Land of the Dead isn't even the type of film that would hold up the best on sundays. It's sunday drop could double with actuals.

PEACE, Mike ;)


Sun Jun 26, 2005 1:31 pm
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Here's another stat I just thought of. Despite its impressive hold, there's still a *chance* that BB might not break $200 million. If it doesn't make it, and neither does Madagascar, then this'll be the latest in the year that we get our second $200 million movie since 2000. (That is, in every year since then, the second $200 million movie of the year has come out *before* June 30th.) If you adjust for inflation, then you have to go back as far as 1998 to reach the last time that happened.


Sun Jun 26, 2005 1:32 pm
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It's going to have a nice drop this weekend, regardless of War of the Worlds, because of Independence Day weekend.

Afterwards, it might not be able to drop under 40% because of War of the Worlds, Fantastic Four, and everything else.

$180 million seems to be the number, and I'd be extremely happy with it.


Sun Jun 26, 2005 1:32 pm
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VSW wrote:
If the estimates are true and Bewitched opened with 7.7 and ended the weekend with just 20 million, that just spells doom for it. It didn't even have a 3x multiplier. If that really happened, I would expect it to drop over 50% next weekend and not even reach Stepford Wives' 59 million, With a 80 million budget (plus marketing costs) it certainly can be called a bomb.

We still should wait for the actuals.


Yeah, I think Bewitched will have worse leg than Stepford Wives.

Land of the Dead will probably gross lower than 10M with actual.

Great PTA for March of the Penguin. Also Me and You and Everyone We Know held up well.


Sun Jun 26, 2005 1:33 pm
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There has been a lot of talk about the 6-day weekend for WOTW. But the thing is, BB will most likely benefit from it as well. Since it's the holidays, there is plenty of room to perform. While WOTW will take a bite out of BB's audience, I don't think it will be too big. There is enough room for both of them. Since BB will also have the 6-day weekend, 180 million seems like a lock and even 200 million remains a possibility. Personally I think it should end up with 185-190 million. The real killer blow won't come until Fantastic Four.


Sun Jun 26, 2005 2:36 pm
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Thats pretty bad for Bewicted,i never thought that movie would be frontloaded.It must have bad WOM.


Sun Jun 26, 2005 2:44 pm
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Tuukka wrote:
There has been a lot of talk about the 6-day weekend for WOTW. But the thing is, BB will most likely benefit from it as well. Since it's the holidays, there is plenty of room to perform. While WOTW will take a bite out of BB's audience, I don't think it will be too big. There is enough room for both of them. Since BB will also have the 6-day weekend, 180 million seems like a lock and even 200 million remains a possibility. Personally I think it should end up with 185-190 million. The real killer blow won't come until Fantastic Four.



Or maybe people will realize how bad F4 is when they see it that they will rush out and tell their friends to see BB instead. It works out well in the end :mrgreen:


Sun Jun 26, 2005 2:49 pm
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