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 May 10-12 Predictions 

Will Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes open to 50m?
Yes 80%  80%  [ 4 ]
No 20%  20%  [ 1 ]
Total votes : 5

 May 10-12 Predictions 
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Post May 10-12 Predictions
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes 59m


Fri May 03, 2024 8:31 am
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Post Re: May 10-12 Predictions
This seems like a candidate to be kind of a Godzilla vs Kong or Transformers One where it's uncool with internet audiences but ends up bigger than you expect. Not sure if being built around a female human this time would turn off the masculine bro type viewers though.

I was surprised to see it's been 7 years since the last one, I just assumed they made one every 2 or 3 years.

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Fri May 03, 2024 9:48 am
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Apes feels like Transformets last summer to me where it’s a franchise people think is dead but we haven’t had one in a while and it has its fans so since it’s not a superhero movie it overperforms.


Sat May 04, 2024 12:04 pm
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Post Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Ape OW's by year this century (adjusted OW's in brackets):

01: $69M ($136M)
11: $55M ($77M)
14: $73M ($100M)
17: $56M ($70M)

I lowballed in the contest but if this disappoints next weekend I'd say that's more troubling than Fall Guy. It's been such a reliable franchise.

Lots of apes this past month though with Monkey Man, GvsK and the new apes movie. Maybe the whole AMC apes association will help it out but we should have a better weekend next week.

All 4 of the last POTA movies now adjust to $70M+ so a surprise on the upside past GvsK wouldn't be outside of precedent.


Sat May 04, 2024 1:21 pm
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Post Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Unfortunately its not looking like a breakout for now. Let us see how the final week goes. For now seeing OW close to 40m than a big breakout.

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Sat May 04, 2024 1:32 pm
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Post Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Was thinking 35-45 million opening after seeing trailer, but this year has been kind to non-superhero IP so far and maybe thats another to push it over $50M.


Sat May 04, 2024 1:51 pm
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Post Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Apes: 57m (should get a boost from reviews)
Fall Guy: 14m


Sat May 04, 2024 4:23 pm
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Post Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Apes: 57m (should get a boost from reviews)
Fall Guy: 14m


Sat May 04, 2024 4:26 pm
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Post Re: May 10-12 Predictions
$44m

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Sun May 05, 2024 4:18 am
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Post Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Cant see this going below $50m. Expecting $60m+

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Sun May 05, 2024 9:45 pm
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Post Re: May 10-12 Predictions
I was always shocked when War underperformed. It could be in again for 60+, but people maybe tired after Kong

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Sun May 05, 2024 10:42 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Reviews are good but weaker than the Reeves trilogy.


Wed May 08, 2024 12:11 pm
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Post Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Thinking around 6m ish previews including early shows and around 4.5m ish for just thursday. Should have a good multi and so I am expecting around 45m OW. Walkups today were solid for early shows.

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Thu May 09, 2024 12:55 am
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