Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire- 49m

Ghostbusters -60%

Kong and Panda will hold really well with Good Friday boosting them.

Fundraising prediction for the weekend?

Can a mod please move this to the box office forum I put it in here by mistake!

Godzilla - 60m.

Its a backloaded walkup friendly movie. Its going to open well for sure.

It looks better than Ghostbusters at least.

I'm still surprised this isn't a slam dunk monster hit. Godzilla v Kong reignited movie theaters after every other studio had left them for dead. I know Zaslav sucks, I want him fired more than anyone, but WB deserves a win here.

Godzilla vs Kong looks like a 4 year old's fever dream, I think it might be "too much" at this point, kind of how Transformers jumped the shark at one point

$47M OW

Frozen Empire had a very strong Saturday according to Empire and is playing like a family film.

That bodes well for it over Easter even with Godzilla / Kong.

The combo of Godzilla/Kong, Dune2, KFP4 and Ghostbusters with a long weekend should lead to some solid box office.

Godzilla: 63m
Ghostbusters: 18m
Dune: 9m
Panda: 8.5m

There are folks thinking OW in 70s is possible based on presale trend(it amped up big time yesterday). I would wait to see how it goes today. But thursday evening would behave like a friday and so previews will over perform relative to expectations and Friday is like a saturday. I am bumping up my OW predict to 65m but it has higher potential if trend continues.

Easter Is such a horrible release date, the pre sales will be misleading for it. The IM are terrible: GK would need a 34 million OD to flirt with 70 (And this has no where near the hype of the 2014 film to get to those numbers)

Fantastic Beasts- 2.1
Furious 7- 2.2
BVS- 2.04
Mario- 2.66 (And that's only because it opened on Wednesday)
Clash of the Titans- 2.13

I don't see this going much more than 28 million, but would not be surprised if it went as low as King of the Monsters which had 19 OD.

It should be much less fan driven than most of those.

The first barely did 2x its 5 day. Clash of the titans had no fanbase, this is the 5th sequel to an already pretty front loaded franchise. The first film made an X-men movie look like it had good legs. But it really doesn’t matter the genre, all films have similarly bad multipliers. I still remember when they thought it was a good idea to open grind house on Easter weekend. What Godzilla and Kong did 5 day would be about a 23 OD

Budget is only 135m

KFP4's weekend is completely up in the air.

On the one hand last weekend it dropped 50%. On the other, it's Monday was down 17% from last week and Tuesday is down 8%. More people on Easter Break now but will it have a great hold this weekend or will Godzilla / Kong give it a big drop?

The weekend drop range could possibly go from it going up slightly to a 50% drop. It could go into the weekend with $141M or so and with a 4 day weekend will at least get it probably to $160M+.

How is it that low? Did they outsource the vfx to AI?

It looks cartoony from the trailer so maybe they just didn't try as hard.

Definitely thinking 70-75m OW at this point. Its set for the break out.

Most probable answer is that majority of screen time is with humans until about $100M+ shows up for the last 30 minutes.

It must be a stinker if there's still no reviews.

That means nothing. Every Fast and Furious flick is shit but they still make millions.

its at 60% after 107 reviews with top critics its just at 38%. Metacritic is at 49. That said its not relevant for this monster porn movie. Let us rather see how Post Trak scores are.

Previews are looking at 9.5-10m range. Should be a huge breakout. OD should be in low to mid 30s and OW > 75m.

Would be huge! Proving again people still like movies where there's a recognizable character in the title, just as long as they're not superhero

Much needed overperformance! Need it going into April with Mario. Good March overall with Dune 2 ($275M+), KFP4 ($170M+), Ghostbusters ($120M+), Godzilla x Kong ($140M+) over 5 weeks.

Godzilla Minus One was a great way to market the new movie. Let's see a double feature.