The pre-Dune stretch looks pretty bad, but it looks like audiences are open for moderate sleeper hits. I think Mean Girls has the advantage, but what will be the breakout of the rest?

Bob Marley looks like another I Wanna Dance with Somebody. Gonna bomb.

Argylle I think can maybe do like 60-75mish

Madame Web is gonna do like 30m domestic total lol.

I would have believed in It Ends With Us but no idea why they didn’t put the trailer in front of Anyone But You unless it’s moving or it's going to look like one of the recent Sparks adaptations nobody cares about.

I wasn’t feeling it before but Argylle will probably be pushed heavy in NFL playoff commercials and can weak February to compete with. I guess it’ll have to be it since I’m not feeling Marley since it was obviously moved out of Oscar season for quality reasons and Madame Web gets killed by superhero fatigue. Miller’s Girl is a perfect January trash plot and would be a sleeper although it might get killed by reviews, if Argylle only makes 60 mil though it’s not that crazy hard to beat it. Since now that I look at it closer Argylle is a more clear favorite, I guess I’ll be bold and vote for Miller’s Girl, though I could feel dumb about it.

I'd say it's obviously going to be Argylle. But I'd love to see a surprise turnout for Turning Red and The Beekeeper, but unfortunately for former is unlikely and the latter is a fantasy.

That Hillary Swank movie ad is playing in front of almost every movie I see. If it connects in the heartland could do solid.

I think Bob Marley will do solidly. He has multi demo appeal and biopics seem like they can have a lot of upside if it actually turns out to be good.

I think Bob Marley could be a bit of a break out.

Kinda feel like Argylle will not do more than 60m domestic.

That said I think its between that, Madame Web and the Marley biopic.

Argylle screams mega bomb that destroys the idea of Henry Cavill as a leading man. The trailer is a confusing hodge-podge of ideas. It looks original and derivative at the same time. Like something that shouldn't have left the elevator pitch stage but is here with a $100M budget. So not that.

Madame Web is going to do about as well as that new Charlie's Angels movie. But it's kind of gratifying to see a talentless nepo baby get punished with an embarrassing Z list Marvel adjacent film destined to bomb. I can imagine her face when her agent told her "well we couldn't get you the female lead in Batman but... how about this?"

I voted Argylle but could see either Ends With Us or Bob Marley having a mini breakout over the V-Day weekend. I once thought Madame Web would make a good date movie but now expect it to fall under $25M total.

Should be Argylle.

I agree. Argylle looks good to me. Mean Girls is not looking that huge to me so far.

Crazy that we had Megan and Ant-Man in these two months last year. Will any of these titles even match Cocaine Bear?

Dune is gonna explode just cause people will be so damn thirsty for something worth seeing. Panda could really benefit too. Even if something from this crop breaks out it won't be family friendly.

Anyone But You and Boys in the Boat the start of the "50 mil outta nowhere" era?

Maybe Lisa Frankenstein is a good fit to be next as it seems kind of romcom adjace and it seems like it'd be a true "outta nowhere" sleeper.

I'd love for Turning Red to break out just to show Disney how misguided they were with it's release but I do see a few of these movies breakout. I overindexed on the Hilary Swank movie because Jack Reacher as a TV show is so popular that maybe enough people show up to it. The heartland appeal maybe. We'll see a surprise here or there but it's a coin toss what it ends up being.

I would LOVE to see Lisa Frankenstein be a hit. I'm really excited for it. Jennifer's Body is a favorite. But it really looks like something that will flop and then gain a cult following. Hoping to be wrong though.

Madame Web WILL RULE THE BOXOFFICE

I'm not really feeling Argylle atm.

With such a baron marketplace - could these films that would have underperformed actually do decent business?

Could mean the difference between $70m and $100m for Argyle or Madame Web?

Madame Web is gonna tank so hard.

I feel like Argylle will be a hit among older audiences, the old people always eat up the trailer

Apparantly the Bob Marley film is tracking decently so it'll probably end up being that.

Will Madame Web benefit at all from Sydney Sweeney's involvement in the cast post ABY? Maybe.

Also saw Tenet is coming back to theaters this February.

Will come out for 1 week on IMAX will include exclusive footage from Dune: Part Two. Seems like this is a goodwill gesture from WB trying to get Nolan to like them again.

Think it will do a lot better than Soul and the Disney re-releases. I'd love to see Tenet on a big screen.

https://deadline.com/video/christopher- ... /#comments

I picked it in this poll. It does look to be a breakout.

Though Argylle may get close.

So apparently the Marley movie is outpacing the box office of Madame Web! Very good sign and if the quality is there even better. Tracking very well with Black and Hispanic audiences as well as older adults. If it's already at up to $33M, seems very promising.

Marley $27-33M (6day)
Web $25M (6day)

https://deadline.com/2024/01/bob-marley ... 235804733/

Madame Web Presales have started today and its actually doing way better than what I expected. I think its winning that weekend as I expect Marley to skew OD even more than MW. Now I think MW will be the biggest opener apart from MG as Argylle sales are still looking meh and I expect high teens OW at this point.

Looks like all these dead weeks can plausibly lead to Madame Marley becoming a very poor man's (as in homeless man with AIDS) Barbieheimer.