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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13041 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
How frontloaded is THE ERAS TOUR?
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Mon Oct 16, 2023 4:18 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
-70% but since it's only showing on weekends, maybe it'll drop less
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Mon Oct 16, 2023 7:32 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
With no premium screens think drop will be bad. 70%+ but curious to see if it'll play for the rest of the year.
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Mon Oct 16, 2023 10:48 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38018
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
I think the rewatch factor will help
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Mon Oct 16, 2023 10:54 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6167
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
Even as early as opening day presales, I saw robust sales for 2nd weekend. But there were little walkups seen for OW and I am expecting more of the same. It will drop hard. I think close to 70% if not there.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon Oct 16, 2023 11:28 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11518
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
Since my $198.9M OW didn't pan out, I'm going with a -78.57% drop. Or a second weekend of $19.89M.
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Mon Oct 16, 2023 2:59 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23792 Location: Classified
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
The movie is definitely very rewatchable. But its also definitely not appealing to anyone outside of her fanbase. I'll go with 71%.
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Mon Oct 16, 2023 3:42 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 10910
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
75%
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Mon Oct 16, 2023 3:59 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11518
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
Halloween Kills $49,404,980/$92,002,155 53.7% (OW share) has the worst legs for $45M+ movies.
Friday the 13th $40,570,365/$65,002,019 62.4% (OW share) has the worst legs for $40M+ movies.
Eras needs $172.82M+ to beat Halloween's legs. Would need $148.69M+ to beat Friday the 13th's legs.
Can this miss $150M+? Tbd.
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Mon Oct 16, 2023 5:21 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
Over 80%, definitely. With it only playing at weekends, I'd say most people assume it was a one-weekend-only event.
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Wed Oct 18, 2023 3:31 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38018
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
I don’t see why this had to be a weekend only movie.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Oct 18, 2023 11:06 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6167
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
It has full set of shows tomorrow. Question is will that be rolled into 2nd weekend gross. That will make some difference. 2nd weekend had robust pre sales month ago but walkups have been non existent so far. Would the fans who enjoyed the OW show come back again is the big question. I think it will drop hard but not as hard as what some here are predicting.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Wed Oct 18, 2023 1:12 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11518
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
There's just no urgency to see this in its second weekend, even if there are strong showings, we're such a social media obsessed / instantaneous culture now and few will want to show they've seen it in the second weekend.
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Wed Oct 18, 2023 1:27 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13041 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
-64.2 %...and no one picked the correct answer -65 %...
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Mon Oct 23, 2023 3:30 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
Drop was probably better than expected for fans who rewatched it.
Thinking this upcoming drop will be in the 40s.
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Mon Oct 23, 2023 3:52 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21641 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
publicenemy#1 wrote: Drop was probably better than expected for fans who rewatched it.
Thinking this upcoming drop will be in the 40s. That statement makes no sense. Should of done weekdays, now has a real chance of missing 200 million.
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Mon Oct 23, 2023 11:19 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23792 Location: Classified
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
It won't miss $200M. There's still an extend edition coming with the songs that were cut out. That will give it a boost around the holidays and atleast amc will keep it in theaters till then.
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Tue Oct 24, 2023 7:58 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
Flava'd vs The World wrote: It won't miss $200M. There's still an extend edition coming with the songs that were cut out. That will give it a boost around the holidays and atleast amc will keep it in theaters till then. I'm not convinced that will do anything. She probably thinks she can do what she does for streaming/vinyl sales and release 'special versions' after the original comes out to fleece her fans, but streaming or buying something online is very different from driving to the theatre and spending 2 hours there just to get 5 minutes more of footage. Even the most brainwashed and psychotic ardent and passionate swifties might balk at that.
_________________ .
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Wed Oct 25, 2023 12:43 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23792 Location: Classified
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
It'll be closer to 30 minutes of new footage and I don't think Swift fans will mind at all. Spending an extra 20 bucks is still way cheaper than actually seeing the tour.
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Wed Oct 25, 2023 1:12 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21641 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: What's the 2nd weekend ERAS drop?
I know that seems kind of novel, but if a big budget movie basically released a directors cut 3 weeks later I’d be more pissed, I mean in 3 weeks is she going to announce an in picture commentary exclusive? Like I said very novel. But then it’s only bizarre because we’ve never seen it. I’ve always wondered if I would travel to different cities to see the the different endings to the movie Clue (I think it’s biggest charm to building an audience was when they merged them for vhs)
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Thu Oct 26, 2023 10:53 pm |
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