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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20347
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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 January 5-7 Predictions Night Swim- 15m?
Is there buzz for this one? Can't tell.
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| Fri Dec 29, 2023 9:24 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23786
Location: Classified
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Re: January 5-7 Predictions The marco polo trailer is so embarassing but at the same time seems like something that young folk would be in to. So $10M opening maybe? Hopefully Wonka is still above that.
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| Fri Dec 29, 2023 4:24 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 38010
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Re: January 5-7 Predictions This is one of those movies that practically feels conceived with the trailer in mind
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Fri Dec 29, 2023 9:25 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: January 5-7 Predictions I weirdly haven't seen the Night Swim trailer in theaters in a while - Imaginary is the horror trailer I keep getting, even though it doesn't open for over two months. But these "first weekend of January" horror flicks almost never fail, and we haven't had a horror movie since Thanksgiving, so it should at least get to the $10-12M range I'm guessing before quickly falling off.
With that being the only new movie, I'm guessing the holdovers will all have strong holds, save Aquaman (should be fun to see how quickly it plummets without the holiday bump) and possibly Color Purple if it doesn't slow its drops.
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| Sat Dec 30, 2023 1:09 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 5-7 Predictions Flava'd vs The World wrote: The marco polo trailer is so embarassing but at the same time seems like something that young folk would be in to. So $10M opening maybe? Hopefully Wonka is still above that. I never liked that trailer. And after getting it with pretty much every damn movie I grew to hate it. That being said, since I'm a horror fan, I'm interested. I just don't think there's any way it turns out good. It should definitely open with double digits. Probably not enough to be #1.
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| Sat Dec 30, 2023 1:22 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22680
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: January 5-7 Predictionsj Night Swim should be good for $15-20m
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| Sat Dec 30, 2023 2:29 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20347
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: January 5-7 Predictions Wonka -33% 15m
Migration -21% 13.4m
Aquaman -40% 10.9m
Anyone But You 9.2m +6%
The Boys in the Boat 5.5m -34%
Ferrari 2.3m -41%
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| Wed Jan 03, 2024 2:00 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6166
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Re: January 5-7 Predictions Night Swim has to depend on good walkups to hit the numbers predicted here. So far meh presales.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
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| Wed Jan 03, 2024 6:31 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 5-7 Predictions This weekend reminds me of the first weekend of January 2020. The Grudge reboot was the sole opener there. That debuted with 11.4 Million despite having beyond horrible reviews. Night Swim doesn't have the brand awareness that The Grudge had, but even if reviews aren't great, I'm sure they will be much better than they were for The Grudge. It will likely land in that 11-12 Million area.
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| Thu Jan 04, 2024 3:14 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: January 5-7 Predictions If Night Swim underperforms I'm kinda hoping Anyone But You comes in ahead of it and Aquaman and somehow jumps into the top 3. That'd be a fun little surprise to kick off the year.
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| Fri Jan 05, 2024 12:56 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6166
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Re: January 5-7 Predictions walks were quite good today. M3gan comps put the previews at 1.55m. I think it can hit low teens OW.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri Jan 05, 2024 2:17 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11517
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Re: January 5-7 Predictions Not far off!
Night Swim $1,450,000 in previews.
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| Fri Jan 05, 2024 11:45 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20347
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: January 5-7 Predictions Aquaman has had decent dailies. If it has standard increases for this weekend, it will have a sub 40% drop.
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| Fri Jan 05, 2024 1:10 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6166
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Re: January 5-7 Predictions O wrote: Not far off!
Night Swim $1,450,000 in previews. MTC will skew higher due to more PLF shows. It makes sense it finished slightly lower. Still not bad considering it had almost no sales until couple of days ago.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri Jan 05, 2024 1:17 pm |
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