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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake
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Dr. Lecter wrote: baumer72 wrote: Maverikk wrote: KidRock69x wrote: So is David Spade, does that make him a big star? I think not. Having consistently LARGE movie grosses, makes a person a big star. Large being the $100m range or more. So Sean Connery and Clint Eastwood aren't big stars? So everybody but Tom Cruise, Jim Carrey, and Will Smith aren't big stars? I see that as the same mindset as equating box office to quality. You don't have to be a bankable box office actor to be a big star. Nicole Kidman is a star. She's headlined 2 films this year that will go onto respectable grosses. Sure, having Sean Penn and Will Ferrell co-starring hasn't hurt, but she's still doing fine. Compare her to all other females, and you'll see she's near the top of the list. That is a fallacy. I would say that there are many actresses that can headline a film better than she can but she has this ridiculous stigma attached to her that says that her films do well. I'll give you that Interpretor did better than I thought it would, but this film will putter out with about 50-60 mill, not great. She is the Hollywood IT girl right now. She is not a bona fide star. Then who is a bona fide female star? Kidman is one of Hollywood's most consistent, a female Denzel Washington. The movies are not huge, but still always deliver solid numbers. Moulin Rouge made $57 million, The Others made $96 million, The Hours made $41 million (which is good for what the movie was), Cold Mountain made $95 million The Stepford Wives made $59 million, The Interpreter will end up with over $72 million and Bewitched will still make around $65-70 million. Now that is consistent, if you ask me. Of course there are movies like The Human Stain or Birth inbetween, but still, she is bankable and well-marketed and accessible movies starring her, usually assure a $20+ million opening.
Nothing there except Cold Mountain is a great success. The Others is, but her other films are big didsappointments. You can't tell me that The Hours is good for the type of film it is and TSW just plain tanked. That is not good box office.
_________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 3:38 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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baumer72 wrote: Maverikk wrote: baumer72 wrote: That is a fallacy. I would say that there are many actresses that can headline a film better than she can but she has this ridiculous stigma attached to her that says that her films do well. I'll give you that Interpretor did better than I thought it would, but this film will putter out with about 50-60 mill, not great. She is the Hollywood IT girl right now. She is not a bona fide star. If there are many who can headline and open a movie better, who are they? I can think of a few off the top of my head, but only a few. She's won an Oscar and she has name recognition enough to headline over Will Ferrell and Sean Penn. If that's not a star, what is? She is a star for sure, no doubt. But it bothers me that every time she is in a film many peoiple start to think that her films will go on to make 100 mill or something close to it. I know she is one of the most recognizabl;e names right now in Hollywood, but again, the amount of money being spent on her films, and the return that is coming back just doesn't add up. The Hours tanked, Stepford Wives tanked, and this will underperfomr as well. So what does that make her? She can't be miscast every time, if that was the case, then what do you cast her in? Cold Mountain 2 and 3, and that' it?
The Hours made $41+ million in the USA against a $25 million budget (and $8 million marketing costs) and considering the lowly-released, despressing kind of a movie it is, it's a very respectable gross. Worldwide it made a very respectable $109 million.
The Stepford Wives was a disappointment, for sure, but it still made almost $60 million in the States despite being released on a weekend on which another four movies made $20+ million. Kidman did bring it to a $20+ million opening, it's just the movie's quality that failed the legs.
Bewitched will take in around $65-70 million in the States and probably over $130+ million worldwide, it will make its costs back eventually on DVD.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 3:39 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake
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Everything makes their money back on DVD these days.
_________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 3:44 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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baumer72 wrote: Nothing there except Cold Mountain is a great success. The Others is, but her other films are big didsappointments. You can't tell me that The Hours is good for the type of film it is and TSW just plain tanked. That is not good box office.
The Hours is a purely older-female-oriented movie (the epitome of it, actually) and it is as depressing as it gets. It also never got more than 1,010 theatres. Also, the worldwide gross more than makes up for the US gross.
Moulin Rouge was quite a success, moreso than Cold Mountain. It was the movie to revive the dead musical genre and it was released in the summer, the most untypical date for such kind of a movie. Yet it made $57+ million against a $50 million budget AND it made around $178 million worldwide which is MORE than what Cold Mountain made worldwide.
Seriously, why don't you just call Denzel Washington not bankable either and give me another laugh?
Let's take a look at Washington's recent box-office track record:
The Manchurian Candidate - $65,955,630 (budget: $80 million)
Man on Fire - $77,911,774 (budget: $70 million)
Out of Time - $41,088,845 (budget: $50 million)
John Q. - $71,756,802 (budget: $36 million)
Training Day - $76,631,907 (budget: N/A)
Remember the Titans - $115,654,751 (budget: $30 million)
Hurricane - $50,699,241 (budget: $50 million)
The Bone Collector - $66,518,655 (budget: $73 million)
The Siege - $40,981,289 (budget: $70 million)
Fallen - $25,232,289 (budget: N/A)
Courage under Fire - $59,031,057 (budget: N/A)
As you see, Remember the Titans aside, there are not "exceptional hits" there either. So would you call Denzel Washington not a really bankable star? Consider that his movies usually make overseas much less than Kidman's...
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 3:51 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Jeff 42 wrote: Killuminati510 wrote: El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote: Killuminati510 wrote: Begins had a better increase on Friday then all the other Bat flicks, that should lead to a better Saturday increase aswell, maybe even 30%+ that would be just fantastic for the flick. Below 45% drop seems to be in store. It should be around 27m for the weekend, and some people said WOM doesnt matter for a comic flick =; pssh You must be jumping for joy like that crazy guy in your avatar The wrath of CruiseMan
:laugh: :laugh: :2up: =D> NICELY DONE!
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 3:51 pm |
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The_Game_1
Star Trek XI
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:00 pm Posts: 343
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Is Cruise the apprentice or the master? lol
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 3:54 pm |
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PresidentPalmer
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Jun 16, 2005 2:34 am Posts: 1956
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I thought it was funny. We had this guy come out last night at the theatre as I was leaving and he wanted to talk to a manager. Luckly a Manager was right there I heard that he wanted to get a Refund because the movie he was seeing Sucked. He was in Bewitched so I guess people have their own opinons of movies however I haven't seen Bewitched yet and I probally never will.
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 4:22 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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jb007 wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Well, it will stand at over $122 million after this weekend. Even if it drops 50% next weekend, it'll still have $145+ million by the end of its third weekend. And from then on, with 45% drops each weekend (which is quite pessimistic), it's still a lock to break $175 million. If it manages to drop just around 42% on average after it's third weekend, it'll easily pass $185 million. Neither scenario takes it any closer $200M like roid is hoping for.
Except it will drop 40% or better on average from here on out. In fact 30% would not surprise me which would take it to over 230m.
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 6:27 pm |
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xXVincentxX
La Bella Vito
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm Posts: 9146
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Pretty good numbers all around. Bewitched should do well, but I'm so glad Batman is going to be at the top for the second consequetive week!
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 7:07 pm |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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PresidentPalmer wrote: I thought it was funny. We had this guy come out last night at the theatre as I was leaving and he wanted to talk to a manager. Luckly a Manager was right there I heard that he wanted to get a Refund because the movie he was seeing Sucked. He was in Bewitched so I guess people have their own opinons of movies however I haven't seen Bewitched yet and I probally never will.
I hope the manager told him to shove it.
_________________
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 7:13 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm Posts: 3917 Location: Las Vegas
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DP07 wrote: Except it will drop 40% or better on average from here on out. In fact 30% would not surprise me which would take it to over 230m.
It could. But I think WOTW and F4 will hurt it. I see 180M at this point.
Here we are talking about good WOM for BB. M&MS which was not as well liked by critics fell less than 50% with direct competition from BB and looks to fall less than 37% this weekend. What is that all about? Does M&MS have good WOM? I thought it was poorly made.
_________________ Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006 The Greatest Actor Ever. Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 7:34 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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jb007 wrote: DP07 wrote: Except it will drop 40% or better on average from here on out. In fact 30% would not surprise me which would take it to over 230m. It could. But I think WOTW and F4 will hurt it. I see 180M at this point. Here we are talking about good WOM for BB. M&MS which was not as well liked by critics fell less than 50% with direct competition from BB and looks to fall less than 37% this weekend. What is that all about? Does M&MS have good WOM? I thought it was poorly made.
I think it'll drop at least as much as this weekend, but probably even more facing War of the Wolrds next weekend. War of the Worlds is going to be HUGE. By that, I mean over $100 million in 5 days. That is immense and will hurt every single movie. The weekend after that, I see Fantastic Four taking in AT LEAST $50 million with War of the Worlds still making $30+ million and Dark Water opening to at least $15 million. That will take a huge chunk out of all movies as well. So for the next two weekends I see 45+% drops. The question is what will come after that...
But hey, even $180 million would be amazing considering it'd be much more than expected once the movie opened.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 8:09 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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Dr. Lecter wrote: I think it'll drop at least as much as this weekend, but probably even more facing War of the Wolrds next weekend. War of the Worlds is going to be HUGE. By that, I mean over $100 million in 5 days. That is immense and will hurt every single movie. The weekend after that, I see Fantastic Four taking in AT LEAST $50 million with War of the Worlds still making $30+ million and Dark Water opening to at least $15 million. That will take a huge chunk out of all movies as well. So for the next two weekends I see 45+% drops. The question is what will come after that...
But hey, even $180 million would be amazing considering it'd be much more than expected once the movie opened.
Its not like Batman Begins is going to make so much money next week that it would be a threat at all to WOTW. The best scenorio would be the Matrix Reloaded vs the 3rd week of X-2. I think X-2 dropped 55% but then again its second week was still pretty huge at 40 million. I think that since Batman Begins is going to gross less than 20 million next week that the competition between WOTW wouldnt really matter. I still see it grossing something ike 17 million for 4 days which isnt bad at all. Also if F4 does open huge and people seeing it says it sucks, they will probably go back to watching Batman Begins or tell others not to watch F4 but BB instead so I can see BB holding out real well after F4 gets in its second week
Also by the end of July 4th, BB would already have 150 million. It will just need need to crawl to 190 million with daily numbers and hopefully it can do it so it will get a big WB push to 200 million. I give that around a 20% chance since its daily number is already ahead of Batman Returns
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 8:23 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: I think it'll drop at least as much as this weekend, but probably even more facing War of the Wolrds next weekend. War of the Worlds is going to be HUGE. By that, I mean over $100 million in 5 days. That is immense and will hurt every single movie. The weekend after that, I see Fantastic Four taking in AT LEAST $50 million with War of the Worlds still making $30+ million and Dark Water opening to at least $15 million. That will take a huge chunk out of all movies as well. So for the next two weekends I see 45+% drops. The question is what will come after that...
But hey, even $180 million would be amazing considering it'd be much more than expected once the movie opened.
Its not like Batman Begins is going to make so much money next week that it would be a threat at all to WOTW. The best scenorio would be the Matrix Reloaded vs the 3rd week of X-2. I think X-2 dropped 55% but then again its second week was still pretty huge at 40 million. I think that since Batman Begins is going to gross less than 20 million next week that the competition between WOTW wouldnt really matter. I still see it grossing something like 17 million for 4 days which isnt bad at all. Also if F4 does open huge and people seeing it says it sucks, they will probably go back to watching Batman Begins or tell others not to watch F4 but BB instead so I can see BB holding out real well after F4 gets in its second week Also by the end of July 4th, BB would already have 150 million. It will just need need to crawl to 190 million with daily numbers and hopefully it can do it so it will get a big WB push to 200 million. I give that around a 20% chance since its daily number is already ahead of Batman Returns
I see around $16 million for 4 days which isn't bad and will put Batman at over $145 million once the weekend is over.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 8:47 pm |
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The_Game_1
Star Trek XI
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:00 pm Posts: 343
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http://mirror.randomfoo.net/memes/2005/ ... _Oprah.mov
Just to go back on Tom Cruise killing Oprah. It's video with sound.
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 9:05 pm |
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Squee
Squee
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm Posts: 13270 Location: Yuppieville
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Re: Friday Numbers (Showbizdata)
BKB_The_Man wrote: Schlomo wrote: BKB_The_Man wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: BATMAN BEGINS - $8,400,000 - $104,200,000 BEWITCHED - $8,000,000 MR. AND MRS SMITH - $5,100,000 - $114,000,000 LAND OF THE DEAD - $4,400,000 HERBIE: FULLY LOADED - $4,100,000 - $9,600,000 MADAGASCAR - $2,200,000 - $155,000,000 LONGEST YARD THE - $1,700,000 - $138,000,000 STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH - $1,600,000 - $354,000,000 ADVENTURES OF SHARK BOY & LAVA GIRL, THE - $1,100,000 - $28,300,000 CINDERELLA MAN - $1,000,000 - $47,300,000
Source: Showbizdata Ok.. I was wrong.. Not bad for BATMAN.. I will more than take my lumps now, but first it's off to go for a dip in the pool.. It's 98 Degrees where I'm at..waits for BKB to suddenly change his position on BB and state how much he loves it...either way BKB LOST Dude, I did like it.. I definitely liked it a hell of alot better than the last 2 movies for sure, but I didn't think it was better than the 1st BATMAN 1989.. I still thought Burton gave Gotham City a much bettter, much more Gothic feel to it than Nolan did and while I thought Bale did a good job, I'm still more partial to Michael Keaton and I also thought Burton gave the Villians more flair and humor to work with.. It just sucks Michael Keaton went from being BATMAN to Herbie Rides Again..
Burton also gave us henchmen with purple jackets and boom boxes...
_________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee."
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 9:20 pm |
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movies35
Forum General
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 1:53 pm Posts: 8626 Location: Syracuse, NY
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The_Game_1 wrote: http://mirror.randomfoo.net/memes/2005/06/Tom_Cruise_Kills_Oprah.mov
Just to go back on Tom Cruise killing Oprah. It's video with sound.
That is fucking HILARIOUS!
_________________ Top 10 Films of 2016
1. La La Land 2. Other People 3. Nocturnal Animals 4. Swiss Army Man 5. Manchester by the Sea 6. The Edge of Seventeen 7. Sing Street 8. Indignation 9. The Lobster 10. Hell or High Water
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 9:20 pm |
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Archangel
Forum General
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 9998 Location: Australia
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DOMESTIC - Day 10 (Estimates)
Spiderman 2 - $225,116,345 (Fri - $13,858,762) Spiderman - $223,040,031 (Sun - $21,005,024) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $190,822,800 (Fri - $19,152,196) Shrek 2 - $184,890,392 (Fri - $20,155,038) The Passion Of The Christ - $174,307,053 (Fri - $13,665,114) Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $168,056,221 (Fri - $16,873,539) Star Wars 1: PM - $153,728,197 (Fri - $13,531,561) X-Men 2: X-Men United - $147,677,021 (Sun - $10,551,383) Meet The Fockers - $132,859,765 (Fri - $12,140,180)* Lord Of The Rings: FOTR - $129,734,559 (Fri - $12,567,729) Men In Black 1 - $118,777,580 (Fri - $9,254,927) Men In Black 2 - $115,648,067 (Fri - $7,369,867) Mission Impossible 2 - $111,140,363 (Fri - $7,951,000) Pirates Of The Caribbean: The Curse Of The Black Pearl - $109,478,015 (Fri - $10,505,198) Jurassic Park 3 - $109,056,475 (Fri - $6,774,830) Batman Forever - $106,614,713 (Sun - $8,831,113) Batman Begins - $103,172,000 (Fri - $8,250,000) The Matrix: Revolutions - $102,755,750 (Fri - $4,902,185) The Hulk - $100,593,300 (Sun - $5,749,810) Batman - $100,219,669 (Sun - $10,161,871) X-Men 1 - $99,318,708 (Sun - $6,868,000) Terminator 3: Rise Of The Machines - $96,821,216 (Fri - $5,984,511) Batman Returns - $96,770,068 (Sun - $6,862,594) Toy Story 2 - $95,525,842 (Fri - $6,504,726) Godzilla - $85,821,000 (Fri - $4,528,421) Armageddon - $83,473,000 (Fri - $7,170,000) Catch Me If You Can - $82,891,511 (Fri - $6,596,324) Terminator 2: Judgment Day - $75,928,803 (Fri - $6,237,525) Batman & Robin - $75,208,048 (Sun - $4,959,234)
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FRIDAY - 2nd Friday (Estimates)
Shrek 2 - $20,155,038 (Day 10) Spiderman - $19,906,574 (Day 8) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $19,152,196 (Day 10) Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $16,873,539 (Day 10) Spiderman 2 - $13,858,762 (Day 10) The Passion Of The Christ - $13,665,114 (Day 10) Star Wars 1: PM - $13,531,561 (Day 10) Lord Of The Rings: FOTR - $12,567,729 (Day 10) X-Men 2: X-Men United - $12,372,432 (Day 8) Meet The Fockers - $12,140,180 (Day 10) Pirates Of The Caribbean: The Curse Of The Black Pearl - $10,505,198 (Day 10) Men In Black 1 - $9,254,927 (Day 10) Batman Forever - $9,063,142 (Day 8) Batman - $8,792,517 (Day 8) Batman Begins - $8,250,000 (Day 10) est. Batman Returns - $8,127,825 (Day 8) Mission Impossible 2 - $7,951,000 (Day 10) Men In Black 2 - $7,369,867 (Day 10) Armageddon - $7,170,000 (Day 10) X-Men 1 - $7,144,000 (Day 8) Jurassic Park 3 - $6,774,830 (Day 10) Catch Me If You Can - $6,596,324 (Day 10) Toy Story 2 - $6,504,726 (Day 10) Terminator 2: Judgment Day - $6,237,525 (Day 10) Terminator 3: Rise Of The Machines - $5,984,511 (Day 10) The Hulk - $5,694,700 (Day 8) Batman & Robin - $5,124,908 (Day 8) The Matrix: Revolutions - $4,902,185 (Day 10) Godzilla - $4,528,421 (Day 10)
_________________ Im Archangel. Telin le thaed. Lasto beth nin, tolo dan nan galad.
I surrender who I've been for who you are Nothing makes me stronger than your fragile heart If I had only felt how it feels to be yours I would have known what I've been living for all along What I've been living for
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Sat Jun 25, 2005 10:00 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501
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El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote: OMG where did you find that? =D>
Dude, that is the BEST I think I've seen in a long long time.. Cruise looks very fitting doing that.. :laugh:
_________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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Sun Jun 26, 2005 2:15 am |
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asalem182
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 6:44 am Posts: 2375 Location: Cairo, Egypt
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Great number for Batman Begins. After the huge Tuesday drop, I thought it was going to fall at least 50%, so i'm very happy that it rebounded quite nicely.
And another overpredicted Will Ferrell movie, it's now the third in a row. I don't know if 2003 was his lucky year, or if the movies he's done recently weren't just good enough. Anyway I think he should team up with Vince Vaughn, Owen Wilson, or Ben Stiller for his next project.
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Sun Jun 26, 2005 3:23 am |
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Snrub
Vagina Qwertyuiop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:14 pm Posts: 8767 Location: Great Living Standards
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Re: Friday Numbers (Showbizdata)
Squee wrote: Burton also gave us henchmen with purple jackets and boom boxes...
I actually think that one of the things holding Begins back from true greatness was its conspicuous lack of purple jackets and/or boom boxes.
And would it have been that much trouble to put a little penis on the front of the batmobile?
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Sun Jun 26, 2005 9:44 am |
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