Wicked 145m
Gladiator 60m

those feel about right to me. though I could see Wicked going higher ($175m) and Gladiator going lower ($50m), maybs.

Wicked - 160 mil
Gladiator 2 - 40 mil

55m Gladiator

I agree with these predictions.

Why is Wicked doing so many early screenings but embargo doesn’t drop till Tuesday?

Wicked 135m
Gladiator 68m

I am hearing only great things about the movie as well. I am told its brilliantly made. Weird to not allow reviews to build further buzz but its already out of the world.

Expecting 3m from Amazon early screenings tomorrow. 6.5m+ from Wednesday early shows which has to be the widest I have tracked yet.

Thursday previews is looking like mid teens plus. Weekend sales are also crazy strong. With strong walkups it could surprise us big time.

If I'm reading your numbers correctly, to pass Barbie's $162M it would need need another $138M more. Seems like if it possibly already may reach $30M+ even before Friday? Seems like it could coast past that at this point?

Given that Universal provided the "einheimer" half of Barbenheimer, it seems they learned a lot from the virality of that campaign that they are using with Wicked. I've literally seen Wicked product placehment everywhere. Feels like this is clearing $400M+.

I am not impressed with the presales pace yesterday. Could be due to Amazon prime members early shows which were fairly wide. It may not hit the high end I expected even 2 days ago. Let us wait and see how the pace is today.

I'll never understand why they don't lift the embargo sooner when something is actually supposed to be good.

Reviews start at 95% 8.1/10.

Smash hopefully incoming!

Presales pace have been awful this week for Wicked. I am bumping down my previews to around high teens or 20m including all early shows and 115-120m OW. Gladiator is also just doing ok. 55-60m OW.

Is it possible the play's fans inflated the presales?

$120m for W and $60m for G would still be great.

Anything over 100m for Wicked would be great. Always thought it doing Barbie #s was kinda impossible.

Hopefully it’s people waiting for the Thanksgiving holiday to see it.

Frozen 2 opened to underwhelming 130m before having a sub 40%second weekend drop.

Does Gladiator get the money from the mystery movie showings earlier this week? Wild that amc/regal would use such a big movie for that.

From what I understand, yes, that money is rolled into their opening weekends.

I think Wicked will open super low and have a true WOM campaign

Super low? How low is that?

Neither movie is looking like having a strong finish. High teens previews for Wicked including all shows(I thought it will be at least low 20s until this week). I hope the walkups over the weekend are strong enough to take both movies to 120/60m. If its meh it could be like 110/55.

You’d think the strong reviews would have given it the final push but maybe it’s just meeting the ceiling for a non Disney musical

Less than 100m and everyone asks, “what went wrong?” Then comes the rage bait YouTube “Go Woke, Go Broke” videos, and then it actually gets legs, then it actually has a strong box office

It would have to go sub 80m to be considered “super low” at this point. I’d be disappointed if it couldn’t at least beat Beetlejuice Beetlejuice